Exam 2 Flashcards

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1
Q

Hypothesis

A

a theory about how the world works

    • proposed as an explanation for data
    • posed as statement about population parameters
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2
Q

Hypothesis testing

A

a method that used inferential statistics which of two hypothesis data support

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3
Q

likelihood

A

probability distribution of a statistic, according to each hypothesis
–if result is likely according to a hypothesis, we say data “support” or “are consistent with” the hypothesis

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4
Q

binary data

A

a set of two-choice outcomes

yes/no

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5
Q

binomial variable

A

a statistic for binary samples

– frequency of “yes” or “no”

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6
Q

binomial distribution

A

probability distribution for a binomial variables

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7
Q

null hypothesis

A

nothing interesting going on, blind chance

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8
Q

alternative hypothesis

A

one outcome more likely than expexed by chance

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9
Q

critical value

A

value or statistic must exceed to reject null hypothesis (luck)

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10
Q

sign test

A

ignore magnitude of change; just direction

–same logic as other binomial tests

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11
Q

Type 1 error

A

null hypothesis is true, but we reject it

– conclude a useless treatment is effective

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12
Q

Type II error

A

null hypothesis is false, but we don’t reject it

– don’t recognize when a treatment is effective

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13
Q

Type I error rate

A

proportion of times, when null hypothesis is true, that we mistakenly reject it
—Fraction of bogus treatments that we conclude are effective

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14
Q

Alpha Level

A

Chosen type I error rate

  • -Usually .05 in Psychology
  • -Determines critical value
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15
Q

Replication

A
  • -doing exactly the same experiment but with a new sample

- -sampling variability means each replication will result in different value of statistic

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16
Q

Sampliing distribution

A

the probability distribution of some statistic over repeated replication of an experiment

17
Q

distribution of sample means

A

the probability distribution for M

18
Q

Standard Error

A

Typical distance from M to MEW

19
Q

Law of Large Numbers

A

The larger the sample the closer M will be to MEW

Formally : as n goes to infinity, SE goes to 0

20
Q

Central Limit Theorum

A

Characterized distribution of sample mean

–works for any population distribution

21
Q

Distribution of sample variances

A

Probability distribution for s over repeated replication

22
Q

Chi-Square

A

probability distribution for sampel variance

–positive skew; variance sensitive to outliers

23
Q

t statistic

A

deviation of sample means divided by estimated standard error

24
Q

t distribution

A

sampling distribution of t statistic

–derived from ration of Normal and modified x (squared)

25
Q

t-test

A

Steps of t-test
1. State clearly the two hypotheses
2. Determine null and alternative hypotheses
H0: µ = µ0
H1: µ ≠ µ0
3. Compute the test statistic t from the data
t = M −µ0
s n
4. Determine likelihood function for test statistic according to H0
t distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom
5. Find critical value
R: qt(alpha,n-1,lower.tail=FALSE)
6. Compare actual result to critical value
t < tcrit: Retain null hypothesis, µ = µ0
t > tcrit: Reject null hypothesis, µ ≠ µ0

26
Q

degrees of freedom

A

df = n -1

27
Q

test statistic

A

statistic computed from sample to decide between hypotheses

–relevant to hypotheses being tested

28
Q

critical region

A

Range of value that will lead to rejecting null hypothesis

– all values beyond critical value

29
Q

Type II error rate

A

If the null is false, probability of failing to reject it

–depends on how false the null is

30
Q

p-value

A

probability of getting a value equal to or more extreme than what you actually
–cumulative distribution or quantile within sampling distribution

31
Q

Independent samples t-test

A

often interested in whether two groups have same mean

32
Q

Mean Squares

A

Average of squared deviations

–Used for estimating variance population

33
Q

Paired-Samples T-test

A

Data are pairs of scores (Xa, Xb)
–Form two samples, Xa and Xb
–Samples are not independent
Same null hypothesis as with independent samples

Approach
–Compute difference scores, Xdiff = Xa-Xb

34
Q

Difference score (For paired samples t test)

A

Xdiff = Xa - Xb

35
Q

Effect Size

A

if there is an effect, how big is it?

—How different is mew from mew not or mew A from mew b etc

36
Q

Point Estimate

A

We don’t know exact effect size; samples just provide an estimate

37
Q

Standardized Effect Size

A

Interpreting effect size depends on variable being measured
—Improving digit span by 2 more important than IQ
Solution: measure effect size relative to variability in raw scores