Economics Flashcards
4 stages of the business cycle?
1) Expansion
2) Peak
3) Contraction
4) Trough
Longer, severe contraction is called?
A depression
Mid, short-term contractions are called?
A recession
What defines a recession?
When GDP declines for 6 months or more
What defines a depression?
GDP declines 18 months or more and unemployment is greater than 15%
Expansion is characterized by?
- Increased demand for goods and services
- Increases in industrial production
- Rising stock prices
- Rising property values
- Increasing GDP
Downturns characterized by?
- Rising bankruptcies and defaults
- High consumer debt
- Falling stock prices
- Rising inventories
- Decreasing GDP
What makes up GDP?
- Personal consumption
- Government spending
- Private investments
- Foreign investments
What is CPI?
Consumer price index.
- Measures general price changes. Food, housing, transport, medical care etc..
What does mild inflation do?
Encourage growth
What does high inflation do?
Reduces dollar buying power
Increased inflation?
- Drives up interest rates of fixed income securities»_space; drives down bond prices
What does rising interest rates and inflation mean for bond prices?
They will fall
Why do bond prices fall with inflation rises?
Becuase purchusing power drops»_space; there is less investor demand for the bonds
What does fed do when concerned about inflation rises?
Raise rates to slow economy down»_space; incentivise savings not spending
Bond rates go up with interest rates, why?
To incentivse people to put money into bonds, not keep in savings accounts?
Leading indicators reflect where an economy is going. What are some examples?
- Money supply
- Building permits
- New orders for goods
- Machine tool orders
- Stock prices
- Changes in borrowing
Coincident indicators - comfirm where economy is. What are examples?
- Number of hours worked
- Employment levels
- Personal income
- Sales
- GDP
Lagging indictaors - factors that change»_space; confirming a new trend
- Corporate profits
- Avg duration of employment
- Labour cost per unit of output
- Inventory to sales ratio
- Loans outstanding
What is fiscal policy?
Adjusting level of taxation and government spending
What do Keynesians believe?
Government intervention
What do Laffer and Supply-side believe?
The market should take over
Monetarist Theory?
Well-controlled, increasing money supply
Parts of the money supply are?
M1 - Currency in circulation and accounts etc
M2 - Savings less than 100,000
M3 - Savings more than 100,000