Energy Flashcards
APACHE CORPORATION (APA)
Apache is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. It has a diversified portfolio with operations in the U.S., Egypt, and the North Sea. Strengths: Diversified geographic presence and solid credit metrics. Weaknesses: Exposure to geopolitical risks and fluctuating commodity prices.
Assets are a combination of Permian, Eqypt, and North Sea, with a relatively short reserve life. Offshore Suriname provides upside. The all-stock Callon acquisition (closed April 1st) will increase leverage modestly as Callon is higher levered at 1.4X, but overall is modestly credit positive. FCF will go to shareholders / debtholders on a 60/40 split. Positively, on its 1Q24 earnings call, management said it was a good market for divestitures and proceeds would be used to reduce debt to where “we are kind of a solid BBB type of rating.” APA has announced an exchange for old Apache Corp opco bonds for holdco APA Corp bonds. This will move bonds closer to Suriname assets, but with weaker post 2017 indenture covenants. Could also impact liquidity and index eligibility. Asset composition, capital structure complexity, and some weak CoC covenant language on post 2017-issued bonds warrant a discount to IG peers.
BBB3/BB+(Pos)/BBB-
Independent - Americas
$3.83bn in index across 7 issues
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LTD (CNQCN)
Canadian Natural Resources is one of the largest independent crude oil and natural gas producers in the world, with a focus on cost-effective development. Strengths: Strong operational efficiency and large reserve base. Weaknesses: Exposure to regulatory changes and environmental concerns.
Long reserve life and slow production decline of oil sands assets offsets the lower margin nature of oil sands production. Weakened its net debt target to C$10B from C$8B, which it reached in 4Q23, and will now allocate 100% of FCF to shareholders vs prior guidance of 80-100%. CNQ remains highly sensitive to commodity price volatility, which along with the ESG overhang result in spread concession vs peers. Bonds appear fully valued at current spreads
Baa1/BBB-
Independent - Americas
$5.55bn in index across 9 issues
CIVITAS RESOURCES INC (CIVI)
Independent oil and natural gas producer with operations in the Denver-Julesburg and Permian basins. Their business model emphasizes capital discipline, sustainable cash flow generation, and strong shareholder returns. Financially, Civitas Resources focuses on maintaining a strong balance sheet and delivering consistent cash returns to shareholders.
Ba3(Pos)BB-(Pos)/BB+
Independent - Americas
$4.10bn in index across 4 issues
CONOCOPHILLIPS (COP)
ConocoPhillips is a global energy company specializing in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. It is known for its strong operational performance and strategic asset portfolio. Strengths: Strong financial position and diversified asset base. Weaknesses: Exposure to commodity price volatility and significant capital expenditure. Second highest quality name in independent
Diversified asset profile more similar to large Integrateds and commitment to balance sheet support tight trading levels. $15B debt target implies ~3BB of debt reduction likely via scheduled maturities, with most FCF going to shareholders. The $3B purchase of the remaining 50% of the Surmont oil sands project is modestly leveraging, as will be the all-stock purchase of Marathon given its higher 1.2X leverage, but COP remains solidly positioned in its ratings with strong credit metrics. Willow project will increase Arctic production in medium term, creating ESG issues
A2/A-/A
Independent - Americas
$15.02bn in index across 20 issues
CONTINENTAL RESOURCES INC (CLR)
Continental Resources is a leading oil and natural gas exploration and production company, primarily operating in the Bakken and STACK regions. It is known for its low-cost production and significant reserves. Strengths: Strong production growth and low-cost operations. Weaknesses: High exposure to volatile oil prices and significant capital expenditure requirements.
CLR was taken private in 4Q22 and leverage has remained relatively stable. Net Debt/EBITDA was 0.87X at 2Q24 vs 1.12x in YE2022. Free cash flow should support a debt maturity in 2026 and moderate level of CapEx. No major acquisitions are currently expected. Longer duration bonds should trade at something of a discount, given CLR operates in the more mature Bakken and Anadarko basins.
Baa3/BBB-/BBB
Independent - Americas
$4.80bn in index across 5 issues ($3.10bn 144a)
DEVON ENERGY CORPORATION (DVN)
Devon Energy is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company, primarily operating in the U.S. It focuses on high-return projects and efficient operations. Strengths: Strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation. Weaknesses: Dependence on U.S. shale plays and exposure to commodity price fluctuations.
