Economics Of Monetary Union Flashcards
Stabilising debts
If want to stabilise debt to GDP ratio (db /dt=0) at constant value if where m=dm/dt
When no money printing, dM/dt= (dm/dt)Y + m(dY/dt) = 0
Therefore (r-X)b=t-g
Dynamics of debt accumulation
Interest rate on gov debt > growth rate of GDP –> debt to GDP ratio will increase without bonds
Debt accumulation can only be stopped if primary budget deficit (as % of gdp) turns into surplus
Or via seignorage
–> G-T+rB = dB/dT + dM/dT
Budget deficit can be financed by issuing debt (dB/dT) or by issuing high powered money (dM/dt)
Logic of Maastricht criteria
Debt to GDP ratio should be 60%, deficit to GDP ratio 3%
(R-X)b=(t-g) tells us total gov deficit (including interest payments) –> d= g-t+rB when d=. 0.03 b=0.6 X=0.05 and d=xb
If nominal interest rate > nominal growth rate of economy…
Either primary budget is sufficiently high surplus (t>g) or money creation = sufficiently high in order to stabilise debt to GDP ratio
If country accumulated sizeable deficit in past…
It will now have to run large primary budget surpluses in order to pre to the debt to GDP ratio from increasing automatically
–> decreasing spending and or increasing taxes
Debt to GDP ratio
G-T + rB = dB/dT + dM/dt
B= gov debt M= high powered money
–> g-t+rB = db/dt +bx+ dm/dt mx