High Yield Flashcards
95% confidence intervals
Range of values that is 95% likely to contain the true value
Standard deviation
Value that shows how much variation there is from the mean
P Value
Likelihood that the observed result is due to change
P > 0.05 is not statistically significant
Odds ratio
Ratio of probability that something will happen, to the probability that it won’t happen
Blinding
Patients/clinicians/researchers are prevented from knowing certain information that may lead to conscious or subconscious bias on their part
Concealment of allocation
The procedure for protecting the randomisation process
Person randomising the patient does not know what the treatment allocation will be
Prevents selection bias affecting which patients are give which treatment (the bias the randomisation is designed to avoid)
Intention to treat analysis
Analysis based on the initial treatment intended from allocation,
Intention to treat (ITT) analysis means all patients who were enrolled and randomly allocated to treatment are included in the analysis and are analysed in the groups to which they were randomized, not the treatment eventually administered.
I.e. “once randomized, always analyzed”
Treatment fidelity
How accurately the intervention is reproduced from a manual, protocol or model
Number needed to treat
Number of patients that are needed to be treated with the experimental therapy to prevent one negative outcome
E.g. the number of patients that need to be treated for one of them to benefit compared with a control in a clinical trial
It is defined as the inverse of the absolute risk reduction.
1/Absolute risk reduction
Purpose of randomisation?
To try and ensure that any characteristics of the sample population that may affect the results (confounders) are distributed equally between the 2 study groups, and avoid selection bia
Which type of studies are often affected by recall bias?
Case control
What is recall bias?
The participant either cannot remember back to when they were exposed or their outcome changes their perception of the exposure
Internal validity
Accuracy
How well the study was conducted.
Taking confounders into account and removing bias.
External validity
Generalisability
How well it can be applied to different scenarios, patients, environments.
Case-control studies are prone to recall bias in general
Cohort studies are prone to selection bias in general
List 4 methods that can be used to limit confounding variables.
Restriction:
- Limit participants of study that have possible confounders
- Means less data available
- This method can be difficult with multiple confounders
Matching:
- Make comparison groups (with and without the confounder)
- Used for things like age and sex in case-control studies
Stratification:
- Analyse exposure with sub-groups of the confounder
- Adjust for confounding (if there are few variables)
- Recombine data
- Means sometimes these subgroups have very few participants in them
Multiple variable regression:
- Coefficients are established for the confounder groups
- Allows for better adjustment
Specificity
True negatives (TN)
The probability of a negative, if the patient really is not ill
TN / ( TN + FP)
true negatives / all truly disease-free
Sensitivity
True positives
The probability of a positive, if the patient really is ill
TP / (TP + FN)
true positives / all truly diseased
Case-control studies are prone to recall bias in general
Cohort studies are prone to selection bias in general
Population attributable risk (PAR)
The portion of the incidence of a disease in the population (exposed and non-exposed) that is due to exposure
It is the incidence of a disease in the population that would be eliminated if the cause of exposure was eliminated
This can be expressed as a value or percentage
Allocative efficiency
Investing in worthwhile interventions
Technical efficiency
Investing in the interventions that make the best use of scarce resources
SPIKES
Setting Perception Invitation Knowledge Empathy Summary
Kubler-Ross model of grief
Denial Anger Bargaining Depression Acceptance
Bowlby model of grief
Numbing
Yearning/searching
Disorganisation
Reorganisation
Most common cancers in men
Lung Bowel Prostate Bladder Stomach
Most common cancers in women
Breast Lung Bowel Bladder Stomach
Most common cancers in children
Leukemia
Brain
Lymphoma
Soft tissue sarcoma
Type I error
False positive
Type II error
False negative
Standardised mortality ratio (SMR)
Ratio between the observed number of deaths (O) in a study population to the number of expected deaths (E)
SMR = O/E
Direct standardisation?
Required we know the age-specific rates of mortality in all populations under study
Indirect standardisation?
Only requires that we know the total number of deaths and the age structure of the study population
When is indirect standardisation preferable?
Small numbers in particular age groups
Likelihood ratio
The likelihood that a given test result would be expected in a patient with the target disorder compared to the likelihood that the same result would be expected in a patient without the target disorder
Length bias
Overestimation of survival duration among screening-detected cases by the relative excess of slowly progressing cases
Consequences of length bias?
Diseases with a longer sojourn time are ‘easier to catch’ in the screening net.
On average, individuals with disease detected through screening ‘automatically; have a better prognosis than people who present with symptoms/signs.
If we simply compare individuals who choose to by screened with those who don’t we will get a distorted picture.
Lead time bias
Overestimation of survival duration among screen-detected cases (relative to those detected by signs + symptoms) when survival is measured from diagnosis
Consequences of lead time bias?
Survival is inevitably longer following diagnosis through screening because of the ‘extra’ lead time
Because of this the appropriate measure of effectiveness is deaths prevented, not surviva
Over-diagnosis bias?
Overestimation of survival duration among screen-detected cases caused by inclusion of pseudodisease - subclinical disease that would not become overt before the patient dies of other causes.
Occurs when screen-detected cancers are either non-growing or so slow-growing that they never would cause medical problems
Statutes (laws) that oblige doctors to disclose information
Public Health Act 1984
Road Traffic Act 1988
Prevention of terrorism act 1989
3 different types of errors
Knowledge based - Such as forming wrong intentions or plans as a result of inadequate knowledge/experience
Rule based - Encounter relatively familiar problem but apply wrong rule, either misapplication of a good rule or application of a bad rule.
