E - 10) How the macroeconomy works: the circular flow of income, AD/AS analysis and related concepts Flashcards

1
Q

What is national income?

A

The monetary value of the flow of output produced in an economy over a period of time. National income can be measured as any point as income flows around the economy so national income = national expenditure = national output

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2
Q

What role do households have in the CFoI?

A

Own the productive resources of the nation, which they exchange for rent, wages, interest and profit with firms. They use the income earnt to buy goods and services from firms

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3
Q

What role do firms have in the CFoI?

A

Hire the resources as inputs to use them to produce output. They sell the goods and services produced, to households

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4
Q

What effects do different sectors have on the CFoI?

A
  • Financial sector: not all income is spent, any saved is lent to businesses to invest
  • Government sector: some income is taken out of the flow as tax, but they also spend which injects income into the CFoI
  • Foreign sector: some income flows out to other countries when imports are purchased, exports add to the CFoI because income comes in from outside the economy
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5
Q

What are the injections and withdrawals of the CFoI and what do they cause?

A

Injections:

  • Investment (I)
  • Government spending (G)
  • Exports (X)
  • They add money to the flow, which leads to economic growth

Withdrawals:

  • Savings (S)
  • Taxation (T)
  • Imports (M)
  • They remove money from the flow, which leads to economic contraction
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6
Q

What are the different balances of national income equilibrium and what do they cause?

A
  • Planned injections = planned withdrawals: national income equilibrium
  • If injections exceed withdrawals: national income rises (economic growth)
  • If withdrawals exceed injections: national income falls (economic contraction)
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7
Q

What is wealth with examples?

A

(Stock concept) – the value of assets held
Examples: income saved, value of shares, value of property owned, money held in pension funds
Wealth is more unevenely distributed than income

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8
Q

What is income with examples?

A

The flow of money going to factors of production
Examples: wages, salaries, rent, profits, people receiving benefits, interest paid
Income is less unevenely distributed than income

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9
Q

What is the aggregate demand (AD) curve and its formula?

A

Shows the relationship between the level of real planned expenditure and the genral price level in an economy
AD = C + I + G + (X - M)

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10
Q

What are the types of movements along the AD curve?

A
  • Extensions - movement to the right (falls in general price level cause higher real GDP
  • Contractions - movement to the left (rises in general price level cause lower real GDP
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11
Q

Why do AD curves have inverse relationships?

A
  • Real income effect: as price level falls, the real value of income rises - consumers can buy more - higher consumption
  • Balance of trade effect: falls in the relative price of level of a country could make foreign-produced goods more expensive - rise in exports and fall in imports
  • Interest rate effect: if price inflation is low, interest rates might be reduced - less incentive to save - consumption rises. Exchange rate could also depreciate and improve net exports
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12
Q

What factors shift AD curves?

A
  • Changes in real income and employment: job security - disposable income and confidence - investment
  • Changes in consumer and buiness confidence - economic news, market sentiment, policy changes
  • Changes in household wealth: asset and share prices - feel wealthier - confidence - loans
  • Changes in monetary policy: interest rates -> attractiveness of saving and spending | mortagate interest payments fall - disposable income | borrowing costs and return on retained profit - investment
  • Changes in fiscal policy: governemnt spending and public investment| income tax and VAT - disposable income and consumer confidence | corporation tax - firm investment
  • Changes in exchange rate and the global economy: depreciation - reduces export prices and increases import prices (and vice versa)| global growth - net exports
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13
Q

What are characteristics of consumption in terms of AD?

A

Consumer spending on real output
Examples: non-durables, durables and services
Largest component of AD - about 60%

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14
Q

What are characteristics of investment in terms of AD?

A

Spending on capital goods that help
produce more consumer goods in future
Examples: plant, equipmen
Investment demand comes from
both private and public sector

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15
Q

What are characteristics of government spending in terms of AD?

A

Spending by the government on its current day-to-day provision of public services
Examples: healthcare, education, defence, transport
Does not include transfer payments (pensions and welfare benefits)

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16
Q

What are characteristics of net exports in terms of AD?

