Evaluating theory with first 3 terms Flashcards
Abduction
An inference to the best explanation
- Descriptive adequacy
How well does it fit the data.
Identification problem
There’s always another theory that also explains the data. hard to identify which one, therefore more than descriptive adequacy is needed
- Precision
How precisely is it predicted. Either verbally or formal (R-W model)
Overfitting
also includes the noise, making it less generalizable/predictable/precise. Doesn’t fit the actual data well
Bononi paradox
Increasing the complexity of a model, which makes it better predict the outcome. This can make it harder to understand what it is you’re modelling. underlying process uncertain
- Coherence / consistency
Results should be coherent and consistent, what is the actual mechanism, is the structure internally contradicting.