Epidemiology Flashcards

1
Q

Coronary Heart Disease
Pathology

A

image

Section through a coronary artery

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2
Q

CHD Pathology: Coronary Artery Sections

A

images
Normal: muscle wall, endothelium + open lumen
=
Atheroma Plaque (mainly lipids) added to the artery
=
plaque ruptures + triggers clotting (angina, chest pains etc.)
= THROMBUS = Sudden hear attack or cardiac death

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3
Q

Typical pattern of disease
progression

A

graph
= progressive, degenerative disease over lifetime

middle age and old age: inflammation + thrombosis start to dev.

happens through whole life, unaware when young because of minimal/no symptoms (below arbitrary line)

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4
Q

CHD Clinical Presentations (5 marks)

A
  • SUDDEN CARDIAC DEATH
  • HEART ATTACK /myocardial infarction/MI
  • ANGINA (chest pain on exertion or stress)
  • progressive HEART FAILURE (shortness of breath, ankle oedema & fatigue)

Many patients chronically disabled with POOR QUALITY OF LIFEPOOR QUALITY OF LIFE (graphs and surveys - images)

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5
Q

Survival following Acute Myocardial Infarction or CHD

A

poor survival of patients following them - die v rapidly (within 1-10 yrs often)

(stats start at 50% because of sudden cardiac death (before hospitalisation-so not even recorded as tehy die rapidly))

Heart failure has poor survival rates compared to prevalent cancers

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6
Q

UK pre-covid CVD data

A

image

-account for 26% of all UK deaths;
168,000 per year (2019 data)

-Estimated 7+ million people in the UK living with CVD

-Estimated 42,245 die under the age of 75 every year

  • 70,00070,000 deaths UK annually, deaths UK annually, 23,000 )premature (<75 years)
  • 16% of all male and 10% female deaths
  • 2.3 million living with CHD
  • relatively high mortality rates
    internationally
  • 2.5 million years of life annually
  • £6.8 billion costs NHS costs
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7
Q

CHD big problem for NHS

A
  • 200,000 Myocardial Infarctions (MIs) per year
  • 30,000 out of hospital cardiac arrests (survival <1in 10)
  • Almost 1 million have survived a heart attack
  • CHD PREVALENCE ~ affects 2.3 million people in UK middle aged & elderly people)

NHS ACTIVITY ANNUALLY (approx):
* GPs see 1million1million individuals
* Hospitals admit half a million CHD patients
* 3.5% NHS admissions UK men, 1.5% UK women
* 97,00097,000 get angioplasty, &16,000 CABG

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8
Q

CHD Descriptive Epidemiology factors (3 marks)

A

*Time
*Place
*Person

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9
Q

Time

A

-decreased in CHD mortality over past 20/30yrs

-data (images)

-increase following pandemic

(think about why)

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10
Q

Place

A

Not really changed over time - fairly consistent

Eastern Europe, Ukraine, Russia = highest death rates ( high smoking, alcohol + diet)

Southern Europe, Greece, Japan = lowest death rates (Mediterranean diet)

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11
Q

Person

A

men > women

increase in age + susceptibility is v steep (= log scale)

men and women even out nearer old age (65+) because women lose oestrogen advantages (decreased levels)

increased in Deprived areas, esp. younger ppl (under 65yrs)

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12
Q

understanding so far

A

1) CHD is caused by atheroma &CHD is caused by atheroma &thrombosis

2) Coronary atheroma
- develops silently from childhood-
- manifests as adult disease or
death

3)CHD epidemiology is well understood

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13
Q

Risk Factor

A

ANY characteristic which IDENTIFIES a group at increased (decreased) risk of disease

They need NOT be:-
-independent
-causal
-modifiable

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14
Q

Cause

A

A CAUSE is a factor which itself
increases risk of disease (prevalence, incidence, mortality)

Cause = a biological, not a sociocultural phenomenon

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15
Q

R + C studies:

A

increased death rates in smoker +/ high cholesterol men +/ high BP

‘9 potentially modifiable risk factors could for over 90% of the risk of an initial acute myocardial
infarction’ : Smoking, Hypertension, Lipids, Abdom obesity, Diabetes, Fruit+Veg, alcohol, exercise, psychosocial, other = DIET explains 50% of death

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16
Q

3 types of Prevention

A

CHD starts EARLY but presents LATER:

Primary (before)
Secondary (reduce complications)
Tertiary (rehab)

17
Q

Primary prevention

A

1) Identify subjects at high risk: (Categorise patient by key risk factors
e.g. sex, age, diabetes status, smoker,
BP +cholesterol, ethnicity, BMI, Risk of major CV event within 10 yrs, postcode etc.) -QRISK3 score used to identify subjects with 10
year CVD risk of 10% or more

2) Reduce risk in population: reducing everyone’s obesity, diabetes levels, high BP etc. (reducing upstream determinants to prevent downstream causes) e.g. sugar tax

Any intervention achieving even a modest population-wide reduction in any major cardiovascular risk factor
would produce a net cost saving to the NHS, as well as improving health.

18
Q

Secondary Prevention

A

treatments e.g. statins, other drugs etc.

19
Q

Summary (7 marks)

A
  • CVD: long asymptomatic phase followed by a shorter clinical phase
    – Opportunities for prevention
  • Main determinants of CHD are known
  • Trends declining in developed countries
  • Delaying or preventing deaths by early interventions on CHD determinants
  • Debate about individual and population approaches to prevention
  • Large evidence based for treatments
  • Relative contributions of CVD prevention primary > secondary > tertiary

think about COVID disruption