A

Exports are inflows of demand from citizens abroad
Imports are outflows of demand for foreign-produced goods

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17
Q

What factors affect consumption?

A
  • Income: (especially real disposable income) consumer spending
  • Wealth effect: value of assets - consumer spending
  • Consumer confidence: consumer spending
  • Job security: worry and confidence - spending
  • Interest rates: cost of borrowing - spending on big ticket items
  • Demography: population size (e.g. immigration) - amount of spending
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18
Q

What are benefits and drawbacks of rising consumption?

A

Benefits:

  • Rising AD
  • Faster short run economic growth
  • Less spare capacity
  • Falling unemployment
  • Gives businesses confidence to
    invest

Drawbacks:

  • Inflation pressure
  • Current account deficit (more imports sucked in)
  • Unbalanced growth
  • More household debt
  • Bad for the environment
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19
Q

What is the fotmula for savings ratio?

A

Savings ratio = total household savings ÷ total household disposable income

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20
Q

Why is saving money important for economies?

A
  • Savings flow into financial markets and businesses can access these funds to invest
  • Savings provide households with a cushion of financial stability and funds for the government when it needs to borrow
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21
Q

What is the Keynesian paradox of thrift?

A

An economic theory which states that increases in saving can lead to decreases in economic activity and decreases in overall saving

22
Q

What is the formula for average propensity to consume?

A

APC = consumption ÷ national income

23
Q

What is the formula for marginal propensity to consume?

A

MPC = ∆ in consumption ÷ ∆ in national income

24
Q

What is the formula for average propensity to save?

A

APS = saving ÷ national income

25
Q

What is the formula for marginal propensity to save?

A

MPS = ∆ in saving ÷ ∆ in national income

26
Q

What is investment with examples?

A

Addition to capital stock of the economy
Examples: factories, machines, offices, equipment, stocks of materials used to produce other goods

27
Q

What is depreciation in terms of capital consumption?

A

Value of the capital stock that falls in value over time as it wears out or is used up

28
Q

What is gross and net investment?

A
  • Gross: investment before depreciation
  • Net: gross investment minus depreciation
29
Q

What is private and public sector investment?

A
  • Private sector: investment undertaken by businesses in the private sector
  • Public sectort: investment by the government often in infrastructure. Examples: (transport, telecommunications, energy networks, new schools, new hospitals)
30
Q

What is foreign direct investment (FDI):

A

Capital investment made by companies based in one country, into another country

31
Q

Why do firms invest?

A
  • Expand their business and increase their output capacity
  • Reduce average costs of production due to economies of scale
  • Increase efficiency and productivity through innovation and technological progress
  • Meet an increase in market demand and increase market share
  • Expand firm’s product range
  • Replace depreciated capital
  • Increase competitiveness at home and abroad
32
Q

How does investment impact AD and AS?

A
  • AD: Adds to AD - short-run growth - lower
    unemployment
  • AS: Adds to economy’s capacity - LRAS - long-run non-inflationary growth
33
Q

What factors affect investment?

A
  • Interest rate: cost of borrowing - attractiveness of investing relative to retaining profit
  • Availability of finance: easieness to borrow
  • Demand for the final product: (accelerator process) incentive to expand to meet demand - profit potential
  • Business confidence: likeliness to invest
  • Corporate taxes: amount of retained profit for investment
  • Business regulation: red tape and bureucracy - incentive to invest
  • Technological change: fear of laging behind competitors - invest in new technologies / innovations
34
Q

How does investment affect the macroeconomy?

A
  • Creates extra demand in investment goods industries
  • Injects money into the circular flow of income (multiplier effect)
  • Boosts both short-run and long-run economic growth
  • New capital boosts productivity and increases the capacity to supply
  • Improves country’s competitiveness, improving the trade balance
  • Improves economy’s infrastructure to make it more efficient
  • Can help create new jobs (though some may be lost to automation/AI)
  • Can help reduce inflation pressure
35
Q

What is government spending?

