Effect size and p-values Flashcards
t-distribution as a null model
-null describes distribution we’d expect to see due to random noise if there was no true difference in our data
- This is conditional on parametric assumptions being met.
What does the shape of the null depend on
- shape of null depends on number of observations
- more extreme values are associated with smaller sample sizes
- Several different ‘t’ distributions change shape subtly - specified by df on analysis (number of observations)
Degrees of freedom
the number of independent values that can vary in an analysis without breaking any constraints
Degrees of freedom equation
One sample= N-1
Independent sample= N1 +N2 -2
Paired sample= N-1
P values
Probability of observing a result at least as extreme as the one from our data.
Significance = <5% (p<0.05) chance of observing result same size or larger by pure chance, under the assumption null is correct.
What p values not
It is not:
- probability null is false
- probability experimental hypothesis is true
- statistically significant result does not mean result is practically significant or useful
- it is probably not certainty
How to report p values
-after test statistics
-specify the Degrees of freedom of the test
-report exact p values two or three decimals
-specify the significance threshold used
Effect Sizes (and its difference between t tests)
-t-values combine size of difference with precision of estimate
-Cohen’s D provides ‘pure’ measure of size of the difference - (effect size)
-It measures the strength of the difference, irrespective of how sig the effect may be
-No info about confidence and not affected by sample size.
Reporting effect sizes
Report effect sizes after p-values e.g. t(28) = 1.13, p<0.32, Chosen’s d = 0.15
Report exact effect sizes to 2dp
comparing means with t test
Example 1:
t(1476) =8.32, p<0.0001, Cohen’s d = 0.32
- very large sample
- strong evidence for difference in means
- very low probability of obtaining a result this large by chance, if null were true
- very small effect size, difference not likely to be of practical importance