Devon has also been acquisitive, most recently the $5B purchase of Grayson Mills Energy in the Williston during 3Q24, which was funded 35% equity/65% debt and increases proforma leverage to 1X from 0.7X. Intends to direct 70% of free cash flow to shareholders via their fixed+variable dividend structure and share repurchase program. Having said that, they intend to reduce debt via $2.5B of upcoming maturities and call dates. Devon’s reserve life of ~8 years means they will likely remain acquisitive to replenish well inventory, as they have been outbid in many recent transactions.
Baa2/BBB/BBB+
Independent - Americas
$5.55bn in index across 9 issues
DIAMONDBACK ENERGY INC (FANG)
Diamondback Energy is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and exploration of unconventional oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin. Strengths: High-quality asset base and strong production growth. Weaknesses: High capital expenditure and exposure to oil price volatility. Third highest quality name in Independent
Permian pure-play with high quality assets. Has remained acquisitive, most recently the $26B Endeavor Energy purchase which increases production ~70% (closed Sept 10). The $7.1B cash component should not materially increase FANG leverage, as Endeavor was under-levered. Positively, mgmt will reduce the allocation of FCF to shareholders from 75% to 50%, with a goal of reducing debt to $10B by YE25. This followed two transactions closed in 4Q22 and 1Q23 that total ~$3B, funded about equally with debt and equity. While only in one basin, the increased size and scale along with strong balance sheet could result in upgrades to mid BBB. Continued acquisitive nature and serial funding of transactions should result in a bit of concession
Baa2/BBB- *+/BBB- *+
Independent - Americas
$11.24bn in index across 12 issues
EOG RESOURCES INC (EOG)
EOG Resources is a major player in the oil and gas industry, focusing on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. It is distinguished by its technological innovation and efficient operations. Strengths: Strong balance sheet and high operational efficiency. Weaknesses: Dependence on commodity prices and potential regulatory risks. Highest quality name in Independent
Strong credit metrics, with more cash than outstanding debt for the last six quarters. Defensive name that could become more attractive if oil prices continue to moderate. Tends to underperform peers in strong commodity price environments. Better opportunities elsewhere in the sector.
A3/A-
Independent - Americas
$2.75bn in index across 4 issues
HESS CORP (HES)
Hess Corporation is a global independent energy company engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. It has a balanced portfolio with significant offshore operations. Strengths: Strong operational performance and diversified asset base. Weaknesses: High capital intensity and exposure to geopolitical risks.
Hess credit profile turns on whether the acquisition by Chevron is completed or terminated due to Exxon trying to execute a right of first refusal on Hess’s 30% stake in their Guyana joint venture. While the JV agreement is private, it would appear Chevron/Hess have a strong position in the dispute, while current levels would indicate about a 50% probability of the deal closing. The FTC has approved the merger but the arbitration panel that will resolve the dispute is scheduled for May 2025, with a decision expected within three months after. Should Hess remain independent and retain its Guyana asset, leverage would come down gradually toward peer metrics due to increasing free cash flow from Guyana. Standalone Hess without its Guyana assets would likely result in debt tenders with sales proceeds, with remaining debt outstanding potentially falling to HY due to reduced size/scale
Baa3 *+/BBB- *+/BBB *+
Independent - Americas
$5.14bn in index across 7 issues
MARATHON OIL CORP (MRO)
Marathon Oil is an independent exploration and production company with operations in the U.S. and internationally. It focuses on high-return U.S. resource plays. Strengths: Strong cash flow generation and investment-grade credit ratings. Weaknesses: Exposure to commodity price fluctuations and high capital intensity.
Being acquired by ConocoPhillips in an all-stock transaction
Baa3 *+/BBB- *-/BBB- *-
Independent - Americas
$4.00bn in index across 6 issues
OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION (OXY)
Occidental is a multinational energy company with operations in the U.S., Middle East, and Latin America. It focuses on oil and gas exploration and production, as well as chemical manufacturing. Strengths: Strong asset base and significant production capabilities. Weaknesses: High debt levels and integration risks from acquisitions.
