Dibra and Leadbetter Flashcards

1
Q

List Effects of insurer insolvency in Dibra

A
  • Unexpected financial loss to claimants and PHs

* Reduced confidence in financial institutions

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2
Q

List Causes of winding-up and involuntary exit

A
  • Insolvency risk: When assets become insufficient to meet its contractual and other financial obligations
  • Liquidity risk: When an insurer has sufficient assets to cover its obligations, but there is a high level of risk that these assets could disappear
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3
Q

List Main causes of involuntary exit

A
  • Inadequate pricing or deficient loss reserves
  • Rapid growth
  • Foreign parent
  • Alleged fraud
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4
Q

List 4 external factors influencing insolvency

A
External envs is unlikely to be primary cause of insolvency; rather it usually exacerbates vulnerabilities and reduces earnings
• UW cycle and profitability
• CAT losses
• Economic and financial market factors
• International exposure
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5
Q

List 4 internal factors influencing insolvency

A
  • Firm size
  • Governance and internal controls
  • Rapid growth
  • Age
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6
Q

What are the Conclusions of Dibra and Leadbetter?

A
  • Insolvency incidence was higher in the 1990s than in the 1980s, which was higher than previous periods
  • Leading causes of insolvency are inadequate pricing and deficient loss reserve
  • Insolvency incidence varies with profitability and UW cycle
  • New entrants are more likely to fail, but survival rate tend to stabilize after a decade
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7
Q

List Observations that can be made from the Canadian experience with insolvency

A
  • Greater xp of SM reduces the incidence of insolvency
  • Strong internal controls and financial reporting reduce insolvency risk, as 35% of involuntary exits demonstrated clear breakdowns in internal controls
  • Up to 2 years prior to the wind-up, management in many cases undertook strategies that could be described as “gambling for survival”
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8
Q

List Observations relevant to solvency supervision

A
  • Financial risk ratios generally begin to fluctuate up to 2 years prior to involuntary exit and winding-up
  • No single indicator is a reliable predictor of insolvency
  • Supervisors need to have a good understanding of Re arrangements
  • Start-up cies are at greater risk of insolvency
  • Cies writing in new LOB, outside of their area of expertise, are at greater risk
  • Public data availability increases market discipline and helps identify areas of potential concern, placing pressure on cies to address problems earlier
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9
Q

Define insolvency according to dibra

A

Involuntary exit from the market precipitated by a winding-up order issued by the appropriate supervisory authority

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10
Q

Why is it important to distinguish between Canadian and branch companies?

A
  • Canadian insurers fail as a result of their operation and exposure to the Canadian economic/UW envs
  • Branch cies may fail because the home office cie in a foreign jurisdiction has failed due to the economic/UW envs in a foreign jurisdiction
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11
Q

What is the goal of the PACICC?

A

To protect eligible PHs from undue financial loss in the event that a member insurer become insolvent

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12
Q

Is the PACICC effective?

A

PACICC has successfully funded the involuntary exit of 12 PC insurance cies doing business in Canada, paying or setting aside resources for the payment of $150 million in respect of claims by PHs and claimants of the insolvent insurers

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13
Q

Explain external factor: UW cycle and profitability

A
  • High correlation between UW cycle and insolvency in US (correlation of 60%)
  • In Canada, correlation not as strong as in US partly as more foreign cies involvement (about half of US)
  • Periods of poor profitability increase risk of insolvency as limited capital may be further eroded by claims development
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14
Q

Explain external factor: CAT losses

A
  • Historically had only a small impact on health of Canadian insurers
  • Exposure to large severe events is modest in Canada, and CAT losses remain low compared to overall industry claim cost
  • Canada, only 1 cie failed because of this, however it contributed to a small number of voluntary exits
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15
Q

Explain external factor: Economic and financial market factors

A
  • Key risk is not the level of the financial variables (ex. interest rate), but their volatility
  • Solvency risk is heightened when more volatility coincides with a softening in the UW cycle
  • Greater the reliance on investment income for financial health (to compensate for UW loss), the greater the exposure to economic and financial market risks
  • AM Best found that the rate of financial impairment and changes in capital exhibited strong relationships with equity markets. The weaker relationship in Canada is due to the limited exposure that Canadian insurance cies have historically had to equity markets, as their portfolios have largely consisted of fixed income securities
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16
Q

Explain external factor: International exposure

A

• Benefits of numerous foreign-owned cies in Canada:

  • Increase competition
  • Greater risk diversification
  • Greater access to international sources of capital
  • Multinationals more likely to exit the market as more opportunities are available elsewhere when there are adverse changes in one country
  • Linkage of winding-up of Canadian branches and US insolvencies (Nearly 1/3 of PC insurance involuntary exits in Canada were attributable to the failure of a foreign parent)
17
Q

Explain internal factor: Governance and internal controls

A
  • Management and governance issues appeared to lead to decisions or processes that caused cies to fail
  • Risks that are persistently poorly managed create an envs where an insurance cie is more vulnerable to adverse external events
  • For the majority of the insolvencies in Canada (61%), the cause of involuntary exit can ultimately be traced to a strategic risk decision by management
  • Internal controls and processes may break down for a number of reasons, but cie solvency risk is further increased when they are purposefully circumvented
18
Q

Explain internal factor: Age

A
  • Likelihood or firm survival tends to increase with the age of the firm
  • New entrants face strong competition from cies already entrenched in the market and may have inexperienced management teams
19
Q

Explain internal factor: Rapid growth

A
  • Period of diminishing capital strength
  • May involve entrance into areas where lack expertise
  • If high interest rates, may hope to offset UW losses
  • Occurs most frequently during soft market
  • Usually accompanied by deteriorating loss reserve
20
Q

Explain internal factor: Firm size

A
  • Involuntary exits in Canada have typically been small insurers
  • Larger insurers are less sensitive to financial distress than smaller insurers,. They are also more diversified and have better access to capital than for other industries
21
Q

Why is Dibra segmenting the causes of insolvency at 1995?

A

Significant changes in corporate governance and introduction of early warning tests such as Minimum Asset Test that occurred around that time. Prior to 1995, deficient loss reserves were identified as the leading cause of involuntary exits, accounting for nearly 1/3 of such exits