Epidemiology Flashcards
- What is a cohort study
- A type of observational study used to help find the association between cause and effect. You observe what happens to groups of people over time and there is NO intervention.
- What are advantages and disadvantages of cohort studies?
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Advantages:
- 1) Can get a temporal sequence between exposure and outcome as all individuals must be free of disease at beginning of study.
- 2) Good for looking at effects of rare exposures.
- 3) Allows for examination of multiple effects of a single exposure.
- 4) Not open to bias as much as other types of study
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Disadvantages:
- 1) Tend to be very time consuming and expensive
- 2) Over long time, may get loss to f/u. This can ‘dilute’ results or lead to bias.
- 3) Not good for looking at rare diseases.
- 4) Validity can be seriously affected by loss to f/u if study goes over long time.
What is relative risk?
RR=
(incidence of the outcome (disease) in the exposed group)/incidence of the outcome (disease) in the unexposed group
i.e. RR=
_I exposed/_Iunexposed
- good for telling individual risk of developing a disease if exposed to a particular risk factor, but tells us nothing about risk in the general populaion
What is Attributable Risk?
AR=
incidence of the outcome (disease) in the exposed group minus incidence of the outcome (disease) in the unexposed group.
i.e. AR=
Iexposed - Iunexposed
Can be used to calculate NNTT
What is NNTT?
The number of people needed to be treated with a drug or who would have to cease an exposure to prevent one case of disease or death (or in the case of drugs in order to reach a designated clinical endpoint)
What is the Preventive Fraction?
PF =
(Incidenceunexposed minus Incidenceexposed)divided by Incidenceunexposed
It is often expressed as a percentage and gives an indication of the proportion of disease (or whatever) in the unexposed group that is due to lack of preventative measures or that could be prevented by the beneficial exposure.
What is a case control study?
A group of people with a disease are compared to a group of people without the disease from the same population. (i.e. patients are selected on the basis of their disease or outcome status.) Exposure to risk factors in both groups is compared.
What are the advantages and disadvantages of case control studies?
Advantages:
1) allows for rapid study of a disease with a long latency period
2) cost and time efficient
3) Good for looking at rare diseases
4) allows for evaluation of a wide range of possible causative factors that might relate to disease being studied.
Disadvantages:
1) very susceptible to bias (esp selection and recall bias) as both disease and exposure had already occurred when participants enter the study.
2) Temporal relationship between exposure and outcome may not be clear.
What is the Odds Ratio?
OR=
Odds of exposure in cases (diseased)
Odds of exposure in controls (healthy)
What is a Randomised Controlled Trial?
Groups are exposed at random to an intervention and its effect on the outcome of a disease is measured. Ethical considerations limit its applicability.
What are the advantages and disadvantages of an RCT?
Advantages: provides powerful evidence of the effect of an intervention and represents the ‘gold standard’ of epidemiological research.
Disadvantages:
1) very limited use due to ethical concerns;
2) comparatively expensive;
3) difficult to design and conduct
Key issues to consider in design of RCT
Ethical issues Study population Sample size Sample collection Confounding and randomization Bias, blinding and placebo effect Compliance Outcome measures Stopping rules
What is Bias
Bias is any systematic error in an epidemiological study that results in an incorrect estimate of the association between exposure and risk of the outcome.
Types of Bias
- Selection Bias -Observation bias including
1) recall bias;
2) interviewer bias;
3) loss to follow-up (cohort studies);
4) misclassification
What is a Confounding Factor?
CF is one that is associated with the expsure and that independently affects the risk of developing the outcome, but that is not an intermediate link in the causal chain between the exposure and the outcome under study.
Stillbirth Rate
# of children born dead per year occurring after 24 weeks gestation x 100
number of live & still births in the year
What is the Early Neonatal Death Rate
# of deaths per year occurring in the the first week of life x 1000
total number of live births in the year
What is the Late Neonatal Death Rate?
# of deaths per year occurring in the the from 1 to 4 weeks of life x 1000
total number of live births in the year
What is the Neonatal Death Rate?
The Sum of early and neonatal death rates, i.e.:
# of deaths occuring from birth up to 4 weeks of life x 1000
total number of live births in a year
Perinatal Death Rate
Number of still births and early neonatal deaths per year x 1000
Total number of still births and live births per year
Post-neonatal Death Rate
# of deaths occurring after 4 weeks of age up to 1 year
total # of livebirths in the year
Infant Death Rate
Number of deaths occurring after 4 weeks up to 1 yr x 1000
total number of live births in the year
Epidemiology: What is the Morbidity Rate?
Type: Incidence
new cases of disease
total population at risk for this disease
- Epidemiology: What is the Mortality Rate?
Type: Incidence
# of deaths from the disease in question or all causes
Total population
- Epidemiology: What is the case fatality rate?
Type: Incidence
number of deaths from a specific disease
the number of cases of the disease
Epidemiology: What is the Incidence of a disease?
(# of cases of a specific disease)/
(total population at risk, for a limited time of observation)
Disease rate at autopsy
Type: prevalence
# of cases of a specific disease
of people autopsied
What is the Birth Defect Rate?
Number of babies born with a specific abnormality
Number of live births
Period Prevalence
Prevalence
Number of cases plus # of new cases during a given period
Total population
Compare and contrast Incidence & Prevalence
What is the EBM Hierarchy of Evidence?
In 1995, Guyatt and Sackett published the first such hierarchy.[3]
Greenhalgh put the different types of primary study in the following order:[2]
- Systematic reviews and meta-analyses of “RCTs with definitive results”.
- RCTs with definitive results (confidence intervals that do not overlap the threshold clinically significant effect)
- RCTs with non-definitive results (a point estimate that suggests a clinically significant effect but with confidence intervals overlapping the threshold for this effect)
- Cohort studies
- Case-control studies
- Cross sectional surveys
- Case reports
What is the Incidence Density?
Incidence Density =
# new cases population over spec time
Total person-time at risk
(person-time calculated by multiplying each person by the time included in the study)
This allows for studying population that includes people participating in population for different periods of time
What is Prevalence?
Prevalence =
number of cases at a given time or for a given period
number in population at that time
(point prevalence vs period prevalence)
What is Cumulative Incidence (CI)
Cumulative Incidence (CI)=
number of new cases arising in a population over specified time
total number at risk per same period of time
What is Population Attributable Risk (PAR)?
- estimates excess rate of disease in total population (i.e. exposed + non-exposed) that is attributable to exposure
PAR =
Incidence (total pop) - Incidence (exposed)
Alternatively, estimated by multiplying attributable risk by exposed portion of population.
What is Preventive Fraction (PF)?
If exposure is protective (e.g. vaccine) then:
PF =
Incidence (unexposed) - Incidence(exposed)
Incidence (unexposed)
This gives a proportion, not a rate.