The $12B acquisition of CrownRock increased debt by $10.3B and leverage a half turn to ~1.8X, and closed on Aug 1st. OXY intends to divest $4.5-$6B of assets and reduce gross debt by at least $4.5B within 12 months and is maintaining their $15B gross debt target. The purchase poses risks similar to the Anadarko transaction if commodity prices fall, as leverage could approach 4X at $55 oil. Having said that, if they execute as intended their size, diversification and intended capital structure will warrant upgrades to mid/high BBB in the intermediate term. Berkshire Hathaway stake in common equity is now 28.8% vs at 25% six months ago. Current levels look unattractive given a moderating outlook for oil prices.
Baa3/BB+/BBB-
Independent - Americas
$17.54bn in index across 21 issues
OVINTIV INC (OVV)
Ovintiv is an independent energy producer with a focus on oil and natural gas exploration and production in North America. It emphasizes operational efficiency and technological innovation. Strengths: Strong operational efficiency and diversified asset base. Weaknesses: Exposure to commodity price volatility and high capital expenditure.
Leverage increasing to 1.4X fro 0.8X due to $4.25B cash aquisition of three Permian companies in 2Q23, offset by sale of Bakken asset for $825M. Mgmt intends to reduce debt to $4B from $6.5B via 50/50 split of FCF between debt and equity holders, which intent of achieving 1X leverage target in 2-3 years. Debt reduction to date has been modest/disappointing. Management reiterated their intent to begin paying down debt, but shareholder returns are taking priority. There were rumors in August they may sell their Uinta basin assets in Utah which could bring proceeds of $2B and accelerate debt reduction, as well as rumors early October than Coterra Energy was interested in buying Ovintiv. While increased Permian exposure is positive, OVV remains skewed to lower margin natural gas, so trades at a discount vs oilier peers. May 2023 bond offerings added needed liquidity to the capital structure.
Baa3/BBB-/BBB-
Independent - Americas
$4.79bn in index across 10 issues
PERMIAN RESOURCES OPERATING LLC (PR)
Independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, optimization, and development of high-return properties in the Permian Basin. Leverages its technical expertise and operational flexibility to maximize returns from its core assets in the Delaware Basin. Focus on high-return assets and operational efficiency enhances its creditworthiness. Concentration in the Permian Basin.
Rising star candidate
Ba3(Pos)/BB/BB+
Independent - Americas
$4.34bn in index across 7 issues
PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES COMPANY (PXD)
Pioneer is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company, primarily operating in the Permian Basin. It is known for its large, high-quality asset base. Strengths: Strong free cash flow and robust balance sheet. Weaknesses: High capital expenditure and exposure to oil price volatility.
Acquired
Independent - Americas
$3.95bn in index across 4 issues
SM ENERGY CO (SM)
Independent energy company focused on the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil in the U.S. Their business model includes a strong emphasis on operational efficiency and strategic asset management. Financially, SM Energy benefits from a robust portfolio of high-quality assets and a disciplined approach to capital allocation.
Ba3/BB-/BB- *+
Independent - Americas
$2.74bn in index across 5 issues
SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY COMPANY (SWN)
Independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids in the United States.Two segments: Exploration and Production, and Marketing, with a significant presence in the Appalachian Basin.
Rising star candidate
Ba1/BBB-/BBB-
Independent - Americas
$3.35bn in index across 4 issues
VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE)
Focuses on the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Permian Basin. Their business model emphasizes innovation and sustainability in energy production. Financially, Vital Energy benefits from strong production growth and strategic acquisitions that enhance their asset base.
B1/B(Pos)
Independent - Americas
$1.60bn in index across 3 issues
HARBOUR ENERGY PLC (HBRLN)
Independent oil and gas company involved in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves. Holds interests in properties located in the United Kingdom, Norwegian Continental Shelves, Indonesia, Vietnam, and Mexico, positioning itself as a significant player in the global energy market.
Rising star candidate
Baa2/BBB-/BBB-
Independent - Europe
$0.50bn in index across 1 issues
SANTOS FINANCE LTD. (STOAU)
Santos is an Australian energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. It has a strong presence in Australia and Asia. Strengths: Strong regional presence and diversified asset portfolio. Weaknesses: Exposure to regulatory changes and environmental concerns.
