Development Appraisals Flashcards

1
Q

What appraisal tool do your currently use

A

Bespoke excel based appraisal model produced for my employer and reviewed annually by KPMG

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2
Q

If you had to how do you calculate interest manually ?

A

Divide your interest rate by the number of payments you’ll make in the year (interest rates are expressed annually).

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3
Q

What is a development appraisal ?

A

A development appraisal is a process undertaken to understand the financially viability of a project.

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4
Q

How do you carry out sensitivity analysis ?

A

You would identify one or more relevant
variables, i.e. rent, sales values, build costs,
which are varied in turn to show the differing
results on the financial performance of the scheme.

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5
Q

What is LBTT and how do you calculate LBTT?

A

F rom 1 April 2015, LBTT is a tax applied to residential and commercial land and buildings transactions (including commercial properties and commercial leases) where a chargeable interest is acquired.

To ensure accuracy, I would use the Scottish Government’s LBTT tax calculator which allows taxpayers and agents to work out the amount of LBTT payable on residential, non-residential or mixed property transactions, and non-residential lease transactions based on the rates and thresholds.

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6
Q

How do you establish the GDV of a scheme?

A

Typically in the work I am instructed in, this would either be, or involve, using indicative sales pricing for private residential units and or calculating the rent extracted from affordable homes over a holding period together with any grant receipts. Taking all these together would produce the GDV.

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7
Q

How do you calculate s.75 costs ?

A

For an indicative scheme, I would review planning policy to see what the planning authority requires contributions for and the relevant prevailing rates Where possible, the preference would be to extract information from a signed section 75 agreement which will establish the exact figures required.

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8
Q

What is the difference between sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis ?

A

Sensitivity changes the key variables one at a time- yield, GDV, build cost, programming and finance rate to demonstrate the impact on the financial performance of the scheme.

Scenario analysis changes the tenure, timing, costs and phasing. This often involves changing multiple variables at a time in order to produce best case worst case situations to understand how the scheme would perform financially should these come to pass.



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9
Q

What payment profiles could you change and what would did this involve ?

A

Build duration or Phasing of scheme - this would change the monthly cash flow and elongating the programme

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10
Q

. How is interest rate broken down ?

A

At present is London Interbank Offered Rate + risk premium

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11
Q

What is the current Bank of England Base Rate?

A

0.75%

The current interest rate in the UK is 0.75% (March 2022).

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12
Q

How does the base rate impact development projects?

A

The base rate is the single most important interest rate in the UK. It is the rate that the BoE pay to commercial banks/lenders that hold money with them. It influences the rates those banks in turn charge people to borrow money. In short, the higher the interest rate the more expensive it is to borrow money (particularly over a longer period of time due to compounding interest).

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13
Q

What is the typical interest rate and what does you employer borrow at?

A

Rates from 6.0-7.5% are common for most applications for experienced developers. Arrangement fees may also apply.

Sanctuary are able to finance development projects at around 4%. This is because of the Group’s strong financial covenant, experience as a residential developer and with wider Group’s stable and diverse cashflows with good credit fundamentals.

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14
Q

What is the interest rate a reflection of ?

A

Risk- higher interest rate if it perceived to be more risk in a transaction.

Supply and demand- if there is a lot of demand for debt capital then higher interest rates.

Base rate- based on future outlook. To encourage spend reduce interest rates. To encourage saving, increase interest rates.

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15
Q

What is debt, what is equity and what is the difference between them?

A

Simply put, Debt involves borrowing money to be repaid, plus interest, while Equity involves raising money by selling stake in the scheme/project. The motivation of using either of these will depend on a borrower’s risk appetite and the scheme itself.

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16
Q

What are the benefits and limitations of using debt finance?

A

Debt can be extremely useful in magnifying returns. It can be potentially cheaper that equity however it carries greater risk as repayment is required irrespective of whether the project performs well. Debt finance is a rising market is easy and cheap to obtain where there is lots of competition amongst lenders. In this way, it can create choice, options and flexibility that wouldn’t be possible with equity financing. However, Debt in a failing market can exacerbate negative returns in a falling market.

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17
Q

What are the benefits and limitations of using equity finance?

A

For a risky project or in a falling market, equity may be a more prudent approach for a developer as they will mitigate their exposure to negative returns as the risk is distributed between shareholders. However, in a rising market, equity is more expensive as the cost of doing so would almost certainly be higher than if it was financed with debt. Also as shareholders hold equity they tend to have certain rights over the company/scheme which limit the developers choice, options and flexibility.

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18
Q

What’s the most common capital structure for development schemes? And what does your employer assume?

A

I have limited knowledge in this area although I understand that experienced developers typically may use a capital structure of 80% debt to 20% equity.

