Forecasting Flashcards
The average demand for all periods that averages out seasonality.
DESEASONALIZED DEMAND
Demand data that is erratic over time.
DYNAMIC DEMAND
General upward or downward movement of a variable over time.
TREND
A repetitive pattern of demand from year to year with some periods higher than others.
SEASONALITY
An arithmetic average of a certain number of recent observations.
MOVING AVERAGE
Based on factors outside of the organization.
EXTRINSIC
A fluctuation in data that is caused by uncertain or random occurrences.
RANDOM VARIATION
Same as deseasonsalized demand.
AVERAGE DEMAND
Based on factors from within the company.
INTRINSIC
An index of total business activities at the regional, national, and global levels.
ECONOMIC INDICATOR
A consistent deviation from the mean in one direction (high or low).
BIAS
Historical data is used to project into the future.
QUANTITATIVE FORECASTING
A number used to adjust data to seasonal demand.
SEASONAL INDEX
Demand data that retain the same general shape over time.
STABLE DEMAND
Intuition or judgment is used to predict into the future.
QUALITATIVE FORECASTING