Electoral Process And Direct Democracy 28/5 Flashcards
3 factors determining electoral outcomes
Financing and funding
Media and public opinion
Incumbency
Campaign finance
Spending money on campaigns, advertising, polling
2016 trump campaign brought in around $500 million
Media
84 million watched the trump and Clinton first debate
May change public opinion
Which case gave business unlimited right to financing elections
Citizens United VS FEC
Super PACS
Unlimited money
Which act originally limited campaign funding
1974 Federal election campaign act
Soft money
A way of getting around spending limits, by directing the money to the national party rather than the candidate
Incumbency
Strong chance of re election
Strong name recognition
Large funding
Ronald reagen won 99% of the primary vote after running for re election
What is voting behaviour effected by
Religion
Race
Gender
Sexuality
How many women voted Clinton 2016
54%
How many African Americans voted for Obama in 2008
95%
Why do women mostly vote Democrat
Pro choice ideology
Turnout in 2016 US election
55%
Turnout in 2019 UK election
67%
What do US not do that UK does
Referendums - would be complicated, time consuming and expensive
How does direct democracy take form
Initiatives and propositions
How many states have provision for initiatives
24 - prompted by individuals or organisations, requires signatures to end up on a ballot
Can concern issues that become federal policies
Issues with prompts and initiatives
Viewed as a threat to representative democracy
Is expensive
HOWEVER - it refreshes the political two party system
Electoral college vote system
amount of ECV given to each state = congressional delegation (all have minimum of 3)
Mostly winner takes all, most ECV votes given to winner of most vote
Must win 270 ECV to become president
What is the issues with EC regarding small states
It gives them power to influence the outcome, and may be over represented
A candidate may have highest individual popular votes but lowest ECVs e.g. Clinton
What would direct elections cause
Prevention of presidents e.g. Trump winning ECV despite losing the popular vote
However it is unlikely to win 50% of popular vote anyway
How long is the general election campaign
9 weeks
Who messed up their TV debate against who?
Gore against Bush
National party convention importance
Enthuse the parties and electorate
Chooses the presidential candidates
Decided the party platform
What was controversial about the republicans in 2016 during the NPC
They wanted to overturn obergefell v hodges 2015 which allowed for same sex marriage
What do electoral votes equal
2 senators and the number of HORs (determined by population size)
Voter turnout during obamas re election in 2012
14.5%
Primaries
An election to appoint delegates to a party or candidate
Caucuses
Meetings held within states where public debate on election
Three types of primaries
Open
Semi closed
Closed
Constitutional requirements for presidency
35 years or older
Loved in the US for 14 years
Not served 2 terms
Major party endorsement
Able to raise large sums of money
Experience and popular policy/ ideology
national nomination convention
held every 4 years
state delegates from primaries/caucuses are selected to endorse their favourites and the presidential candidates are announced at the end
split ticket voting
a practice whereby individual voters spread their votes across multiple parties during an election
split ticket vote example
in 2016 PE all voters casted votes forntheor presidential candidate and for a candidate of the HoR in their district
additionally 34 senate positions were contested
therefor could vote Republican Trump and Democrat HoR/Senate