Forecasting Analysis Flashcards

1
Q

Pengertian Forecasting Analysis

A

analisis untuk memperkirakan kejadian di masa depan berdasarkan data-data di masa lalu

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2
Q

Macam-macam metode peramalan

A

Moving Average, Trend Analysis, Weight Moving Average, Decomposition, Exponential Smoothing

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3
Q

Macam-macam Ketetapan Metode Peramalan

A

Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE),

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4
Q

Stationary R-squared

A

hubungan antara variabel dependent dengan independet, dimana jika nilainya mendekati nilai 1 menunjukan analisisnya semakin baik

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5
Q

R-square

A

variabel respon, dimana jika nilainya lebih dari 0,5 atau mendekati nilai 1 menunjukan analisisnya semakin baik

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6
Q

RMSE

A

akar dari nilai yang diperoleh pada MSE

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7
Q

MAPE

A

rata-rata persentase error

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8
Q

MaxAPE

A

nilai maksimal persentase error

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9
Q

MAE

A

nilai kesalahan atau error, yang seberapa besar jika dibandingkan dengan nilai aktual

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10
Q

SPSS

A

SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) adalah sebuah program pada komputer yang digunakan untuk membuat analisis statistika.

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11
Q

Significant

A

nilai significant berarti nilai untuk mengetahui
model yang digunakan pada peramalan significant (layak) atau tidak. Jika nilai significant lebih dari 0,05 maka model peramalan layak digunakan

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