Financial Management Flashcards
What is the relationship between inflation and rates
1+m = (1+i)(1+r) m = money rate (what should be used to discount) I = inflation r = real rate
What is Shareholder Value Analysis
process of analysing the activities of a business to identify how they will result in increasing shareholder wealth
What are the 7 key drivers of value in SVA
sales growth rate operating profit margin CT rate Investment in NCA's Investment in Working capital Cost of capital Life of projected cash flow
What are real options and give some examples
Intangible issues that could affect the investment but whose value is less easy to quantify
Follow on option
Abandonment option
Timing option
Growth option
What is the difference between risk and uncertainty
risk: several outcomes and probabilities known and quantified
Uncertainty: possible outcomes are known but probabilities are unknown
methods for handling uncertainty
- setting maximum payback periods
- increasing the discount rate for appraising the project
- assessing the best and worst possible situations
- using sensitivity analysis
strengths and weaknesses of sensitivity analysis [3/3]
strengths
- facilitates subjective judgement
- identifies the areas crucial to success
- no complicated theory needed to understand
weaknesses
- only one factor can be analysed at a time
- assumes changes to variables are independent
- provides information on changes, doesn’t indicate what changes should be made
What is unsystematic risk
risk that can be diversified away by a diversified portfolio
Give some weaknesses of the CAPM [4]
- shareholders may not be diversified, especially in smaller companies
- depends on perfect capital markets
- need to determine the risk-free rate and return on market. historical returns and expected returns have limitations
- errors in the statistical analysis used to calculate B values, which may also change over time
What are the three alternatives to the CAPM
Alpha value
Arbitrage pricing model
Fama-french three-factor model
What is the alpha value model
measures how wrong the CAPM is, will tend to zero over time for an individual share
If its > 0, investors would want to buy the share, thus increasing its price
What is the arbitrage pricing model
Assumes that the return on each security is based on a number of independent factors.
Assumes that investors are fully diversified so only systematic risk influences the returns
What is the fame-french three factor model
Three factors are
- return on market portfolio less the risk-free rate of interest
- size factor as the difference between a portfolio of the smallest stocks and a portfolio of the larger stocks
- value factor, a share with a high balance book value per share compared to market price should have a higher return that one with a low book value
What is the hedge efficiency
Refers to the extent of risk neutralisation that the hedge delivers
= gain on futures/loss on portfolio x 100%
Limitations of FRAs [3]
- usually only available on loans over £500k
- hard to obtain for periods of over one year
- remove any upside potential