Discrete Probability Distributions Flashcards

1
Q

What is Binomial Distribution?

A

A frequency distribution of the possible number of successful outcomes in a given number of trials in each of which there is the same probability of success

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2
Q

What is a sample space?

A

The range of values of a random variable.

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3
Q

What outcomes are usually associated with Binomial Distribution?

A
  • success, failure
  • yes, no
  • presence absence
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4
Q

What is a Discrete Probability Distribution?

A
  • A discrete distribution describes the probability of occurrence of each value of a discrete random variable. A discrete random variable is a random variable that has countable values, such as, how many times you can roll a six with two dice
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5
Q

What is the equation for Discrete Probability Distribution?

A

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1r_ttbYs-4jXdkBbVGPH9vk1swjRRmRJUWdllcJXdaAI/edit?usp=sharing

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6
Q

What is the Symbol for the population mean?

A

= μ, this symbol, when used in the discrete population distribution is known as “np”
- “np” means the number of trials multiplied by the probability of a success

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7
Q

What is the Symbol for the population variance?

A

= npq

- This means the sum of each value minus the expected value(the mean), squared by its associated probability

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8
Q

What is the symbol for the population Standard deviation?

A

= √(npq)

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9
Q

What is the Symbol for the Binomial Prob. Distribution?

A

= B(n,p)

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10
Q

What is a Continuous Probability Distribution?

A
  • A continuous distribution describes the probabilities of the possible values of a continuous random variable. A continuous random variable is a random variable with a set of possible values (known as the range) that is infinite and uncountable
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11
Q

What is a cumulative binomial probability?

A
  • We can ask a question like: “What is the probability of getting 5 or less heads, when flipping a coin ten times?” This is a cumulative binomial probability. We use the distribution function to get an answer.
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12
Q

Give an example of a Cumulative Binomial Distribution Table.

A

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1r_ttbYs-4jXdkBbVGPH9vk1swjRRmRJUWdllcJXdaAI/edit?usp=sharing

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13
Q

Give an example of a Cumulative Binomial Distribution Graph.

A

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1r_ttbYs-4jXdkBbVGPH9vk1swjRRmRJUWdllcJXdaAI/edit?usp=sharing

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14
Q

What is the first criteria that a Binomial distributions data has to meet?

A
  • To be classified as binomial, there are only two options for a result: Success or Failure
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15
Q

What is the 2nd criteria that a Binomial distributions data has to meet?

A
  • A binomial distribution assumes a set number of trials or a set number of repeating experiments
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16
Q

What is the 3rd criteria that a Binomial distributions data has to meet?

A
  • In a binomial distribution, the probability of success + the probability of failure must equal 1
17
Q

What is the 4th criteria that a binomial distributions data has to meet?

A
  • Nothing that happens in any one trial will affect the results of the next trial. eg. when you flip a coin, the result you get won’t affect which side you get the next time you flip a coin
18
Q

Why don’t we calculate the probability of a success or failure in statistics?

A
  • The calculations are time consuming and prone to calculation error.
  • We look up these probabilities using a binomial table.
19
Q

What is a binomial table?

A
  • A binomial table is designed for situations where there are only two possible outcomes.
  • It allows us to quickly and efficiently find the probability of a success or failure for a particular experiment
20
Q

Give an example of a binomial table.

A

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1r_ttbYs-4jXdkBbVGPH9vk1swjRRmRJUWdllcJXdaAI/edit?usp=sharing

21
Q

What happens when most of the probability is on the left hand side of the binomial table?

A
  • The graph or data in general will be skewed to the right
  • If most of the data in the binomial table is on the right hand of the table then the graph or data will be skewed to the left
22
Q

What happens when the probability of success is equal on both sides of the binomial table?

A

This means that the graph, or data in general, will be symmetrically distributed, meaning that it is equal on both sides.

23
Q

What are unusual or extreme events in probability?

A
  • Events whose probability is less than 5%

- Generally we are referring to what is referred to as tail probabilities

24
Q

Give an example of a tail probability.

A

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1r_ttbYs-4jXdkBbVGPH9vk1swjRRmRJUWdllcJXdaAI/edit?usp=sharing

25
Q

Why are there gaps between the bars in a discrete probability bar graph?

A
  • The gaps between the bars are not interpret-able as data, because discrete data is not continuous, e.g. you can’t have 2.4 people.
26
Q

Why do you have to minus all the previous values from other trials when using a binomial table?

A
  • The binomial table gives you a cumulative probability. That is, if you look up 2 on the table, you are looking up the probability of having an event occurring 2 times or less (e.g. 0, or 1, or 2).
27
Q

What is the first step in using a binomial table?

A
  • First you need to pick the table that has the same number of experiments as yours.
28
Q

What is the 2nd step in using a binomial table?

A
  • You need to select the probability of the outcome. For the example of an unbiased coin, this would be 0.5 (p=0.5)
29
Q

What is the 3rd step in using a binomial table?

A
  • You need to stipulate how many times your event happened. For example how many times you flipped a heads on a coin
30
Q

What is the 4th step of using a binomial table?

A
  • The fourth step is lining up the data
  • For example if you have 7 trials of flipping a coin, a probability outcome of 0.5 for flipping a heads and the event happened 4 times or less then you would line up the row for the probability outcome (0.5) with the number of times the event happened(4 or less) an this would give you the answer
31
Q

How can you work out the probability of individual events?

A
  • By subtracting sequential probabilities.
  • E.g. if we wanted to know the probability of tossing a coin 7 times and getting heads 4 times we would get the probability for 4 or less and subtract the probability of getting three or less from it.
  • P(x=4) = p(x≤4) - p(x≤3).
32
Q

How do you find the probability of getting x or more outcomes?

A
  • To do this, we just need to remember that the total cumulative probability is 1
  • For example: P(9>x) = 1 - P(x≤8)
33
Q

Give an example of finding the probability of getting x or more outcomes.

A
  • What is the probability of tossing an unbiased coin 10 times and getting 9 or more heads?
  • If the probability of 10 or less is 1 then we can subtract the profitability of getting 8 or less from 1 and we will have our answer
  • P(9≥x) = 1 – P(x≤8)
    = 1 – 0.989
    = 0.011
  • This makes sense because it would be pretty unusual if we tossed a coin 10 times and got a head 9 or 10 times out of ten trials.