In Sanctuary’s appraisal we assume 100% debt finance which I understand is quite common.

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19
Q

What is BCIS and can you tell me anything about it?

A

Build cost information Service

It is described by RICS as ‘the leading provider of cost and price information to the construction industry and anyone else who needs comprehensive, accurate and independent data.’

It was established in 1961 to facilitate the preparation of elemental cost plans, where an ‘element’ is defined as, ‘a major physical part of a building that fulfils a specific function or functions, irrespective of its design, specification or construction’

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20
Q

Does your employer use BCIS? If not, how does your employer monitor costs?

A

No, we don’t have access to this. Sanctuary has a number of employers agent who are qualified surveyors who will assess the costs of proposals by using information from live and recent development schemes undertaken by Sanctuary or its RSL partners. Moreover, as part of any grant funding application, the costs are reviewed independently by the Scottish Government’s More Homes Division who do have access to BCIS.

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21
Q

Are there any limitations to BCIS ?

A

Only deals with base build costs, no externals/ Landscape

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22
Q

What is a s-curve cost profile and why would you use it ?

A

S curve is a mathematically calculated payment profile which shows the cumulative progression of costs during a construction project.

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23
Q

What is NPV?

A

Net Present Value (NPV) is the value of all future cash flows (positive and negative) over the entire life of an investment discounted to the present.

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24
Q

What is IRR?

A

he internal rate of return (IRR) is a metric used in financial analysis to estimate the profitability of potential investments. IRR is a discount rate that makes the net present value (NPV) of all cash flows equal to zero in a discounted cash flow analysis.

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25
Q

As a standard assumption, what does your employer allow as contingency in your appraisal ?

A

Typically 1% contigency is allowed because the appraisal as a standard assumption also builds in 3% build cost inflation.

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26
Q

How could you make a scheme generally more profitable

A

Increasing density
Changing the design
Value engineering to the specification

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27
Q

Describe in its simplest form a development appraisal.

A

GDV-TDC-Site value = Profit

28
Q

Describe in its simplest form a residual valuation.

A

gross development value (GDV) - total development costs (including profit) = residual
land value

29
Q

What is the difference between a development appraisal and a residual appraisal?

A

Residual is a method of valuation used to establish the residual value of site
whereas
Development appraisal is to process used to assess the viability of a project using the clients input

30
Q

What would you do differently for a development appraisal that had planning permission vs one which didn’t?

A

a. Cost- get greater clarity on costs on a scheme with planning and not use assumptions.
b. Time- set a clearer programme of works
c. Risk- Can lower the profit margin due to the reduced risk of securing planning

31
Q

How do you arrive at your interest rate for your development appraisal?

A

Sanctuary has revolving loan facilities which they utilize on a group level for all of their projects

32
Q

How does interest rate affect discount rate?

A

The interest rate represents the minimum cost of borrowing money for most major commercial banks and other depository institutions hence discount rate tends to be follow the interest rate.

33
Q

If you were to conduct a sensitivity analysis on a development appraisal what factors would you choose to change?

A

Given the nature of my employers’ operation I would tend to conduct sensitivity analysis against:

GDV
Build cost
Timing of rents 
Programme slippage 
Void periods
34
Q

What percentage would you put in for professional fees on a development appraisal and how would this be broken down?

A

It would depend on the nature of the build package.

For a SBCC Design and Build professional costs may be largely captured within the contract build cost.

Where it was earlier in the process, I would tend to allow around 10-12%  construction costs broken down as follows:
Architect: 3.5%
Civil Engineer: 1%
Mechanical engineer: 1%
Structural engineer: 1%
Project manager: 0.5%
Employers Agent: 1.5%
Other: 3.5%
35
Q

What stage would you decide to use a development appraisal and residual valuation ?

A

I would employ a residual valuation approach when looking to purchase a site typically through submitting a offer.

I would conduct the development appraisal throughout the development cycle updating this every 3 months or after major changes.

36
Q

What is a yield

A

The annual rate of return on an investment expressed as a percentage

37
Q

What is the difference between a development appraisal and a feasibility report ?

A

Development appraisal is focused on costs and profitability whereas a feasibility report examines the detail of the design proposal

38
Q

Tell me about your understanding RICS Financial Viability in Planning.

A

I’m not familar in-detail with this RICS professional guidance as it was produced for use in the English planning system. However, I understand that it provides a definitive and objective methodology framework and set of principles that can be applied. It discusses the Developer’s return approach (where Site Value is a cost of development) and Site Value approach (including an allowance for developer’s return as a cost of development).

However, the Scottish Planning System does not replicate England’s NPPF emphasises
deliverability and the provision of competitive
returns to willing land owners and developers
to enable sustainable development to come
forward.

