Factors Influencing Voting Flashcards
What are the 4 social classes?
AB - Upper and upper middle class (Aristocracy to lawyers and surgeons)
C1 - Lower Middle Class (other white collar jobs like general office workers)
C2 - Skilled working class (tradesmen and builders)
DE - Unskilled working class (factory workers, cleaners, etc…)
What was the traditional correlation between class and voting?
Up until the 1970s the working class always voted Labour and the middle and upper class voted conservative (also support for liberals in middle class)
What has weakened the correlation between class and voting?
- Increased social mobility
- Class de-alignment means people identify less with their social class so people are expected to vote a certain way much less
- Wealthy urban dwellers with fairly left wing views are not uncommon (colloquially referred to as ‘champagne socialists’)
What has caused a shift to Tories from the C2?
The 1960s slum clearances to Essex and Kent caused the growth of enterprise culture and this C2, they originally relied on council houses but when they bought these under Thatcher in the 80s they began voting conservative in greater numbers.
What was the correlation between the 2017 election and class?
- Conservative was most popular amongst working class
- Labour support was lowest amongst C1 voters
How does gender impact voting?
Historically women have voted conservative more than men, however, in 2019 this flipped. No real correlation it seems.
How does age affect voting?
As somebody gets older the likelihood of them voting conservative increases too, every age bracket you go up there is a greater proportion of people voting conservative (no anomalies), and the younger vote Labour.
How does education affect voting?
Those that are more qualified are more likely to vote Labour than conservative, as education level increases the Labour and Lib Dem share of the vote rises whilst the Tory share of the vote falls.
What ‘employment status’ is most Tory and which most Labour?
Tory - Retired
Lab - Full time student then unemployed
What is the most Tory newspaper as of 2017 election?
Telegraph at 79%
What is the most Labour newspaper?
Guardian at 73%
How does ethnicity affect voting?
White voters are more likely to vote Tory
BAME voters are more likely to vote Labour
What are opinion polls?
Polls done on a sample of the electorate to gage how people are planning to vote
When have opinion polls been famously wrong?
Brexit (2016), 2015 election, 1992
What do nationwide polls struggle to predict?
The seats that parties win due to the nature of FPTP, they are more accurate in predicting the share of the vote a party will get