Exam 1 Flashcards
Intro to Biostatistics
Statistical characteristic of population is a ?
Statistical characteristic of population is a parameter.
- Population = The entire set of people in the group of interest
Intro to Biostatistics
Statistical characteristic of sample is a ?
Statistical characteristic of sample is a statistic.
- Sample = Subset of the population chosen for study.
Intro to Biostatistics
The “spread” of the data = ?
Variability
Intro to Biostatistics
Measures of Central Tendency?
- Mean: average
- Median: the score at which 50% of the scores are above and below
- Divides scores in two equal halves
- Mode: the score that occurs most frequently
Median is between mean and mode in skewed distributions.
Central Tendency = the statistical measure that identifies a single value as representative of an entire distribution.”
Intro to Biostatistics
Shapes of distributions include?
Normal (B):
Skewed to right (A):
* The “tail” faces right; not where the bulk of the curve lies
* AKA “positive skew”
* Mean > median/mode
Skewed to left (C):
* The “tail” faces left
* AKA “negative skew”
* Mean < median/mode
Intro to Biostatistics
The Normal Distribution
The Normal Distribution
Intro to Biostatistics
68% of the scores are within +/- _ ? _ SD of the mean.
The Normal Distribution
- 68% of the scores are within +/- 1 SD of the mean.
Intro to Biostatistics
95% of the scores are within +/- _ ? _ SD of the mean.
The Normal Distribution
95% of the scores are within +/- 2 SD of the mean.
Intro to Biostatistics
99% of the scores are within +/- _ ? _ SD of the mean.
The Normal Distribution
99% of the scores are within +/- 3 SD of the mean.
Intro to Biostatistics
A z-score of “2” is interpreted as?
A z-score of “2” is interpreted as 2 standard deviations from the mean
- Z-Score: A standardized score based on the normal distribution
- z = standard deviation units
Foundations of Statistical Inference
The likelihood that any one event will occur, given all the possible outcomes = ?
Probability = The likelihood that any one event will occur, given all the possible outcomes.
- Represented by a lowercase p
- Implies uncertainty – what is likely to happen
- Essential to understand inferential statistics
- Many statistical tests assume data are normally distributed
- Relationship to normal distribution
Foundations of Statistical Inference
Sampling error measured by ?
Sampling error measured by the standard error of the mean.
- The sample mean won’t equal the population mean = Difference is called sampling error.
- If you repeat the study using new samples from the SAME population, how much with the sample mean vary?
Foundations of Statistical Inference
A range of values that we are confident contains the population parameter = ?
- Confidence Interval = A range of values that we are confident contains the population parameter.
- Width concerns the precision of the estimate
95% Confidence Interval =
* If we repeated sampling an infinite number of times, 95% of the intervals would overlap the true mean
- The 95% CI of 5 from 100 samples will not overlap the true population mean
Foundations of Statistical Inference
Reject Ho + Ho is true = __?__
Potential Errors in Hypothesis Testing
Type 1 error / Liar
False positive / Dr. says “You’re pregnant” + you’re male
Foundations of Statistical Inference
Reject Ho + Ho is false = ?
Potential Errors in Hypothesis Testing
Correct
Foundations of Statistical Inference
Accept “do not reject “ Ho + Ho is true = ?
Potential Errors in Hypothesis Testing
Correct
Foundations of Statistical Inference
Accept “do not reject “ Ho + Ho is False = __?__
Potential Errors in Hypothesis Testing
Type 2 Error / Blind
False negative, You’re pregnant + Dr. says “You’re not pregnant”
Foundations of Statistical Inference
Alpha = ?
- Maximum probability of type 1 error
- Set by researcher before running statistics
- Usually set to 0.05 (max chance of type 1 error = 5%)
Foundations of Statistical Inference
P-value = ?
Formal definition:
- P-value = probability of observing a value more extreme than actual value observed, if the null hypothesis is true.
Simple definition:
- P-value = Probability of Type 1 error, if the null hypothesis is true.
Foundations of Statistical Inference
If P-value < alpha = ?
Decision Rule
Foundations of Statistical Inference
If P-value > alpha = ?
Decision Rule
Foundations of Statistical Inference
If we “fail to reject” (accept) Ho, we attribute any observed difference to ?
If we “fail to reject” (accept) Ho, we attribute any observed difference to sampling error only.
Foundations of Statistical Inference
If 95% CI of “mean difference” includes zero = ?
Non-significant because includes 0.
Foundations of Statistical Inference
What should you know about one vs. two-tailed tests?
- One-tailed test for directional hypothesis
- Two-tailed test for nondirectional hypothesis
- Two-tailed test allows for possibility that difference may be positive or negative.
- One-tailed test more powerful
- More power = more likely to find significance when there is significance.
- Less likely to commit Type II error