39
Q

Tell me about your understanding of ‘Financial viability in planning: conduct and reporting’ RICS professional standards and guidance, England 1st edition, May 2019.

A

It comprises fourteen mandatory requirements which chartered surveyors must observe when carrying out financial viability assessments in a planning context. The effective date of this professional statement is 1st September 2019.

Reporting and process requirements

  1. 1 Objectivity, impartiality and reasonableness statement.
  2. 2 Confirmation of instructions and absence of conflicts of interest
  3. 3 A no contingent fee statement
  4. 4 Transparency of information
  5. 5 Confirmation where the RICS member is acting on area-wide and scheme-specific FVAs
  6. 6 Justification of evidence and differences of opinion
  7. 7 Benchmark land value and supporting evidence
  8. 8 FVA origination, reviews and negotiations
  9. 9 Sensitivity analysis (all reports)
  10. 10 Engagement
  11. 11 Non-technical summaries (all reports)
  12. 12 Author(s) sign-off (all reports)
  13. 13 Inputs to reports supplied by other contributors
  14. 14 Timeframes for carrying out assessments
40
Q

What is financial viability?

A

Also known as an FVA this is the process of assessing whether a site is financially viable, by looking at whether the value generated by a development is more than the cost of developing it. Typically, this is calculated using a Residual Land Value approach.

Viability helps to strike a balance between the aspirations of developers and landowners, in terms of returns against risk, and the aims of the planning system to secure maximum benefits in the public interest through the granting of planning permission.

Benchmark Land Value (BLV) is used as the basis of value in a FAV, which is defined in the latest PPG. It is based on Existing Use Value (EUV), plus a premium for the landowner. This is also known as EUV+ or the EUV plus approach.

Existing Use Value (EUV) is not the definition set out in the UK National Supplement to the Red Book in VPGA 6.1, which relates instead to financial reporting. It is a different definition required under Government policy, which does not need to be formally declared as a departure to the Red Book providing that the valuation purpose, financial viability in planning, is made clear in the surveyor’s report.

Furthermore, EUV is effectively the value of land in it’s existing use. This is not the same as the price paid and it must disregard any hope value.

41
Q

What is Net Development Value?

A

The net development value is the estimated amount of money that a property development expects to make once all costs ([land value] (/glossary/benchmark-land-value), development, marketing etc) and [sales] (/glossary/gross-development-value) have been taken into consideration.

42
Q

What is Golden Brick?

A

Golden brick is a term used to describe the level of construction a new development needs to reach in order to qualify for zero rating. This enables housing associations (who can’t recover VAT) to purchase land free of VAT which might otherwise be charged. It also allows the developer to recover its own VAT.

43
Q

L2 Builyeons Road - Tell me about a development appraisal you have carried out. How did you carry this out?

A

I conducted an appraisal at this site to assess whether the Contractor’s proposals for a land and build package would be viable and meet my employer’s required financial returns. My approach when undertaking the development appraisal commences with establishing the facts (particularly around the site and planning consent) and obtaining the necessary data and information and then working with colleagues to verify or obtain a level of comfort around figures and timescales. I would then input the information into the appraisal and modify the assumptions as required and then perform a stand-back check to ensure that all the inputs are correct. I would then review the financial summary and make any appropriate comments and observations. If required, I’d conduct a sensitivity analysis.

44
Q

Tell me about where you source information and data from for development appraisals.

A

Planning - Planning Portal or Development Plan

Costs - Recent tenders by Sanctuary or another RSL partner and reviewed by a QS.

Site specific information - Data room reports and site visit. Also available spatial data and government websites.

Timing/Critical Path - Experience/Judgment and guidance from senior colleagues

Funding - Development Investment colleagues and Scottish Government AHSP guidance

Sales - Rightmove SCT comparable analysis reviewed and confirmed by Sales colleagues or external surveying firm.

Rent - Scottish Government guidance and then as the scheme progresses actual rents from housing colleagues.

45
Q

L3 - Pitskelly - Tell me about a sensitivity analysis you have carried out?

A

I conducted a sensitivity analysis for the above scheme. Whilst it was a proposed land and build package and therefore in theory much of the cost risk was passed to the contractor I did identify risks to the programme as labour and material shortages had been widely reported in the area (I spoke with construction colleagues to provided delay analysis information to testing - pushing the programme out my 2,4 and 6 months), I was also aware of issues with the Council’s SHIP having allocation problems due to delays on many schemes meaning that 22/23 was overcommitted (therefore adjusted timing on grant receipts in the model making the costs of development reliant on private finance quicker) also as a rural area with poor transport links to the wider settlement I judged that voids may be an issue (increased the void period and adjusted the rent tab on units pushing this out).

