F12+F13 Flashcards
probability distribution
probability that the return will happen
what does variance measure in the contest of return?
how spread out the return is
measures the risk to go up or down
realized return
ex post
return that actually occurred over time
=capital gain and dividend yield
empirical distribution
plot probability distribution using historical data
average annual return
average of realized returns for each year
excess return
difference between average return for investment and average return for treasury bill
measures average risk premium that investors earned
common risk
risk that is perfectly correlated
(kärnkraft, vattenförgiftning)
market wide news-affect economy as a whole
systematic
independent risk
average of independent risks in portfolio
firm-specific news
do not correlate with anything else
efficient portfolio vs inefficient
inefficient portfolio is possible to find portfolio with better expected return and volatility
efficient can not diversify more. can not reduce volatility more without lower expected return
market portfolio
portfolio of all stocks and securities traded in the market
Beta
systematic risk of security
expected change in return % given 1 % change in market
market risk premium
market portfolio expected return-riskfree interest
CAPM
capital asset pricing model
cost of capital for investment with beta