Estimation and confidence, significance test and p values Flashcards
How to deal with uncertainty
confidence interval, statistical significance test (if testing hypothesis)
What is standard error of mean and what does it do
standard deviation of sample means, provide estimate of precision of sample mean. SD/squareroot of n. If SE decreases, precision greater for larger samples
How to work out confidence interval
mean-multiplierStandard error of mean to mean+multiplierStandard error of mean
Multiplier=1.64 for 90% CI, 1.96 for 95% Ci, 2.58 for 99% CI
Standard error of proportion, how calculated and when used
squareroot (p(1-p)/n), large sample size
95% confidencce interval for a proportion from large sample
p-1.96standard error of proportion to p+1.96*standard error of proportion
What is classified as a large sample
Mean: sample size of 100 is considered large of sample mean
Proportions: for sample proportion, sample size considered large if r and n-r are both greater than 5. If not, binomial confidence interval can be calculated
2 tailed and 1 tailed test
2-alternative hypothesis is general and allows the difference to be in either direction
1-doesn’t distinguish between no difference and harmful effect.
2 sided tests should always be used unless justification
Error in significance testing
type 1: getting a significant result in sample when null hypothesis is in the underlying population (false significant)
type 2-getting a non significant result in sample when null hypothesis is false in the underlying population
What is statistical significance (p value) influenced by
size of real effect in population sampled, smaple size, variability of measure involved
Does statistical significance always link to clinical significancee
no