Fixed Income Flashcards
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Incremental Return (XR)
XR = (s x t) - (Δs x SD) - (t x p x L)
- s = spread
- t = time
- SD = Spread duration
- p = prob of loss
- L = Loss severity
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Duration Matching for Single / Multiple Liabilities
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For a single liability:
- PVA ≥ PVL
- Match Macaulay D; DA = DL
- Minimize asset convexity (make it closer to a zero-coupon bond)
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For multiple liabilities:
- PVA ≥ PVL
- BPVA = BPVL
- ConvexityAssets slightly exceeds ConvexityLiabilities
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4 Types of FI Liability-Based Mandates
- Cash flow matching - buy zero-coupon bonds for each cash flow
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Duration matching - only works for parallel shifts, requires rebalancing,
- For a single liability = minimize asset convexity
- For multiple liability = ConvexityAssets > ConvexityLiabilities
- Contingent immunization - active strategy when MVAssets > PVLiabilities
- Horizon matching – short term is cash flow matched and long term is duration matched
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Fixed Income Expect Returns
(Decomposing Bond Returns)
ALWAYS DIVIDE ANNUAL COUPON BY CURRENT BOND PRICE
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Levered Return
Rp = RAsset + [(VDebt/VEquity) * (RAsset − RDebt)]
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Yield curve Curvature
Butterfly spread
Butterfly Spread = -Short + 2 * Intermediate - Long
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Δ Slope
Δ Slope (30s – 2s) = Flatter/Steeper
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$ Duration and PVBP
$ Duration = Modified Duration x MV x 0.01
PVBP = Modified Duration x MV x 0.0001
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Macaulay (D)
Macaulay (D) = ∑ (PV of CFs weighted by length of time to receipt) / MVBond
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Modified Duration (MD)
Macaulay DAnnual / (1 + CF yieldAnnual/2)
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Duration gap
|BPVA − BPVL|
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Yield Curve portfolio strategies
- Buy and hold: increasing duration to obtain higher income yield.
- Ride the yield curve (a more active version of buy and hold): Buy higher-yield bonds with longer durations and sell them for a gain as they roll down to a lower-yield portion of the curve (assuming steep YC).
- Sell convexity (for low vol scenario): buy callable and MortgageBackedSecurities for higher yield or sell options for premium income.
- Carry trade: buy higher yield (longer-duration or higher-yield currencies) and borrow at lower yield (inverse).
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Yield Curve portfolio types
Bullet-like: Cash flows concentrated at a single point in time. Lower convexity (undesirable), but higher yield (desirable)
Barbell-like: Cash flows concentrated in shorter and longer durations. With > dispersion, higher convexity but lower yield
Ladder-like: Equal amounts of bonds in each period, more liquidity and diversification
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Spread measures:
Benchmark spread: Bond – Closest Dur. Gov. Bond
G-spread: Bond – Interpolated Gov. Bond
I-spread: Bond – Interpolated Swap rate yield
OAS: trial-and-error estimation of average expected incremental return. Best for bonds with embedded options.
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zero replication
zero replication is when the interest rate risk has been immunized (i.e. duration match)