Economics - TOT Flashcards
Definition of TOT
TOT is a measure of the amount of imports which can be obtained with a given amount of exports
Definition of TOT Index
An index which measures the movement of export prices relative to import prices
Favourable TOT
Export prices rise relative to import prices
Unfavourable TOT
Import prices rise relative to export prices
5 ways a favourable TOT can occur
- X prices increase, M prices decrease
- X prices stay the same, M prices decrease
- M prices fall faster than X prices
- X prices increase faster than M prices
- X prices rise and M prices stay the same
5 ways an unfavourable TOT can occur
- M prices increase, X prices decrease
- M prices stay the same, X prices decrease
- X prices fall faster than M prices
- M prices increase faster than M prices
- M prices rise and X prices stay the same
Definition of XPI
Measures the movement of $ for a basket of exports in an economy
Measurement of XPI
$ value of X (given) divided by $ value of X (base) x 100
Definition of MPI
Measures the movement of $ for a basket of imports in an economy
Measurement of MPI
$ value of M (given) divided by $ values of M (base) x 100
Recent and contemporary trends in TOT
2010-2012 (rising TOT due to high WCP and growth in China during the tail end of the mining boom)
2012-2016 (As the mining boom comes to an end and China’s growth slowed to a lower rate, WCP fell, as did TOT)
2017-2019 (China began to buy more commodities to increase infrastructure which increase WCP and TOT)
2020 (WCP began to fall and therefore TOT is expected to fall)
Changes in TOT impact the business cycle
- a rising TOT will cause cyclical unemployment to decrease
- a rising TOT will cause an increase in demand-pull inflation from PE to PE1
- a rising TOT will increase growth due to the increase of demand from AD to AD1 which will cause supply to increase
Growth
- rising TOT is a demand source of growth as the increase in real income increases spending in the economy where AD shifts to AD1
- the increase from AD causes an increase in output (or growth) from OE to OE1
Unemployment
- decreases cyclical UE as the increase in spending which results in stock rundown
- increase output and therefore an increase in demand for resources including labour
Inflation
- ## increase demand-pull inflation from PE to PE1, due to an increase spending causing greater pressure on $ to rise