Exam 2 Flashcards
Hypothesis
a theory about how the world works
- proposed as an explanation for data
- posed as statement about population parameters
Hypothesis testing
a method that used inferential statistics which of two hypothesis data support
likelihood
probability distribution of a statistic, according to each hypothesis
–if result is likely according to a hypothesis, we say data “support” or “are consistent with” the hypothesis
binary data
a set of two-choice outcomes
yes/no
binomial variable
a statistic for binary samples
– frequency of “yes” or “no”
binomial distribution
probability distribution for a binomial variables
null hypothesis
nothing interesting going on, blind chance
alternative hypothesis
one outcome more likely than expexed by chance
critical value
value or statistic must exceed to reject null hypothesis (luck)
sign test
ignore magnitude of change; just direction
–same logic as other binomial tests
Type 1 error
null hypothesis is true, but we reject it
– conclude a useless treatment is effective
Type II error
null hypothesis is false, but we don’t reject it
– don’t recognize when a treatment is effective
Type I error rate
proportion of times, when null hypothesis is true, that we mistakenly reject it
—Fraction of bogus treatments that we conclude are effective
Alpha Level
Chosen type I error rate
- -Usually .05 in Psychology
- -Determines critical value
Replication
- -doing exactly the same experiment but with a new sample
- -sampling variability means each replication will result in different value of statistic