Baa3/BBB-/BBB
Independent - Other Developed
$1.85bn in index across 2 issues ($1.85bn 144a)
CHEVRON CORP (CVX)
Chevron is a major integrated energy company with operations spanning the entire oil and gas value chain, including exploration, production, refining, and marketing. It is known for its strong operational efficiency and strategic investments in renewable energy. Strengths: Strong financial position and diversified asset base. Weaknesses: Exposure to commodity price fluctuations and significant capital expenditure. Highest quality integrated name
Defensive USD only issuer with limited spread upside. Maintains a strong balance sheet wich supports its credit profile as well as high dividend payout. Cost overruns in Australian LNG and Kazakhstan operations are pressuring margins. Remains acquisitive (e.g. Hess, PDC Energy), but tends to do all-stock deals. Completion of Hess acquisition will likely be decided via arbitration and/or continued negotiation with Exxon and CNOOC.
Aa2/AA-
Integrated - Americas
$10.56bn in index across 12 issues
EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM)
Exxon Mobil is a global leader in the oil and gas industry, engaged in the exploration, production, and distribution of oil, natural gas, and petroleum products. It is distinguished by its extensive global operations and significant investments in technology and innovation. Strengths: Strong cash flow generation and a robust balance sheet. Weaknesses: High exposure to volatile oil prices and regulatory risks. Second highest integrated name
The acquisition of PXD for $59.5B in an all-stock transaction clsed in early May. Leverage is currently low and stable with Net Debt/EBITDA at 0.24x at the end of 2023 vs 0.19x in 2022. Continuing to target high cash balances ($31.5B at the end of 2023), but also planning to repurchase up to $20B of shares annually through 2025. CapEx guidance calls for $22-27B annually through 2027. While activist shareholders continue to push for less spending, slower growth, and more energy transition focus (which would be credit positive), they seem to have had less influence in the higher commodity price environment of the last year
Aa2/AA-
Integrated - Americas
$23.00bn in index across 13 issues
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SUCN)
Suncor is a Canadian integrated energy company focused on the development of petroleum resources, particularly oil sands. It differentiates itself through its integrated business model and commitment to sustainability. Strengths: Stable cash flow from integrated operations and strong market position in oil sands. Weaknesses: High capital intensity and environmental concerns related to oil sands.
Spreads more in line with mid-BBB Independent E&P, given heavy upstream oil sands focus and more limited downstream presence. In May they weakened their net debt floor/target to C$8B from C$5B. They will likely reach the new target in the next 3 to 9 months, after which distributions to shareholders will increase to 100% from 75% currently. New CEO focused on costs, improving safety, and better better operating results/up-time in its oil sands assets. Could remain acquisitive to replace Base Mine volumes which will be depleted in ~2035.
Baa1/BBB(Neg)/BBB+
Integrated - Americas
$5.30bn in index across 7 issues
BG ENERGY CAPITAL PLC (RDSALN)
BG Energy Capital, now part of Shell, was primarily involved in the issuance of debt securities to support its parent company’s operations. It played a crucial role in financing BG Group’s activities before the acquisition by Shell. Strengths: Strong backing from Shell and access to capital markets. Weaknesses: Integration risks and reliance on parent company’s performance.
Aa2/A+/AA-
Integrated - Europe
$25.75bn in index across 17 issues
BP CAPITAL MARKETS BV (BPLN)
BP Capital Markets BV is a financing arm of BP, responsible for issuing debt securities to support BP’s global operations. It benefits from BP’s strong credit rating and diversified energy portfolio. Strengths: Strong credit rating and access to diverse funding sources. Weaknesses: Exposure to regulatory changes and environmental liabilities.
Similar to peers, trajectory of credit profile improvement has flattened as they hit their $35B net debt target mid 2022, with shift of free cash flow toward shareholders. Now targeting 80% of surplus free cash flow to shareholders vs prior 60%, but subject to maintaining an A rating profile. Notably received upgrades to high single A by Fitch in Nov. 23 and Moody’s on March 26th. Conversely, S&P moved to stable outlook from positive in June due to the revised 80% allocation to shareholders and less debt reduction. Slowing the decline in legacy hydrocarbons production due to higher commodity prices and energy security considerations, while maintaining their energy transition investment goals/priorities. Still provides incremental spread vs large Integrated peers due to higher leverage, Has greater diversification than similarly/lower rated comps
A1/A-/A+
Integrated - Europe
$35.34bn in index across 28 issues