FRA Lvl 2 - Reading 21 (Eval Qual of Fin Reports) Flashcards

1
Q

What is the Beneish Model used for?

A

It is a probit regression model that estimates the probability of earnings manipulations using eight dependent variables. the M-Score determines the probability of earnings manipulation. higher m-score = higher probability

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2
Q

What are the limitations of the Beneish model?

A

“relies on accounting data, which may not reflect economic reality”

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3
Q

Define the Altman Z-Score Model

A

provides “probability that a firm will file for bankruptcy.” higher z-score = less likelihood of bankruptcy

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4
Q

What is limitation of Altman Model?

A

it is a single-period model and does not capture changes in key variables over time. Also uses mostly accounting data

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5
Q

What are the two elements of earnings quality?

A
  1. “Sustainable: high-qual earnings tend to persist in the future” 2. “Adequate: high-qual earnings cover the company’s cost of capital”
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6
Q

define sustainable persistent earnings

A

“earnings that are expected to recur in the future”

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7
Q

Beneish Model Input DSRI: increase in DSRI is an indication of revenue inflation or deflation?

A

indication of revenue inflation (Days Sales Receivable Index)

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8
Q

Beneish Model Input GMI: declining margins is more or less likely to manipulate earnings?

A

more likely to manipulate earnings when declining (Gross Margin Index)

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9
Q

Beneish Model Input AQI: Increase could indicate more or less capitalization of expenses?

A

increase can indicate more/excessive capitalization of expenses (Asset Quality Index)

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10
Q

Beneish Model Input SGI: Increasing or decreasing could indicate manipulated earnings?

A

not a measure of manipulation itself, growth companies tend to manipulate earnings to meet ongoing expectations (Sales Growth Index)

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11
Q

Beneish Model Input DEPI: What does DEPI greater than 1 suggest?

A

suggests that assets “are being depreciated at a slower rate in order to manipulate earnings” (Depreciation Index)

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12
Q

Beneish Model Input SGAI: increase or decrease may suggest manipulation?

A

“increase in SGA expenses might predispose companies to manipulation” (Sales Gen & Admin Expens Index)

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13
Q

In the earnings regression model, alpha + (beta x earnings) + error term, what does a higher beta indicate?

A

higher beta value indicates higher persistence/recurring earnings

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14
Q

define non-discretionary accruals

A

accruals that are part of normal business

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15
Q

In the regression model for earnings where = alpha + (beta1 x cash flow) + (beta2 x accruals), is B1>B2 or

A

B1>B2

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16
Q

When earnings are largely comprised of accruals, mean reversion occurs faster or slower?

A

faster and “even more so when accruals are mainly discretionary” (because they will eventually be paid off)

17
Q

what are the two major contributors to earnings manipulation?

A
  1. revenue recognition issues and 2. expense recognition issues
18
Q

Which Financial Report Quality is higher, when it is GAAP Compliant and decision-useful with high qual earnings or when GAAP compliant, decision useful, but low qual earnings?

A

AAP Compliant and decision-useful with high qual earnings is highest quality

19
Q

Which Financial Report Quality is higher, when it is GAAP compliant, decision useful, but low qual earnings or When GAAP compliant but not decision-useful (biased choices)?

A

GAAP compliant, decision useful, but low qual earnings is higher quality. highest quality is when it has high qual earnings and not low qual earnings

20
Q

higher growth rate of receivables relative to growth rate of revenues is good or bad?

A

bad - red flag for analyst

21
Q

Stable/improving profit margins but increase in non-current assets is good or red flag?

A

may be a warning sign that the company is capitalizing expenses to put them on balance sheet instead of expensing them

22
Q

Stable/improving profit margins but decrease in asset turnover is good or red flag?

A

red flag that there might be cost capitalization where instead of expensing, the company is adding as cap. cost

23
Q

Mgmt can affect cash flows via strategic decisions like timing issues. How does an analyst identify this?

A

Analyst would review activity rations (receivables/payables turnover) to see if mgmt is increasing OCF (op cash flow) via slowing down payments to suppliers for example

24
Q

LVL 1 reminder - how are cash flows from sale of available-for-sale securities versus sale of trading securities treated in Cash Flow statement?

A

sale of available-for-sale securities = CFI while sale of trading securities = CFO

25
Q

What are three components of high qual bal sheet?

A

completeness, unbiased measurement and clarity of presentation

26
Q

Define completeness in balance sheet

A

when bal sheet includes off-bal sheet liabilities (e.g. Op Leases)

27
Q

Define unbiased measurement in balance sheet

A

balance sheet “reflects subjectivity in measurement of some assets/liabilities”

28
Q

Define clear presentation in balance sheet

A

companies can present items as single-line or grouped together. Clarity allows analyst to gather relevant info to make comparisons