Economic Concepts And Analysis Flashcards
Hedging to mitigate foreign transaction exposure. What do you do if you have receivable or payable
If you have RECEIVABLE - risk is that the foreign currency will go down, so you want to SELL
If you have PAYABLE - risk that the foreign currency will go UP, so you want to BUY
Forward v future
Future: SMALL!!
Individual transactions; you’re buying a certain number of currency units at a stated date at a negotiated price
Forward: LARGE
Same thing, but large volumes of transactions
Required rate of return (5)
Risk free rate (starts w this) + market risk premium + inflation premium + liquidity risk premium + default risk premium
Economic risk
Key word: PRESENT VALUE
Represents the potential that the PV of an organizations cash flows could increase or decrease as a result of changes in the exchange rate
Credit risk
Exposure to the inability to secure financing or financing at attractive rates
regardless of the industry a firm operates, how will a firm maximize its profits? (what equals what?)
MR = MC
marginal cost equals marginal revenue
characteristics of monopolistic competition
demand curve is HIGHLY ELASTIC (sensitive to price changes) but still is downward sloping. basically, any small change in price will lead to a large change in quantity demanded
monopoly (elastic/inelastic)
inelastic, there are no substitute products available. change in price won’t do that much
leading indicator
economic indicator; something that will help PREDICT economic activity. examples: M2 money supply, PMI
lagging indicator - previously happened (prime rate)
coincident indicator - same time (industrial production measured by GDP)
expansionary FISCAL policy
more gov spending & lowered taxes
causes the aggregate demand curve to shift RIGHT, real GDP increases
three ways gov witll implement monetary policies
open market operations, change the discount rate, change the required reserve ratio
decrease in discount rate and decrease in required reserve ratio, do what to the economy
this is an EXPANSIONARY MONETARY POLICY
the goal - to expand the economy
doing this will allow banks to increase money supply
spin off transaction
previous subsidiary becoming a new independent company. usually no cash is exchanged
if bond cost decreases YoY
this implies market rates are INCREASING
ex: if bond is issued at a discount (say for 95) in y1 and then in y2 the cost is 94, that means the market rate increased slightly, making the discount higher
Foreign currency (G/L) for receivable and payable
Receivable:
GAIN is when the foreign currency is worth MORE than the USD