A

Day-to-day running costs of government
Examples: wages to public sector workers, energy and rent bills for government offices
schools and hospitals
Also known as current spending by the
government
Does not include transfer payments like government spending on welfare benefits or pensions

36
Q

What is central and local governemnt?

A
  • Central: run at Westminster
  • Local: local and county councils and city mayors
37
Q

What is the role of governemnt spending?

A
  • Change the level of AD (with fiscal multiplier)
  • Provide public and merit goods
  • Correct market failures like positive consumption externalities
  • Influence economic regions like ‘levelling up’
  • Achieve greater equity in society by providing public services, including universal access to healthcare and education
38
Q

What is budget deficit, surplus and balanced budget?

A
  • Deficit: government spending exceeds tax revenue - government borrows to fund its spending
  • Surplus: government spending is less than tax revenue - government can pay back some of its debt
  • Balanced budget: government spending equals tax revenue
39
Q

What are fiscal multipliers?

A

Estimate the final change in real national income (GDP) that results from an initial change in government spending plans

40
Q

What is cyclical government spending?

A

When in an economic downturn/recession, government spending increases on
welfare-benefits and support for businesses. The opposite occurs in a growth phase. The government can also choose to make discretionary changes to its spending, unrelated to the economic cycle like in the Budget

41
Q

What is trade surplus, deficit and trade balance equilibrium and their effect on AD?

A
  • Surplus: net export demand is positive - adds to AD
  • Deficit: net export demand is negative - reduces AD
  • Trade balance equilibrium: net export demand is neutral - AD remains unchanged
42
Q

What factors affect net trade?

A
  • Real income: amount of imports purchased
  • Exchange rate: depreciation - imports more expensive and exports cheaper (and vice versa)
  • State of global economy: global growth - demand for exports
  • Degree of protectionism: level of tarrif and non-tarrif barriers to trade
  • Non-price competitiveness: quality, design, speed of delivery, after-sales service
  • Price competitiveness: better value for money product
43
Q

What is the multiplier effect?

A

Occurs when an initial injection into the CFoI causes a bigger final increase in real
national income

44
Q

Why does thhe multiplier effect happen with an example?

A

Because one agent’s spending is another
agent’s income
Example: when a spending project creates new jobs, this creates extra injections of income and demand into the CFoI

45
Q

What is the negative multiplier effect?

A

Occurs when an initial withdrawal or leakage of spending from the CFoI leads to knock-on effects and a bigger final drop in real GDP

46
Q

What is the formula for the multiplier coefficient?

A

Multiplier coefficient = Final ∆ in real GDP ÷ initial ∆ in AD

47
Q

What is the formula for the multiplier?

A

Multiplier (k) = 1 ÷ (1-MPC)

48
Q

What is the formula for final change in real GDP?

A

Final ∆ in real GDP = initial ∆ in injections × multiplier (k)

49
Q

What is the formula for the multiplier in different economy situations?

A
  • In a closed economy with no government: k = 1/MPS
  • In a closed economy with a government k = 1/(MPS+MPT)
  • In an open economy with a government k = 1/(MPS+MPT+MPM) or 1/MPW
50
Q

What factors affect the size of multipliers?

A

High multiplier value:

  • Economy has plenty of spare capacity
  • Propensity to import and tax is low
  • High propensity to consume any extra income

Low multiplier value:

  • Economy is close to full capacity
  • Rising demand causes inflation
  • Higher inflation causes rising interest rates

Both:

  • Size of withdrawals from the CFoI
51
Q

What are investment, fiscal and export multipliers?

A
  • Investment: initial change from investment
  • Fiscal: initial change from governemnet spending or borrowing
  • Export: initial change from exports
52
Q

Drawbacks of multipliers?

A
  • Difficult to know exact size of multiplier - hard to measure
  • Takes time for multiplier process to feed through to real GDP – time lag
  • Economists disagree over its size
  • Long-run multiplier effect is likely higher for developing economies than for developed ones - infrastructure projects often have higher multiplier effects