Discounted Cashflow Flashcards
What is a DCF?
Simple: DCF measures the value of an asset based on the amount of cash it can produce
A DCF is a valuation methodlogy that measures the intrinsic value of a company based on the sum of the present value of its future cash flows
First step: project FCF for 5-10 years making assumptions for revenue growth und margins; then calculate terminal calue by using exit multiple or perpetuity growth method
Then: Discount back projected FCF and terminal value using WACC to the present value and sum them together to get enterprise value
5 Steps of DCF
1) Project FCF
2) Calculate weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
3) Calculate Terminal Value
4) Discount to present value
5) Calculate implied share price
DCF Step 1) Calculate FCF
EBIT x (1- Tax rate)
+ Depreciation & Amortization
- CAPEX
- Change in Working Capital (Current Operating Assets - Current Operating Liabilities)
= FCF
DCF Step 2) Calculate WACC: Definition and Formula
Definition:
-Rate of return required by debt and equity investors for your company to fund the growth of its future free cash flow
- The discount rate is used to determine the present value of FCF
Formula:
(%of Equity x Cost of Equity) + (% of Debt x Cost of Debt) x (1- Tax Rate)
Cost of Equity= Risk free Rate + beta x (Expected Market Return - Risk Free Rate)
DCF Step 3) Calculate Terminal Value
Perpetuity Growth Method: Last year FCF x (1+TGR)/(WACC-TGR)
Exit Multiple Method: Last Year EBITDA x Exit Multiple
DCF Step 4) Discount back to Present Value (PV)
Formula: FCF for Year X / (1+ WACC)^(Year X)
For Terminal Value -> ^of last year
DCF Step 5) Calculate implied share price
Sum of PV Free Cash flows
+ PV of Terminal Value
= PV of Terminal Value
- Debt
+ Cash
= Equity Value