Formulas Flashcards
Sharpe Ratio
measures excess return per unit of risk
r_portfolio - r_free / sigma_portfolio
Roy’s safety first ratio
r_portfolio - r_target / sigma portfolio
Correlation and covariance
corr(a,b) = cov(a,b) / (sigma_a*sigmab)
Normal distribution, percentage:
68%, 90%, 95%, 99%
1 sigma, 1.65 sigma, 1.96 sigma, 2.58 sigma
Standard error
sigma_x = sigma / sqrt(n)
Confidence interval
x+- z * sigma/sqrt(n)
z = 1.645 for 90% conf int z = 1.96 for 95% conf int z = 2.58 for 99% conf int
Type I and Type II error
Type I: rejection of null hypothesis when it’s actually true
Type II: failure to reject null hypothesis when it’s actually false
Reversal patterns
Head and shoulders, double/triple top or bottom
Continuation patterns
Triangle, rectangles, pennants, flags
Own price elasticity
% quantity demand change / % price change
> 1, elastic
< 1, inelastic
Income elasticity, normal good, inferior good
% quantity demand change/ % income
positive, normal good
negative, inferior good (as income increase, demand decrease)
Cross price elasticity
% quantity demand change / % price of related good
positive, substitute (increase in relative good price increase own price, since people choose the substitute over the more expensive)
negative, complement
Sealed bid
Highest bid wins, pays amount bid, bids are unknown to other bidders
Vickery bid
(second price sealed bid)
Highest bid wins, pays second high bid price
Dutch bid
(descending price)
Price decline until all units can be sold, each bidder pays price bid
Modified dutch
Price declines until all units can be sold, each bidder pays last price (lowest)
Fiscal budget deficit, saving and trade balance equation
G - T = (S - I) - (X - M)
Fiscal budget deficit = Excess saving - trade balance
Frictional unemployment
Time lag in matching qualified workers with job openings
Structural unemployment
Unemployed workers do not have the skills to match newly created job
Cyclical unemployment
Economy producing at less than capacity during contraction phase of business cycle
Money multiplier
Money multiplier = 1 / Reserve requirement
Fiscal multiplier
Fiscal multiplier = 1 / (1 - MPC * (1-t))
MPC - Marginal propensity to consume
t = tax rate
Increase in aggregae demand = gov spending * fiscal multiplier.
Ex: Gov spending = $100, tax is 25%, 75 is received by other, MPC = 80%, thus additional spending by who receives gov spending = 75* 0.8 = 60.
Then this 60 is again spent at 60 0.750.8, etc..
Expansionary and contractionary monetary policy
If policy rate < neutral interest rate, is expansionary
If policy rate > neutral interest rate, is contractionary
Expansionary and contractionary fiscal policy
When budget deficit is increasing or surplus is decreasing, it is expansionary
When budget deficit is decreasing or surplus is increasing, it is contractionary
Real exchange rate (domestic/ foreign)
= nominal exchange rate * (foreign CPI) / (domestic CPI)
CFO calculation
- Start from net income
- Add noncash charge (depreciation), subtract noncash components
- Subtract gain (add back loss) from sales of assets (since they are CFI)
- Subtract gains or add loss from CFF
- Adjust for change in balance sheet
Accounts receivables went up -> sales sales during the period were greater than cash collected -> subtract account receivables increase
Basically:
- Increase in operating asset accounts (use of cash) are subtracted
- Increase in operating liability accounts (source of cash) are added
Need to subtract tax
Free Cash Flow
= Operating cash flow - net capital expenditures
= NI + NCC + [Int * (1 - t)] - FCInv - WCinv NI = net income NCC = non cash charges Int = interest expense t = tax rate FCInv = fixed capital investment WCInv = working capital investment * Interest expense(net of tax) is added back to net income since FCFF is the cash flow available to stockholders and debt holders, interest expense are available to those people.
Common size balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow ratio?
Balance sheet: total asset
Income statement: sales
Cash flow: net revenue
Growth rate
g = RR * ROE
RR = retention rate= 1 - dividend payout ratio = 1 - dividend declared/operating income after taxes
DuPont analysis and extended form
Traditional
ROE = net profit margin * asset turnover * equity multiplier
Extended ROE = tax burden * interest burden * EBIT margin * asset turn over* equity multiplier tax burden = net income / EBT interest burden = EBT / EBIT EBIT margin = EBIT / revenue
Double declining method
2 * (cost - accum. depreciation) / useful life
Note no salvage value
Revaluation of long-lived assets
IFRS: gain is recognized to the extent it reverse previously recognized impairment loss. Further gains recognized in equity as revaluation surplus
GAAP: not allowed
Pure play method
- Delever asset beta for comparable company (divided by 1 + (1-t) * D/E)
- Relever project beta for subject firm (multiply 1 + (1-t) * D/E)
Working capital
Current Asset - Current Liability
Security Market line (SML) and stock pricing
Return plot over the SML is underpriced
Return plot under the line is overpriced
Measure of excess return per unity of total risk
Sharpe ratio and M-Squared
Measure of excess return per unit of systematic risk
Treynor measure and Jensen’s alpha
Security market operational efficiency
Lowest possible transaction cost
Security market informational efficiency
Price rapidly adjust to new information
Leveraged factor
1 / margin percentage
Levered return
HPR * leverage factor
Quote-driven market
Investor trade with dealers
Order driven markets
buyers and sellers matched by rules
Brokered markets
bnroker find counterparties
Dividend Discount Model assumptions
- Stock pays dividends, constant growth rates
- Constant growth rate never changes
- Required rate of return (k) must be greater than growth (g)
Bullet cash flow structure (bond)
All principal is repaid at maturity