Development Appraisals Flashcards
What is the new Financial Viability Guidance?
Additional guidance: Financial Viability in Planning CONDUCT & REPORTING Effective 01 September 2019:
Principles: Professional Statement status. 14 mandatory reporting & process requirements when carrying out FVAs.
Valuation of Development Land Information Paper No.12 (2008) - UK
Now withdrawn, but a useful guide of the two approaches available. ‘Development land’: cleared, or greenfield site, or site to be redeveloped by removing all, or substantially all, of the existing buildings.
and constructing new buildings.
- Establish the facts (inspection and site specific info)¬
- Assess the development potential (review current/emerging planning policy, review surrounding uses, consider land assembly options, assess environmental constraints).
- Value by the; 1. Comparison method, 2. residual method
- Assessing the land value (comparables, and residual)
- Reporting the valuation (basis of value, valuation approach, and all assumptions must be stated)
What is the difference between a residual valuation and a development appraisal?
Both are sensitive to changing inputs.
Development Appraisal: A calculation used to assess the financial viability of a development scheme. Used to establish the profit on cost %. Assumes a site value/purchase price. POC = (GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE) – (TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COST + SITE VALUE)
Residual appraisal: Used to establish the residual value. Typically used for valuations using market inputs to establish residual Market Value, at one date in time. RESIDUAL VALUE = (GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE) – (TOTAL DEVELOPMENT COST + PROFIT)
What is the GDV?
The MV of the completed proposed development. Use comparable method to determine rent, yield, cap value. ALL RISKS YIELD is used. Purchaser’s Costs are usually deducted for commercial property appraisals.
What is the NDV?
GDV less allowance for purchaser’s costs. Reflects the transaction costs that would be incurred if the completed development was sold, again, on the date of valuation.
Where do Purchaser’s Costs appear in appraisals?
Acquisition of the land
Disposal (development)
Disposal (units)
What are Purchaser’s Costs made up of?
6.5% + VAT / 6.8% incl. VAT
5% SDLT
1% + VAT Agents fees
0.5% + VAT Legal fees
Non Residential SDLT levels
NON-RESIDENTIAL:
Up to £150,000 0%
The next £100,000 (the portion from £150,001 to £250,000) 2%
The remaining amount (the portion above £250,000) 5%
When you buy a new non-residential or mixed use leasehold you pay SDLT on both the:
- purchase price of the lease (the ‘lease premium’) using the rates above
- value of the annual rent you pay (the ‘net present value’)
These are calculated separately then added together.
Residential SDLT levels
Up to £125,000 0%
The next £125,000 (the portion from £125,001 to £250,000) 2%
The next £675,000 (the portion from £250,001 to £925,000) 5%
The next £575,000 (the portion from £925,001 to £1.5 million) 10%
The remaining amount (the portion above £1.5 million) 12%
Relief for First Time Buyers on first £300,000, unless cap value over £500,000.
What costs are deductible from the GDV when using the residual method of valuation?
Total development costs and profit.
What are included in the Total Development Costs?
- Site prep; demo, remediation, site clearance. Obtain a contractor’s estimate.
- Planning; Section 106 payments, typically S106/CIL are both charged. Section 278 (highways), planning consultants, EIA.
- Build Costs: Estimation. Source; QS estimate from client, BS estimate, BCIS (Building Cost Information Service).
- Professional Fees: 10%-15% + VAT of construction costs. Architects, Project Managers, Engineers.
Contingency: 5-10% of construction costs.
Marketing & fees: Marketing; based on evidence. Usually 1% of GDV. Sales fee 1-2% GDV. Letting fee 10% of initial annual rent.
Finance: Assumes 100% debt finance. Rate at which client can borrow the money (6%) OR Bank of England base plus premium.
- Site purchase finance: straight-line basis using compound interest. For length of development period.
- Construction finance: S-curve, monies drawn-down heavily in first half of construction.
- Holding costs (to cover voids until disposal): on a straight-line basis using compound interest.
- Developer’s profit: % of GDV or construction costs. 15-20% typically depending on risk. A lower return may be required if pre-lot/sold. GDV sometimes used for residential. Recently % return has increased due to market uncertainty.
Do you calculate your costs for a development appraisal on a GIA basis or GEA basis?
(links to Code of Measuring Practice)
GEA – construction costs for houses
GIA – construction costs for commercial
What are the weaknesses of a residual valuation?
Importance of accurate data on the outcome. V
Unstable/very sensitive to changes in inputs.
Does not consider the timing of cash flows.
Implicit assumptions are hidden and not explicit.
Does not allow growth
Need to cross check with a comparable site valuation if possible.
What are the advantages of using a DCF calculation for the valuation of a development site rather than a residual valuation?
- Allows for the valuer to input any changes in costs or values over the project.
- It shows the timing of peak cash outlays
- Shows outstanding debt at any given point
- Accounts for phasing over the build period that must be reflected in the land value
- Allows for sensitivity analysis to examine the effect of input changes on the outputs.
- Allows for off plan sales to be factored in.
What factors affect the sensitivity of an appraisal?
- GDV fluctuations
- Build cost fluctuations
- Finance rate
What is a sensitivity analysis?
