Communications Flashcards
COMCAST CORPORATION (CMCSA)
Global media and tech company with three primary businesses: Comcast Cable, NBCUniversal (NBCU) and Sky, operating through five segments: Comcast Cable (broadband, video, wireless, security under Xfinity), NBCUniversal in three segments Media (TV and streaming), Studios (film and television, and Theme Parks, and Sky (Europe). Diversified revenue stream, strong cash flow generation, and a leading market position in broadband and cable services. High capital expenditure requirements and exposure to competitive pressures in the media and telecommunications sectors. Highest qualiity name in communications
CMCSA provides risk of playing a major role in the consolidation of the media sector. Concerns around broadband sub growth will weigh on EBITDA expectations and needed network capex requirements. Still financial policy remains conservative with 2.4x net lev target and A- credit rating. Should trade 10-15bp inside of VZ. Prefer CMCSA to DIS
A3/A-/A-
Cable & Satellite - Americas
$86.29bn in index across 63 issues
COX COMMUNICATIONS INC (COXENT)
Wholly-owned cable subsidiary of Cox Enterprises, Inc. (CEI), a privately-held broadband communications and automotive services company. Cox is a broadband communications and entertainment company providing advanced digital video, high-speed internet, telephone, and home security and automation services over its nationwide Internet Protocol (IP) network. A stable revenue base (over 6mn customers) from subscription services and significant investments in infrastructure. Weaknesses include limited financial transparency due to its private ownership and high leverage ratios.
Low leverage and conservative financial policy but private company which necessitates a discount, and challenging broadband sub growth amid rising competition from telecom service providers. Limited upside given broadband and cord-cutting pressure. Should trade wide of RCICN and TCN; downside is to at least CHTR levels
Baa2/BBB/BBB+
Cable & Satellite - Americas
$9.71bn in index across 14 issues ($9.71bn 144a)
VIRGIN MEDIA SECURED FINANCE PLC (VMED)
Operates as a special purpose entity for issuing debt securities to refinance existing credit facilities and for acquisition purposes. The company’s strong business profile and solid financials, supported by its parent company VMED O2 UK Ltd, provide a stable foundation for credit investors. Their focus on reducing leverage and enhancing competitive positioning is also positive.
Ba3(Neg)/B+/BB+
Cable & Satellite - Europe
$7.27bn in index across 7 issues
CLEAR CHANNEL INTERNATIONAL BV (CCO)
Operates outdoor advertising services across various international markets. Their business model includes leveraging digital and traditional advertising platforms to reach a broad audience. Financially, Clear Channel focuses on maintaining a strong market presence and generating consistent revenue from their diverse advertising portfolio.
Unsecured bonds moved to overweight given the reduced probability of a recession, particularly as billboard is well positioned to capture advertising dollars alongside the shift to digital. I would be hesitant to add should there be economic softness as CCO is levered ~10x, which is high given valuations in the space have typically been 12x. With limited (negative) FCF available to pay down debt CCO will need an asset sale or equity raise to repair the balance sheet, which seems unlikely near-term given market conditions.
Caa1/CCC+
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$4.92bn in index across 5 issues
FOX CORP (FOXA)
News, sports, and entertainment company in the United States. Strengths include a strong presence in live news and sports broadcasting, which provides stable viewership and advertising revenue; strong financials and prudent financial management. Weaknesses involve high dependency on advertising revenue and potential regulatory risks associated with media operations. Less diversified than DIS and WBD
Event risk given management’s willingness to (selectively) pursue accretive inorganic growth opportunities in core verticals as well as possible spending in streaming and/or sports betting. Live TV business model is defensive, and while the political cycle and news/sports presence should alleviate some of the pressure on advertising, the company continues to face challenges associated with the linear entertainment industry. Gross lev at the low end of 2.25-3.0x target with $4.1B in cash. Trades too wide to other BBBs; would rather own FOXA vs RCICN (currently 126bp)
Baa2/BBB
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$6.64bn in index across 5 issues
HEARST TELEVISION INC (HTV)
Hearst Television is a leading local television broadcaster in the United States. Strengths include a stable revenue base from local advertising and strong market positions in key regions. Weaknesses are limited financial transparency due to private ownership and exposure to cyclical advertising markets
Acquired
Media and Entertainment - Americas
No USD Bonds Outstanding
META PLATFORMS INC (META)
Leading social media and technology company. Strengths include a dominant position in social media, strong user engagement across its platforms, and significant advertising revenue. Weaknesses are regulatory scrutiny, privacy concerns, and heavy reliance on advertising for revenue. Highest quality name in media & entertainment
Solid balance sheet and leadership position in the social media space, but digital ad exposure in challenging macro environment, a tough regulatory backdrop, constantly evolving data privacy laws and practices, and high investment requirements in the metaverse and AI for the next few years. Expect Meta to be a regular issuer. Like the name for defensive portfolios
Aa3/AA-
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$18.38bn in index across 9 issues
MOODYS CORPORATION (MCO)
Provides credit ratings, research, tools, and analysis to the global capital markets. Strengths include a dominant market position in credit ratings and strong recurring revenue streams. Weaknesses involve regulatory scrutiny and exposure to economic cycles affecting credit markets
Should trade 10-15bp wide of SPGI (currently 19bp wide of SPGI). Cognizant of some M&A risk but like the rating agencies over media
BBB+/BBB+
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$5.40bn in index across 11 issues
MSCI INC (MSCI)
Offers critical decision support tools and services for the global investment community. Strengths include a leading position in index and analytics services and strong recurring revenue. Weaknesses are high dependency on financial markets and exposure to regulatory changes
Baa3/BBB-/BBB-
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$4.20bn in index across 5 issues ($4.20bn 144a)
NETFLIX INC (NFLX)
Provider of entertainment services including TV series, films, and games across various genres and languages. As of June 30, 2024, the company has 277.7 million paid subscribers and is the world’s largest streaming company. Netflix was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California. Third highest quality name in media & entertainment.
