Exam 1 Flashcards
Sampling issues: sample size
May be difficult to get enough sample size to make good/reliable decisions
Sampling issues: spatial heterogeneity
Most populations are not evenly distributed
Sampling issues: temporal heterogeneity
Populations change over time
Sampling issues: sampling variability
Two random samples of the same population might yield slightly different results
The number of times a treatment is repeated
Replication
The standard of comparison (no treatments applied)
Controls
Every individual or sample unit has equal chance of being sampled from the population
Ensure samples are not biased
Protects against unrecognized influences
Randomization
Types of data: nominal or discrete or categorical
Age, status
Types of data: ordinal or rank
Abundance, wind speed
Types of data: continuous
Body mass, rainfall
Basic sampling designs: every sample unit/animal in the population has equal chance of inclusion
One of the most commonly used
Ensure randomly selected
Simple random
Simple random with replacement probably best used when you have ____ samples to work with
Smaller
Basic sampling designs: subpopulations identifies and sampled
Use when you potentially have differences in densities
Stratified random
Basic sampling designs: units/animals sampled at regular intervals
Randomly selected starting points
Simple systematic
Basic sampling designs: form of other sampling methods, but units are clustered for sampling due to similarity in habits or clusters of animals
Cluster sampling
Basic sampling designs: similar to cluster sampling, but you don’t cluster before sampling, cluster after finding animal or plant
Adaptive sampling
Adaptive sampling is primarily used for ____/___________ animals
Rare/uncommon
Null is true—> reject null
Type 1 error
Null is true —-> do not reject null
Correct decision
Null is false —> reject null
Correct decision
Null is false —> do not reject null
Type 2 error
Which type of error is worse?
Type 1 —> created false new knowledge
The ability to reject the null when you should
Power
How do you get more power?
- Increase sample size —> best way
- Change alpha
- Effect size
Set our alpha level at P =
0.05
Between 2 means
T-tests
Multiple means
Analysis of variance
The probability under a specified statistical model that a statistical summary of the data would be equal to or more extreme than it’s observed value
P-value
If P<0.05, we
Reject the null - there is evidence of a difference
P=0.20 - what error?
Type 1 error
A random variable; an unknown quantity or constant characterizing a population
Parameter
A numerical approximation of a true population parameter
Estimate
Mathematical formula used to compute a estimate
Estimator
The closeness of a measured or estimated value to its true value
Accuracy
Estimation goal
To have our estimate to be the same value as the parameter, to be accurate and precise
Precision leads to
Accuracy
The closeness of repeated measurements of the same quantity
Precision
Cannot control
Accuracy
Can control
Precision
Get us thinking beyond just the null and alternative
Multiple hypotheses
Approximation of reality
Models
Akaike’s information criterion (AIC)
AIC = -2ln(L) + 2q
L in the AIC formula =
Likelihood
Q in the AIC formula =
Number of parameters
4 parameters
Compex
3 parameters
Middle
2 parameters
Simple
Select the model for which AIC is _____
Minimum
AIC if done correctly results in
The selection of the best approximating model
Given equal explanatory value, we select the simplest explanation
Parismony
AIC score: ______ is best
Lower
AIC : substantial support for second-ranked model
AIC = 0-2
AIC: considerably less support for Model 2
AIC = 4-7
AIC: essentially no support for model 2
AIC = >10
Indices (index) —>
Active, passive
Estimates/counts —>
Surveys, mark/recapture
A measurable, correlate of abundance of a population, but not a population estimator
Indices
North American breeding bird survey is a prime example of large, annual _____
Index
Indices active examples
Spotlight surveys, pellet counts, call-back surveys
Indices passive examples
Scent stations, camera taps, harvest indices
A count or an estimate from a sample of a population or portions of a population
Estimates/counts
A total count of animals in a population
Rare among wildlife populations
Census
Census problems
No guarantee that some animals are not missed
Cannot assess his or precision of survey
Strip counts equation
N=C/p
Transect (Strip) Counts - Fixed Width equation
N = A£x/2Lwn^s
Strip/Transect counts can be done by
Ground or aerial surveys
Point Counts - Fixed Radius
N = A£x/npir^2