Electoral Systems Flashcards
How has the party system changed?
1945-74: Labour and Conservative has 91-98% vote
1980s: conservative - THATCHER
1990s: New Labour. Lib Dems did make gains (Con Lab vote share fell to 73%)
2015: LD vote share fell. Issue voting (e.g. 2015 - UKIP won 2 seats)
2017: Conservative and Labour had 82% vote share.
Who decides constituencies
Boundary Commission
- 650 constituencies
- 75,000 per constituency
SNP versus Green vote share and seats
SNP Vote share = 3.9% Seats = 48 Green Vote share = 2.7% Seats = 1
Outcome of FPTP
- 2 party
- winner’s bonus
- strong single party government
- safe and swing seats
Two party (FPTP)
-Due to plurality within constituencies
2017 -> North East Fife won by 2 votes
-Favourable to those with concentrated support
-Small parties cannot compete monetarily
Winner’s Bonus (FPTP)
-Overrewards winner
2019-> Cons got 43% of vote but 56% of seats
-Take the entire seat
-Excludes small voices
Strong single party gov (FPTP)
-Usually gives large majority 1997-> 179 -Not recently 2010-> coalition -Usually means legislation can be passed easily -> Blair wasn't rejected until 2005
Example of Safe Seat
Birmingham Ladywood
2019-> 79% Labour
Example of Swing Seat
Fermanagh and South Tyrone
2019-> won by 0.1%
FPTP?
\+easy to understand \+quick \+accountability \+stops radicals \+proved the test of time \+AV 2011 rejected by 68% -wasted votes in safe seats -unequal vote value
How frequent are referendums
Used to be infrequent: only ever been 3 nationwide
Becoming more common, on important issues like Brexit.
Potential #INDYREF2
Do governments have to obey a referendum?
No, they are advisory. Realistically, however, they are rarely - if ever - ignored.
Role of referendums
- RESPOND TO PUBLIC PRESSURE
- > 2014 Scotland Referendum
- DECIDE CONTROVERSIAL ISSUES
- > 2016 EU (this actually backfired)
- AGREEMENT BETWEEN FACTIONS
- > 2011 AV Referendym
- GIVE LEGITIMACY
- > 1997 Scotland
Regulation of referendums?
- recognition of both sides
- expenditure regulation
- electoral commission oversee false info
Impact of referenda?
- undermines representative democracy
- only to give legitimacy when outcome is easily predicted (e.g. Scotland 1997)
- causes notable change
- remove policy from agenda (e.g. AV 2011)
- not binding
Why is representative democracy preferable?
- representatives are rational
- politicians have informed advisors
- representatives consider minority interests
- representatives elected for good judgement
Why did the UK vote against AV?
- complex
- pro reform campaign poorly run
- division even in labour
- conservatives strongly against it
Turnout = 42%
Voted against by 68%
Why did Scotland vote against independence?
Turnout = 84.5% No = 55% -Significant change -Impact on industry -Dual nationality -Fear of unknown
Impact of Scotland voting against independence?
- all 3 large parties promised more powers
- calls for 2nd referendum as Scotland voted Remain in EU
Impact of EU Referendum?
Turnout = 72% Leave = 52%
- Both sides were lying
- > 350m a week to NHS
- Pushed for 2nd referendum
- Cameron resigned
- Caused 2017 and 2019 elections
For referendums
PUREST FORM OF DEMOCRACY Uncorrupted by representatives. MENDS RIFTS IN SOCIETY 1998 -> Belfast agreement SOLVE CONFLICTS 2016 -> EU Referendum CONSENT OF THE PEOPLE Constitutional change respected PEOPLE EDUCATED Can vote better on issues ENCOURAGE PARTICIPATION
Against referendums?
COMPLEX ISSUES people can't comprehend consequences SOCIAL RIFTS emotions reduces cohesion. 2014 scotland UNDERMINES REPRESENTATIVES TYRANNY OF MAJORITY scotland voted to remain in EU, but we left COMPLEX ISSUES a yes or no can't cover it
What happens in AMS
In Additional Member Systems, the voter gets two votes - One vote is cast for a constituency MP, under FPTP rules. Some seats are filled this way. The other vote is cast for a party. The rest of the seats are filled this way, on a strictly proportional basis with a number of regional lists.
Effect of AMS
- Parties who do well in constituency vote don’t do as well later
- Multiparty system
- Coalition until SNP 2011
- Less safe and swing seats