Equity Flashcards
Intrinsic Value
The value of an asset given a hypothetically complete understanding of the asset’s investment characteristics. Reflects the ‘true’ or ‘real’ value.
Rational Efficient Markets Formulation
Investors will not rationally incur the expenses of gathering information unless they expect to be rewarded by higher gross returns compared with the free alternative of accepting the market price.
The Valuation Process
1) Understanding the business
2) Forecasting company performance
3) Selecting the appropriate valuation model
4) Converting forecasts to a valuation
5) Applying the valuation conclusions
Porter’s Five Forces
1) Intra-industry rivalry
2) New entrants
3) Substitutes
4) Supplier Power
5) Buyer Power
Qualitative Factors
Includes the company’s ownership structure, it’s intellectual and physical property, the terms of its intangible assets such as licenses and franchise agreements, and the potential consequences of legal disputes or other contingent liabilities.
Absolute Valuation Models
A model that specifies an asset’s intrinsic value. Produces an estimate of value that can be compared with the asset’s market price.
Relative Valuation Models
Estimates and assets value relative to that of another asset. Similar assets should sell at similar prices.
Intrinsic Value (Formula)
Intrinsic value = year-ahead dividend/(required return - expected dividend growth rate)
Required Return Estimate
Required return estimate = (year-ahead dividend/market price) + expected dividend growth rate
Expected Equity Risk Premium
Expected equity risk premium =[ (1 + expected inflation)(1 + expected growth rate in real EPS)(1 + expected growth rate in P/E) - 1 + expected income component] - expected risk free rate
Unlevered Beta
Unlevered Beta = [1/(1 + D/E)] x Beta of Equity
Relevered Beta = (1 + D’/E’) x Unlevered Beta
Bond Yield Plus Risk Premium
Bond yield plus risk premium = YTM on the company’s long-term debt + risk premium
Industry Factors
1) Industry growth rate
2) Technology and Innovation
3) Government
4) Complementary Products and Services
Value of Growth
Also known as the Present Value of Growth Opportunities (PVGO). Sums the expected value today of opportunities to profitably reinvest future earnings.
No-Growth Value Per Share
The per-share value of assets in place because of the assumption that the company is not making any new investments because none are profitable.
V = E/r
E = EPS for the period r = required rate of return
Determining Present Value of Growth Opportunities (PVGO)
1) Value of the company’s options to invest, captured by the word ‘opportunities’
2) The flexibility to adapt investments to new circumstances and information is valuable
3) Value of the company’s option to time the start, adjust the scale, or even abandon future projects
Value of no-growth company = Dividend/r
P/E = 1/r + PVGO/E
P/E
Forward P/E = (D/E)/r - g = (1 - b)/r - g
Trailing P/E = [D(1 + g)/E]/r - g = [(1 - b)(1 + g)]/(r - g)
Return on Equity (ROE)
ROE = Net Income/Shareholder’s Equity
ROE = Net Income/Total Assets x Total Assets/Shareholder’s Equity
ROE = Net Income/Sales x Sales/Total Assets x Total Assets/ Shareholder’s Equity
Growth Rate (g)
g = Retention Rate x ROE
g = (net income - dividends)/net income x net income/sales x sales/total assets x total assets/ shareholder’s equity
PRAT Model
P = Profit Margin R = Retention Ratio A = Asset Turnover T = Leverage
g = PRAT
Free Cash Flow to the Firm
The cash flow available to the company’s suppliers of capital after all operating expenses (including taxes) have been paid and necessary investments in working capital (e.g.: inventory) and fixed capital (e.g.: equipment) have been made.
Free Cash Flow to Equity
The cash flow available to the company’s holders of common equity after all operating expenses, interest, and principal payments have been paid and necessary investments in working and fixed capital have been made.