Financial Modeling and Forecasting 2 Flashcards
Business Sales forecasting methods
1) Trend Analysis
2) Moving average
3) Exponential smoothing
Probability analysis
Is used during capital budgeting risk analysis
If Variable cost per unit decreases what happens to contribution margin, break even point and margin of safety
Contribution Margin - Increase
Break Even Point - Decrease
Margin of Safety - Increase
Higher contribution margin
makes it easier to get to the break even point
During Inflation
people and companies like to borrow money (repay with money that has less purchasing power)
Deflation
Discourages borrowing
High rates of inflation are associated with
economic contraction
redistribution of wealth
What happens to total variable costs when production increases within the relevant range?
Total Variable costs increases
what is the foundation for fair value modeling
objective data
Greater subjectivity in the assumptions and a longer forecast period for expected future cash flows
can lead to more uncertain results in valuation models