Solid business platform with streaming, no linear headwinds, and potential tailwind from digital advertising. NFLX financial policy remains conservative with $5B+ of FCF and target gross debt of $10-15B equating to strong IG metrics. Potential to get to higher rating, but haven’t been willing to commit to A rating and/or a leverage tgt. Like the name for defensive portfolios
Baa1/A
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$9.00bn in index across 8 issues
OMNICOM GROUP INC (OMC)
Provides advertising, marketing, and corporate communications services. Strengths include a diverse client base and strong global presence. Weaknesses involve high competition in the advertising industry and sensitivity to economic downturns affecting advertising budgets
Gross lev target low-2x. Should trade wide of MCO and well inside of IPG
Baa1/BBB+
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$4.00bn in index across 5 issues
PARAMOUNT GLOBAL (PARA)
Media, streaming, and entertainment company worldwide, changed its name from ViacomCBS in Feb 2022. Strengths include a broad range of media assets and strong content creation capabilities. Weaknesses involve high operational costs and significant competition in the streaming market
In July 2024, PARA announced merger with Skydance that is a positive for credit as Skydance will inject $1.5B into PARA for debt reduction. PARA 2Q24 results were generally better than expected with Revenue missed but OIBDA and FCF ahead of consensus. Paramount+ subs showed significant growth yoy but were down seq due to exit from S Korea. PARA also took a $6B impairment related to linear. Prefer over WBD due to Ellison involvement and pot’l for asset sales but Moody’s review is an risk. Fallen angel candidate
Baa3(Neg)/BB+/BBB-(Neg)
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$14.66bn in index across 20 issues
S&P GLOBAL INC (SPGI)
Provides credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and workflow solutions. Strengths include a leading position in credit ratings and strong recurring revenue streams. Weaknesses involve regulatory risks and exposure to economic cycles affecting credit markets. Second highest quality name in media & entertainment
Should trade inside of DIS and MCO
A3/A-
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$10.70bn in index across 13 issues
TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC. (TTWO)
Leading developer and publisher of interactive entertainment under Rockstar Games, 2K, and other names. Strengths include a strong portfolio of popular game franchises and robust cash flow generation. However, weaknesses involve high dependency on a few key titles and significant competition in the gaming industry
Video game producer. S&P revised the outlook to negative on the expectation that the delay in the GTA VI release will result in EBITDA remaining suppressed and leverage sustained above the 2.0x downgrade threshold until the release. Disciplined financial policy but M&A focus results in event risk. Limited upside catalysts until GTA VI release or M&A resulting in expansion of offering/pipeline.
Baa2/BBB
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$3.05bn in index across 6 issues
The Walt Disney Company (DIS)
Diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. Strengths include a strong brand portfolio, diversified revenue streams from media networks, parks, and resorts, and robust content creation capabilities. Weaknesses are high operational costs, significant capital expenditures, and vulnerability to economic downturns affecting consumer spending
DIS 3Q24 results were generally solid. Raised FY24 EPS growth to +30% (vs prev +25%) and continue to guide FCF to ~$8B. Mgmt stays committed to its A rating and bringing leverage down to levels consistent with the rating (2.5-3.0x). In the face of s/h pressure, DIS declared a $0.30/sh dividend in Jan 2024 and then a 50% increase in July 2024 plus targeting a $3B buyback in FY24. Trades 18bp inside of CMCSA (prefer CMCSA, META, NFLX all over DIS).
A2/A-(Pos)/A-
Media and Entertainment - Americas
$34.34bn in index across 35 issues