Skills based - Attention slips and memory lapses, involve the unintended deviation of actions from what may have been a good plan. We are all prone to these types of errors, mainly due to interruption and distractions.
Latent error
Develop over time until they combine with other factors or active failures to cause an adverse event
Long lived and often can be identified and removed before they cause an adverse event
What are violations?
Deliberate deviation from some regulated code of practice or procedure
They occur because people intentionally break the rules
List 4 types of violations
Routine - Regularly performed shortcuts due to system, process or task being poorly designed or actions. May become tacitly accepted practice over time
Reasoned - Occasional reasoned deviation from a protocol or procedure which we believe we have good reason for making (e.g. time constraints), may be in patient’s best interests
Reckless - Deliberate deviations from a protocol/code of conduct and include acts where opportunity for harm is foreseeable and ignored, although harm may never be intended
Malicious - Deliberate deviations from a protocol/code of conduct, where the intention is to cause harm
What is a near miss?
A situation in which events arise during clinical care but fail to develop further
Swiss cheese model of accident causation
Although many layers of defence lie between hazards and accidents, there are flaws in each layer that, if aligned, can allow the accident to occur.
Main causes of individual vs system errors?
Individual error - Errors of individuals, blames individual for forgetfulness, inattention or moral weakness
System error - Conditions under which an individual works, tries to build defences to eliminate errors or mitigate their effect
List 3 antenatal screening tests that identify major abnormalities
Alpha fetoprotein - Raised in neural tube defects and some GI abnormalities
Downs test - Alpha fetoprotein and HCG
Ultrasound - Growth check, cardiac abnormalities, diaphragmatic hernia
Neonatal tests
Blood spot test - PKU, cystic fibrosis, sickle cell disease, congenital hypothyroidism
Physical examination
4 types of neglect
Physical neglect
Educational neglect
Emotional neglect
Medical neglect
Which act says 16 year old has full capacity?
The family law reform act 1969
What is Gillick competency?
Child (under 16) can consent to medical treatment if deemed competent by medical professional, without need for parental permission or knowledge
What are the Fraser guidelines?
Doctor can give contraceptive advice and treatment to a person under 16 if she is mature and intelligent, likely to continue to have sex, and if the treatment if in her best interests
Effects of targeting population for prevention?
Large potential benefit to community
Low potential benefit to individual
May be low perceived benefit to individual
Effects of targeting high risk groups for prevention?
Larger potential benefit to individual
Smaller effect on population rate of stroke
Many of the conditions you treat are asymptomatic
May of the treatments have side effects
What did the PROGRESS trial show?
Reducing blood pressure after stroke reduces risk of stroke recurrence
Occupational causes of asthma
Bakers
Welders
Paint sprayers
Laboratory workers
Occupational causes of COPD
Coal mining Agriculture Construction Dock workers Brick making
Simple coal worker’s pneumoconiosis
After around 10 years coal mining, small nodules are present
Shouldn’t cause major impairment in lung function
Some coal workers have symptoms of chronic bronchitis (cough)
Pneumoconiosis
Occupational restrictive lung disease caused by inhalation of dust (coal dust, silica, asbestos)
Silicosis
Occupational lung disease caused by inhalation of crystalline silica dust, and is marked by inflammation and scarring in the form of nodular lesions in the upper lobes of the lung.
It is a type of pneumoconiosis.
2 types of asbestos fibres
Serpentine - Curly, white asbestos (relatively harmless), cleared with mucociliary escalator
Amphiboles - Short, sharp, blue/brown asbestos (have malignant potential)
What are preference sensitive and probability sensitive decisions?
Preference sensitive - The person might feel strongly about the side effects of the treatment
Probability sensitive - Sensitive to changes in the chance of different outcomes
Clinical decision support systems (CDSS) are designed to aid clinician decision making
Computerised
Paper based
Reminder systems
Developed to aid with particular decisions
Examples of CDSS
Reminder systems - Screening, vaccination, testing, medication use
Decision systems (diagnosis and treatment) - Model individual patient data against
epidemiological data
Prescribing - Advice on drug and dosage, highlights potential drug interactions
Condition management - Assists monitoring patients
Equity in financing
Geographic allocation of funding by weighted capitation
Resourcing determined by population weighted by need
What is class equality/inequality in health care?
Evidence of social class equality in the use of primary care and social class inequality in the use of secondary care
What is efficiency?
Target resources to those activities that give the greatest health gain for the money spent as this will maximise population health gain
Informing these choices required estimation of value of what is given up when a patient is treated (opportunity cost) and the value of what is gained in terms of improvements in the health of patients
Fair-innings arguement (1997)
Older people have had a long life already, therefor fairer to divert resources to younger people
Elderly also have a disproportionate share of the available resources allocated to them
Contradictions for the Fair-innings argument?
Treating on the basis of need might mean older people don’t receive lower priority
Years of life saved shouldn’t matter, the quality of life is more important e.g QALYs
Fairness is not the only thing that matters, other things do too e.g equal treatment
Advantages of cohort studies
Good for rare risk factors
Can assess multiple risk factors at once
Disadvantages of cohort studies
Expensive
Time consuming - Risk factor may take decades to cause disease
Confounding factors
Advantages of case-control studies
Good for rare diseases
Good for tracing source of an outbreak