How The Macroeconomic Work Flashcards
What national income measures?
National income refers to the total value of all goods and services produced in an economy over a given period, usually a year. It measures the economic activity of a country and can be expressed in:
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – The total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country.
- Gross National Product (GNP) – GDP plus net income from abroad (e.g., remittances and income from foreign investments).
- Net National Income (NNI) – GNP minus depreciation (capital consumption), reflecting the actual income available for use.
- Disposable Income – National income after taxes and government transfers, showing the income available to households for consumption and saving.
What is the difference between nominal and real income?
- Nominal Income: Measures national income at current market prices, without adjusting for inflation. It can be misleading if inflation is high.
- Real Income: Adjusted for inflation using a price index (e.g., Consumer Price Index, GDP deflator), reflecting the true purchasing power of income over time.
Formula:
Rea GDP = (nominal GDP/ Price index) x 100
For example, if nominal GDP grows by 5% but inflation is 3%, real GDP growth is only around 2%.
What real national income can be used?
- Reflects Economic Growth – An increase in real GDP suggests rising production, employment, and economic prosperity.
- Indicates Living Standards – Higher real income usually translates into better access to goods, services, and improved quality of life.
- Allows International Comparisons – Real GDP per capita helps compare economic performance across countries, adjusting for differences in price levels.
- Guides Policy Decisions – Governments and central banks use real income data to shape fiscal and monetary policies, targeting inflation, unemployment, and growth.
What is circular flow of income?
The circular flow of income illustrates how money moves between different sectors of the economy. It shows the flow of income, output, and expenditure between households and firms.
Households supply factors of production (labour, land, capital, and enterprise) to firms and receive income (wages, rent, interest, and profit).
Firms produce goods and services using these factors and sell them to households, generating expenditure.
Income = output = expenditure
What three injections in the circular flow of income?
X - exports
Income from selling goods and services abroad
I - investments
Spending by firms on capital goods
G - government spending
Expenditure on public services and infrastructure
What are three withdrawals/ leakage in the circular flow of income?
S - Savings (S) – Income not spent on consumption.
T - Taxes (T) – Government revenue taken from households and firms.
M - Imports (M) – Spending on foreign goods and services.
How does increase in injections affect national income?
Increase in Injections (I, G, X) → Economic Growth
- Higher investment boosts productive capacity.
- Increased government spending stimulates demand.
- Higher exports lead to more income from abroad.
A positive multiplier effect - an increase in injection could lead to a greater proportion increase in national income.
How does increase in withdrawals affect national income?
Increase in Withdrawals (S, T, M) → Economic Contraction
- Higher savings reduce current consumption and demand.
- Higher taxes reduce disposable income and spending.
- Increased imports mean more income flows out of the domestic economy.
A negative multiplier effect - an increase in withdrawal could lead to a greater proportion of decrease in national income.
What factors can cause movements along AD and AS curves?
Aggregate Demand (AD) represents total spending in the economy at different price levels. It is downward sloping because:
- Wealth Effect: A lower price level increases the real value of money, boosting consumption.
- Interest Rate Effect: A lower price level reduces demand for money, leading to lower interest rates and higher investment.
- Net Export Effect: A lower price level makes domestic goods cheaper relative to foreign goods, increasing exports.
Aggregate Supply (AS) represents the total output firms are willing and able to produce at different price levels.
- In the short run (SRAS), AS is upward sloping because firms can increase output when prices rise, as wages and input costs are sticky.
- In the long run (LRAS), AS is vertical, as the economy operates at full capacity, meaning price changes do not affect output.
A movement along AD or AS occurs when the price level changes due to internal factors (e.g., inflation or deflation).
What factors can shift the AD curve?
The AD curve shifts when there is a change in any of its components:
AD = C + I + G + (X - M)
- Consumption (C): Changes in consumer confidence, disposable income, taxation, and interest rates.
- Investment (I): Business confidence, interest rates, government incentives, and access to credit.
