Disease Spread and Control Flashcards
What is exponential spread?
spreading constantly
Does R usually change over time?
Yes, it is not consistent over the period of time with the epidemic. Also, R doesn’t spread at the same rate with every individual (some are super spreaders)
What are Hubs
netsworks. Where one individual spreads a lot (ex/ a bull breeding the herd of cows if it has a disease)
If you can control the one hub then it will have a big effect
How can you reduce R?
If you can catch the disease early then you can same a huge amount of transmission. The longer the disease has to spread, the higher the transmission because of exponential spreading
Describe the steps of disease response
- you detect the disease and control it from spreading
- trace the disease forward so that you can block the other half of R of that one individual (if R =2 ) so that one doesn’t spread
- Trace backwards to see where the initial detected disease came from so you can see where the other half of the R is from that portion by tracing forwards again…at this point you haven’t detected a huge amount but every little bit helps
What is important about disease detection?
The earlier the disease is detected, the more you can limit the spread of it and the better you can trace where it has spread to
What are the 3 steps for disease control?
Prevention, detections and response!!
What are some important considerations in disease control?
- diseases are not static, there are new pathogens, management and populations and they are constantly moving
- motivation is important for disease control programs– normally have more motivation when considering economic impacts, public health concerns and public opinions
Describe disease eradication
- it is very rare, so instead it is typically referring to a regional elimination of an infectious disease
- you need to reduce prevalence to a point where transmission does not occur and so that it is no longer a major health problem
What 3 things are necessary for the potential of disease eradication?
- effective intervention is available to interrupt transmission (isolate, treat or kill infected animals)
- practical diagnosis tool with sufficient sensitive and specificity available to detect low enough levels
- no other reservoirs and disease doesn’t amplify in environment (can’t live in environment well)
Economic considerations
We need to be able to justify using the money to eliminate the disease so it has to have health problems most likely
Social and political criteria of eliminating the disease
- the eradication needs to be carried through until the end so it is a commitment
- needs to have the public health recognize it as important
- needs to have a national appeal
- need a specific reason for eradication
Does eradication involve risk?
Yes, it always does, but if you know how risky it is then you don’t have to do a risk analysis and we just need to decide if we are comfortable in taking that risk
What are two components of risk?
- probability of harm
2. severity of impact of hazard
What are some factors affecting risk perception?
- familiarity with subject
- understanding
- scientific certainty
- controllability
- impact on children