How do climate models work? Flashcards
What are most sophisticated climate models?
GCMs- General Circulation Model or Global Climate Model
What is a climate model?
Actually a collection of models - typically an atmosphere model, an ocean model, a land model, and a sea ice model.
Each component represents a staggering amount of complex, specialized processes. Name a few:
Atmosphere: sea salt suspended in the air, three-dimensional wind velocity, the wavelengths of incoming sunlight
Ocean: phytoplankton, the iron cycle, the movement of tides
Land: soil hydrology, forest fires, air conditioning in cities
Sea Ice: pollution trapped within the ice, melt ponds, the age of different parts of the ice.
Scientists feed input files into the model, which contain the values of certain parameters, particularly agents that can cause climate change. These include…
the concentration of greenhouse gases, the intensity of sunlight, the amount of deforestation, and volcanoes that should erupt during the simulation.
So how do we know the models are working?
Give the model the observed conditions of the year 1900, run it forward to 2000, and see if the climate it recreates matches up with observations from the real world.