- Government Spending (G): Fiscal policies, infrastructure projects, and welfare spending.
- Net Exports (X - M): Exchange rate fluctuations, global demand, and trade policies.
A rightward shift in AD leads to economic growth, while a leftward shift causes contraction.
What factors can shift the short run AS curve?
SRAS shifts when production costs or short-term supply conditions change:
- Wage Costs: Higher wages increase production costs, shifting SRAS left.
- Raw Material Prices: Higher oil or commodity prices raise costs, reducing SRAS.
- Exchange Rates: A weaker domestic currency makes imports (raw materials) more expensive, shifting SRAS left.
- Taxes and Subsidies: Higher taxes on businesses reduce supply, while subsidies encourage production.
- Supply Shocks: Natural disasters, pandemics, or geopolitical tensions can disrupt supply chains.
What can shift long run AS curve?
LRAS represents the economy’s productive capacity and shifts due to long-term structural changes:
- Labour Productivity: More skilled and educated workers increase output.
- Investment in Capital: More and better machinery improves efficiency.
- Technological Progress: Innovation leads to higher productivity and output.
- Infrastructure Development: Improved transport and communication systems boost efficiency.
- Institutional and Political Stability: Strong institutions encourage long-term economic growth.
SRAS shifts due to temporary cost changes, such as wages or raw material prices.
LRAS shifts due to long-term productivity improvements, such as investment and technology.
What is demand-side shocks?
Could you give some examples of demand-side shocks?
A demand-side shock is an unexpected event that causes aggregate demand (AD) to increase or decrease.
Examples of Demand-Side Shocks
1. Financial Crises – A banking collapse or stock market crash reduces consumer and business confidence, leading to lower consumption and investment.
2. Government Policy Changes – Large-scale tax cuts or stimulus packages boost AD, while austerity measures (higher taxes, reduced spending) lower AD.
3. Interest Rate Changes – If central banks raise interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, reducing consumption and investment. Conversely, lower interest rates stimulate spending.
4. Global Economic Events – A slowdown in major economies reduces demand for exports, decreasing AD.
5. Pandemics or Wars – Uncertainty reduces consumption and investment, while government spending may increase AD.
How does demand-side shocks affect the macroeconomy
Negative Demand-Side Shock (AD shifts left)
Example: A stock market crash reduces consumer confidence.
• GDP ↓ – Lower spending leads to reduced production.
• Unemployment ↑ – Firms cut jobs as demand falls.
• Inflation ↓ (deflation risk) – Lower demand causes prices to fall.
• Budget Deficit ↑ – Government may increase spending to stimulate the economy.
Positive Demand-Side Shock (AD shifts right)
Example: A government stimulus package increases household incomes.
• GDP ↑ – Higher spending increases economic activity.
• Unemployment ↓ – More demand leads to job creation.
• Inflation ↑ – Higher demand pushes prices up.
• Trade Deficit ↑ – Increased income may lead to more imports.
What is supply-side shocks?
Could you give some examples?
A supply-side shock is an unexpected event that changes production costs, productivity, or the availability of resources.
Examples of Supply-Side Shocks
1. Oil Price Shocks – A sudden rise in oil prices increases production costs for firms, shifting SRAS left. A fall in oil prices reduces costs, shifting SRAS right.
2. Labour Market Disruptions – Strikes, skills shortages, or mass resignations can reduce labour supply and productivity.
3. Natural Disasters & Pandemics – Earthquakes, floods, or disease outbreaks disrupt supply chains, increasing costs.
4. Technological Innovations – Advances in technology (e.g., AI, automation) can increase efficiency, shifting LRAS right.
5. Regulatory & Political Changes – Stricter environmental laws may increase production costs, reducing output. Conversely, deregulation can boost efficiency and output.
How does supply-side shocks affect the macroeconomy?
Negative Supply-Side Shock (SRAS shifts left)
Example: A surge in oil prices raises production costs.
• GDP ↓ – Higher costs reduce economic output.
