Final exam Flashcards
Migration involves
-change in residence
-a move across an administrative boundary
-time or period
migration stream
people who migrate from one area to another in a
given period, can be gross (sum of streams) or net (difference in
streams)
out migration
-makes most sense, because have an estimate of the
number of people at risk of moving out of a population
in migration
makes less sense, because measures of current
residents are not at risk for moving in
Data on migration
- Often incomplete, especially for international migration
- No one organization measures this for the whole world!
Important sources on data migration
-administrative records
-retrospective questions
-surveys
-indirect estimation
Prehistoric expansions of populations
- Foragers and nomads
- Ecological determinants
Forced or impelled migration
- Conflicts, expanding states, colonization, war, natural disaster
- Slavery and indentured servitude
- Human trafficking
Free migration
most familiar to people today
internal migration
Migration within a country, but
between administrative
boundaries
macroeconomics
Regions with high supply of labor will send migrants to regions with low
supply of labor
microeconomics
- Individual-level: individuals choose based on cost-benefit analysis (rational
choice)
World systems theory
World economy is best understood as a single unit, not in terms of
individual countries
three parts to the world system
Core (3)
Semi-periphery (2)
Periphery (1)
The core
- Strongest and most powerful nations
- Produces capital-intensive, high-technology goods
- Most flow to other core nations, some to periphery.
- Dominated by manufacturing, with some focus on agriculture
- Strong state
- Superior military forces
The semi-perihipery
- Semi-industrialized, middle-income countries
- Profit from the periphery and yield profits to the core
Periphery
- Weak states
- Low-income, largely agricultural countries
- Exploited by the core to their economic advantage
- Working classes produce cheap goods for the world market
“two-track” world
- Rich countries with low fertility are aging and need labor, especially in service
sector - Poor countries with high fertility don’t have enough jobs for young people
climate driven migration
-climate change will create “environmental migrants” or climate refugees
-movement away from environmentally threatened areas
-thought to increase in next few decades
slow onset
drought, elevated temps
-more likely to result in migration due to extended time to make decisions
rapid onset
floods
-less likely to result in migration since its so sudden & loss of capabilities
shock severity
complex set of relationships
Doomsday model
November 13th 2026 (give or take)
-Projected date when human population will approach infinity, given these
assumptions
Cohort component method
- Population numbers at each age depend on the size of cohorts
moving (or aging) through the population age structure - Methods that use changes in cohorts anticipate discontinuities in
population change (booms, busts, echoes, etc)
CCM steps
-choose time interval
-gather data
-calculate the components of change (survivors by age and sex, projected total births, net migration and migrant surviviors)
back projection
Take a current population and project back to figure out how it got to the current size and age/sex distribution
population momentum
Think of it as the potential for population growth or decline inherent in an age structure
population aging
- Increase in percentage of the
population at older ages - Interrelated with momentum
- Largest component: lower birth
rates
Other applications
Using life tables for other purposes:
* Biology
* Contraception
* Quality control engineering
* Equipment/fleet projections
* Survivorship after contracting a disease
* Pension/benefit program projections
Incomplete data
population policy
- An arrangement or program though which governments influence, directly
or indirectly, demographic change
Fertility policies (pronatalist or aninatalist)
- Can be pronatalist
- Encourage, incentivize, or reward childbearing
- Restrict access to family planning/contraception
- Defray costs of raising children
- Or antinatalist
- Encouragement of family planning
- Family size limits
- Eugenic measures (forced sterilization, etc)