Epidemiology Flashcards
Define epidemiology.
The study of the frequency, distribution and determinants of diseases and health related states in populations in order to prevent and control disease
Define incidence.
Number of new cases in a specified time interval
Define prevalence.
Number of existing cases at a specified point in time
What is Person-Time and when is it used?
Person-time = measure of time at risk
Used to calculate incidence rate
Eg
Incidence rate = No of persons who have become cases in a given time period
Total person-time at risk during that period
= 3/32
= 0.094 per person-year
= 9.4 per 100 person-years
Define public health.
The science and art of preventing disease, prolonging life and promoting health through organised efforts of society
Define absolute risk.
Measurement of likelihood a certain event would happen
*has units
Define relative risk.
Ratio of risk in exposed group to risk in not exposed group
*no units
RR>1 increased risk
RR=1 risk same whether or not exposed
RR<1 reduced risk
Define attributable risk.
Rate of disease that can be attributed to exposure
Incidence in exposed minus unexposed
From the following made up information, calculate attributable risk and relative risk:
Incidence of Disease A in smokers, 1/1000 person-years Incidence of Disease A in non-smokers, 0.05/1000 person-years
Attributable risk = 0.95/1000 person-years (i.e. difference)
Relative risk = 20 (i.e. ratio, no units)
Incidence of Disease B in smokers, 8/1000 person-years Incidence of Disease B in non-smokers, 4/1000 person-years
Attributable risk = 4/1000 person-years
Relative risk = 2
Define Numbers Needed to Treat (NNT).
Numberof patientsyou need to treatto prevent one additional bad outcome
Formula = 1/absolute risk increase
Define bias.
Systematic deviation from the true estimation of the association between exposure and outcome
What are the 2 types of bias?
- Selection Bias
A systematic error in:
the selection of study participants
the allocation of participants to different study groups - Information (measurement) bias
A systematic error in the measurement or classification of:
exposure
outcome
Sources of information bias:
observer (e.g. observer bias)
participant (e.g. recall bias)
instrument (e.g. wrongly calibrated instrument)
Define confounding.
Situation where a factor is associated with the exposure of interest and independently influences the outcome (but does not lie on the causal pathway)
If association not causal (non-causal associations), how could it be explained?
Bias
Chance
Confounding
Reverse causality
What are the “Criteria” for causality (or factors to consider when assessing causality) based on the Bradford Hill Criteria?
Bradford Hill Criteria (Std crab)
- Strength of association
the magnitude of the relative risk - Dose-response
the higher the exposure, the higher the risk of disease - Consistency
similar results from different researchers using various study designs - Temporality
does exposure precede the outcome? - Reversibility (experiment)
removal of exposure reduces risk of disease - Biological plausibility
biological mechanisms explaining the link