• Unemployment ↑ – Firms cut production and jobs.
• Inflation ↑ (cost-push inflation) – Higher costs lead to rising prices.
• Stagflation risk – A combination of low growth and high inflation.
Positive Supply-Side Shock (SRAS or LRAS shifts right)
Example: A technological breakthrough increases productivity.
• GDP ↑ – Higher efficiency boosts output.
• Unemployment ↓ – Increased production creates jobs.
• Inflation ↓ – Greater supply reduces price pressures.
• Long-term growth ↑ – The economy becomes more productive.
What is AD and what are the determinants of AD?
Aggregate Demand (AD) is the total spending on goods and services in an economy at a given price level over a period of time. It is represented by the equation:
AD = C + I + G + (X - M)
where:
• C = Consumption (spending by households)
• I = Investment (spending by firms on capital goods)
• G = Government spending (expenditure on public services, infrastructure, etc.)
• X = Exports (spending by foreigners on domestic goods)
• M = Imports (spending by domestic residents on foreign goods)
What are determinants of consumption?
Consumption (C) – Spending by Households
Consumption is influenced by:
• Disposable Income – Higher income increases spending.
• Interest Rates – Higher rates make borrowing expensive, reducing spending.
• Consumer Confidence – Optimistic consumers spend more.
• Wealth Effects – Rising asset prices (e.g., houses, stocks) boost spending.
• Taxation – Lower taxes increase disposable income, boosting consumption.
What are determinants of investment?
Investment (I) – Spending by Firms on Capital Goods
Investment depends on:
• Interest Rates – Lower rates encourage borrowing and investment.
• Business Confidence – Firms invest when they expect future growth.
• Corporate Taxation – Lower taxes on profits encourage investment.
• Access to Credit – Easier borrowing leads to higher investment.
• Technological Advancements – Encourage firms to upgrade equipment.
What are determinants of government spending?
Government Spending (G) – Public Sector Expenditure
Government spending is influenced by:
• Fiscal Policy – Expansionary policies (higher spending) increase AD.
• Economic Objectives – Governments spend more during recessions and cut spending in booms.
• Political Priorities – Military, healthcare, and infrastructure investments affect G.
What are determinants of net exports?
Net Exports (X - M) – Trade Balance
Exports and imports depend on:
• Exchange Rates – A weaker currency makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive, boosting (X - M).
• Global Demand – A strong world economy increases demand for exports.
• Domestic Income – Higher domestic incomes increase imports.
• Trade Policies – Tariffs and quotas affect trade flows.
What is accelerator effect?
The accelerator effect explains how investment levels respond to changes in national income.
• When demand and GDP rise, businesses invest more in capital goods to expand production.
• If demand falls or stagnates, firms cut back on investment, slowing growth.
• Small increases in GDP can lead to large increases in investment.
• If GDP growth slows, investment drops sharply.
• This can create economic cycles of booms and busts.
What are determinants of savings?
Savings refer to income that is not spent on consumption. The main factors affecting savings are:
• Income Levels – Higher incomes lead to more savings.
• Interest Rates – Higher interest rates encourage saving.
• Inflation – High inflation discourages saving if real returns are negative.
• Consumer Confidence – Uncertainty about the future increases savings.
• Government Policies – Tax incentives (e.g., ISAs) encourage savings.
What is the difference between saving and investment?
Saving
Income not spent on consumption
Who: Households, businesses, government
Form: Bank deposits, bonds, cash, pensions
Effect on AD: Reduces immediate consumption, lowering AD
Motivation: Future security, precautionary reasons
Investment
Spending on capital goods for future production
Who: Businesses, government
Form: Machinery, factories, research & development
Effect on AD: Increases AD in the short run, boosts long-run growth
Motivation: Expected returns, profit maximization
Savings do not directly contribute to GDP, but investment does because it increases capital stock and productive capacity. However, savings can lead to investment when financial institutions lend funds to businesses.