- A sensitivity analysis determines how different values of an independent variable affect a particular dependent variable under a given set of assumptions
- Required for key variables such as GDV, build costs and finance rate in order to show a range of values
What are the main forms of sensitivity analysis?
Simple sensitivity: of key variables such as build costs, GDVs, yield, finance rate.
Scenario analysis: changing development scenario, e.g. modify the design
Monte Carlo simulation: using probability theory, software such as Crystal Ball.
When might you be exempt from liability of CIL payments?
- Minor dev exemption – GIA less than 100sqm
- Charitable relief – mandatory or discretionary
- Exceptional circumstances relief – if cannot afford
Are conversion costs different to construction costs?
Yes – do not have to build the core structure. Conversion costs will be dependent on the building’s condition. Not necessarily less; potential for contamination or severe defects.
Are residual valuations and development appraisals Red Book compliant valuations?
Development appraisals – NOT; worth calculation
Residual – can be, but dependent on the instruction
What do you understand about Affordable Housing?
Housing for those whose incomes are insufficient to allow them to buy or rent a home on the open market
Local planning policy will set out the required percentage of affordable housing required for new residential development
It can be in the form of social rented, affordable rented and intermediate housing
Social rented – owned by local authorities and private registered providers. Guideline target rents are determined through the national rent regime
Affordable rented - let by local authorities or private registered providers. Rent control of no more than 80% MR
Intermediate – homes for sale and rent provided at a cost above social rent, but below market levels e.g. shared ownership housing.
What are the 2 main methods of development funding:
Debt finance – secured lending from a bank or other institution
Equity finance – own money, or selling shares in a company/joint venture
What is the current Loan to Value ratio (LTV)?
In region of 60%
What is Senior Debt funding?
The first level of debt borrowing and it takes precedent over any secondary/mezzanine funding
What is Mezzanine funding?
This is additional funding from another source for the additional monies required over the normal LTV lending
What are Swaps and Swap Rates?
Swaps – a form of derivative hedging rate for interest rates
Swap Rate – the market interest rate for fixed rate, fixed term loans
What is overage/claw back?
The extra receipts (expenditure) received over and above the profits originally expected
It can be shared between the vendor/landowner and the developer in a pre-arranged apportionment
When is VAT payable?
On all professional fees
What is the profit erosion period?
The length of time it will take for the development profit to be eroded by holding charges following the completion of the scheme and cause the profit from the scheme to be completely drawn down = loss making!
I.e. interest charges
What are typical profit targets?
17.5% commercial
15-20% residential
6% if affordable scheme
What are ‘Rights of Light’?
The right to light of a building arises after 20 years uninterrupted enjoyment of light without 3rd party consent
If right to light is infringed, an injunction can be granted or damages awarded
What are three types of development land?
Green Field – clear site, no past use, difficult to get planning permission
Brown Field – previously used, may need to clear the site, possible contamination, easier to get planning
Combination of above
What is the difference between outline and full planning permission?
Outline – established the principle of development; Reserved Matters for details of it
Full – establishes full details of the scheme
As a developer, what factors would you be sure to consider when considering a development?
Property Market – supply and demand, economic cycle
Location
Access & Transport
Amenities
Supply Competition – from other developments
What is the typical development programme?
Pre-construction – site assembly, planning, removing covenants and easements, impact reports, investigations
Construction – site preparation and main building period
Post-construction – period of completion until fully let/sale or refinance of completed development
What do you need to consider when undertaking the site preparation?
Environmental issues, removal of hazards, archaeological investigations, H&S regulations, demolition
How do you account for loan to value ratios?
Apply 100% debt and then apply an interest rate (circa 6%)
What is forward sale?
To purchase a development at the end of construction at a fixed price based on today’s yield
What is forward funding?
The investor provides finance at a lower rate than might be achievable in the current market in return for a softer yield when the investor purchases the development
What is an option agreement?
The land owner sells the option to develop on the land to a developer who has X amount of years to act upon the option
How do you measure a development site?
You inspect the perimeter and then use Promap to establish the size (acreage)
What are current rates of finance (interest)?
Bank of England Base Rate = 0.75%
LIBOR = 0.56% for 3 month SWAP
Inflation Rate = 1.7%
Why does the finance cost differ from developer to developer?
Risk factors, the status of developer (independent vs. large developer), available equity, LTBV ratio
How do you account for risk in a development appraisal?
Profit on cost – % of GDV or total construction cost
Contingency
*Never in the yield
Do you need planning permission for demolition?
In most cases you will not need planning permission– unless LA has made an article 4 direction restricting
Need to apply for a formal decision on whether council wishes to approve details of how you wish to demolish
Listed Buildings – no planning application but may need Listed Building Consent
Conservation Areas – may need planning permission
Are you aware of any new guidance relating valuing developments?
Yes - Valuation of development property, 1st edition (published October 8th, 2019)
- Establishing the facts
- assessing development potential
- Valuation: the market approach
- Valuation: the residual method
- Risk analysis and residual profit
- Land in the course of development
- Reporting the valuation
When inspecting a development site, what would you be looking for?
Evidence of contamination – chemicals, oils, oil drums, subsidence, underground tanks, bare ground, dead vegetation, landfill
What creatures would you not want to see on a development site?
Bats, Great crested newt, badgers, dormice.