European Monetary Union Flashcards
Gold standard (1870-1914)
Gold parities determined exchange rates
- > Internal convertibility
- > External convertibility
- > Automatic balance of payments adjustment
Bretton Woods Agreement
Fixed peg between the US$, which was convertible to gold and a number of international currencies
-> lasted from 1944-1971 until Germany began to let its exchange rate with the USD flow
Werner Report (1971)
Werner proposed realisation of EMU in 3 phases:
- Fixing of exchange rates
- Centralisation of monetary policy
- Further elimination of trade barriers
European Monetary System (EMS) (1979)
- answer to Bretton Woods collapse
- ongoing Bundesbank domination made EMS as a new system attractive
- Today: EMS mostly entry point for future monetary union members
Maastricht Convergence Criteria
- Inflation
- Long-term interest rate
- ERM membership
- Budget deficit
- Public debt
Optimum Currency Areas (OCA)
Mundell´s analysis suggested that:
- if the impact of shocks on particular areas is similar (i.e. symmetric), fixed exchange rates, or a monetary union, is appropriate
- if the impact of shocks is asymmetric, high labour mobility and/or wage flexibility (more particularly in a downward direction) are the main prerequisites
- McKinnon: degree of openness in an economy
- Kenen: high degree of product diversification, fiscal transfers/fiscal integration
Problem of deficit bias
- capital outflows and a weak euro
- pressure on other MS and Eurozone to help out
EU answers to Deficit Bias
- Maastricht Treaty provisions
- Stability and Growth Pact
Stability and Growth Pact
- meant to avoid excessive deficits upon entry into euro area
- reform in 2005 with relaxation of rules
Greek debt crisis
- public debt amounted to 180% of GDP
- until 2015, three bailouts were agreed
Resulting from the Eurozone Crisis:
The Treaty of Stability, Coordination and Governance (Fiscal Compact)
e. g.:
- Economic Surveillance Mechanism
- European Stability Mechanism
- Common banking supervisor (SSM)
- Common resolution framework (SRM)
- Common deposit guarantee (proposal)
The EU Commission’s Corona Recovery Plan
Three pillars:
- ESM/EIB: crisis support and guarantee fund for workers and businesses
- Next Generation EU: Temporary EU Recovery Instrument
- Increase in the EU budget from 1.2% of GDP to 1.4%