FRA Lvl 2 - Reading 21 (Eval Qual of Fin Reports) Flashcards
What is the Beneish Model used for?
It is a probit regression model that estimates the probability of earnings manipulations using eight dependent variables. the M-Score determines the probability of earnings manipulation. higher m-score = higher probability
What are the limitations of the Beneish model?
“relies on accounting data, which may not reflect economic reality”
Define the Altman Z-Score Model
provides “probability that a firm will file for bankruptcy.” higher z-score = less likelihood of bankruptcy
What is limitation of Altman Model?
it is a single-period model and does not capture changes in key variables over time. Also uses mostly accounting data
What are the two elements of earnings quality?
- “Sustainable: high-qual earnings tend to persist in the future” 2. “Adequate: high-qual earnings cover the company’s cost of capital”
define sustainable persistent earnings
“earnings that are expected to recur in the future”
Beneish Model Input DSRI: increase in DSRI is an indication of revenue inflation or deflation?
indication of revenue inflation (Days Sales Receivable Index)
Beneish Model Input GMI: declining margins is more or less likely to manipulate earnings?
more likely to manipulate earnings when declining (Gross Margin Index)
Beneish Model Input AQI: Increase could indicate more or less capitalization of expenses?
increase can indicate more/excessive capitalization of expenses (Asset Quality Index)
Beneish Model Input SGI: Increasing or decreasing could indicate manipulated earnings?
not a measure of manipulation itself, growth companies tend to manipulate earnings to meet ongoing expectations (Sales Growth Index)
Beneish Model Input DEPI: What does DEPI greater than 1 suggest?
suggests that assets “are being depreciated at a slower rate in order to manipulate earnings” (Depreciation Index)
Beneish Model Input SGAI: increase or decrease may suggest manipulation?
“increase in SGA expenses might predispose companies to manipulation” (Sales Gen & Admin Expens Index)
In the earnings regression model, alpha + (beta x earnings) + error term, what does a higher beta indicate?
higher beta value indicates higher persistence/recurring earnings
define non-discretionary accruals
accruals that are part of normal business
In the regression model for earnings where = alpha + (beta1 x cash flow) + (beta2 x accruals), is B1>B2 or
B1>B2