46
Q

Tell me about how you would assist in the selection of appropriate sources of development finance.

A

I would

47
Q

Give me two limitations of the model you use?

A

1) The model doesn’t allow two different discount rates - Sanctuary may wish to consider whether different discount rates by different tenure types are appropriate to capture the relative risk between tenure types.
2) Limitations to the calculation methodology use of annual cashflows rather than monthly and a simplistic interest calculation) – however Sanctuary considered these and concluded that they were happy with the approach and the output from the model.

48
Q

What are the risks of using a bespoke excel model?

A

Its s an internal excel model so has the ability to be changed ‘relatively easily’. The key risk therefore is version control and how do we ensure people don’t play around with the model. For the purposes of your interview I think you say ‘password controls’ and say that the central team ‘perform integrity and version control reviews of the model on a regular basis’

49
Q

North Anderson Drive - L2

What where the Association’s key appraisal assumptions?

A

For this scheme the assumptions for Social Rent in Scotland applied therefore a Positive NPV is sufficient.

50
Q

North Anderson Drive - L2

What build costs sources were used and why?

A

Building costs from the contract sum analysis of the approved tender.

51
Q

North Anderson Drive - L2

How does the organisation adopt future rental values?

A

As the units where grant funded the rent to be extracted could be no higher than 5% above the Scottish Government’s social rent benchmarks. The appraisal model assumes a 2% year on year increase.

52
Q

North Anderson Drive - L2

Why did the scheme need to comply the extant planning consent?

A

The scheme was proceeding to board of the in-contract appraisal and had therefore been assess based on the extant consent.

53
Q

North Anderson Drive - L2

What were the developer’s obligations and what was the issue?

A

Developer’s contributions on this site where extensive as it was formerly as Fire Station with open space to the rear.
These included contributions to community facilities, core path, secondary education, sports and recreation, health care and car club (electronical charging).

I noted that the

54
Q

Builyeons Road - L2

How did you use the programme to structure the appraisal?

A

I reviewed the key dates in the programme to establish a project start date (for the land payment) and input the start on site dates, pc and rental dates for each unit. The model my employer uses employs a s-curve for build costs based on these key dates.

55
Q

What is an S curve?

A

It relates to the shape produced by the typical flow of costs on a property development project. This is an example showing the flow of project costs after the site acquisition.

56
Q

Bearing in mind the restrictions imposed by Section 75, is there anything that could have been done to make the site viable?

A

Yes potentially.

1) Seek modification of the section 75 to reduce contributions for the affordable units as they were extremely onerous.
2) If Council planning department say no, ask Council housing department for additional grant subsidy for the units.
3) Seek wider rephasing to deliver of the affordable units as same time.

57
Q

Builyeons Road - L2

Was the appraisal discounted? If so, how?

A

Yes, it is discounted my employers WACC rate which is currently 4.2%

58
Q

What is WACC?

A

The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. The WACC is commonly referred to as the firm’s cost of capital. Importantly, it is dictated by the external market and not by management.

59
Q

Tell me about how you have used a sensitivity analysis to produce a reasoned analysis of risk.

A

My approach to sensitivity analysis starts with a qualitative understanding of the various external factors that would impact on project assumptions. Once I have identified these I would seek to consider the likelihood and impact to quantify their effect on the appraisal in order to provide reasoned analysis of what could be done. With its simply accept, note and monitor or if it can be avoided, mitigated or transferred.

60
Q

Pitskelly L3 - Can you tell me more about the issue with void periods?

A

Yes, the site is approximately 15 minutes walking distance from the centre of Carnoustie however remains rural with only a narrow footpaths along the road site and no street lighting at present and no bus service until the scheme is developed and add to service routes. This, together with the distance from shops and schools, may make the accomodation less attractive to potential tenants without private transport. For that reason, I felt it would be quite likely that it will be harder to let these units at least initially and therefore pushing up the void periods can assist with that.

61
Q

Pitskelly L3 - How did you make sure your advice to the client was reasoned?

A

I advised that additional subsidy was required. To ensure my advice was reasonable with the support of my QS colleague was able to review the CSA for a very similar scheme I was concurrently working on with the same contractor in the central belt. This highlighted that there was a notable increase in labour and transport costs due to the rural location which explained why the build costs overall where higher. I calculated that additional sum per unit that would be required as £8000 3PE.

62
Q

Pitskelly L3 - What is the difference between social and mid-market rent units in the appraisal?

A

In terms of the appraisal solely:

Social Rent: Rent is lower as based on Scot Gov benchmark + 5%. Higher rate of grant applied.

Mid Market: Rent is equivalent to LHA in the area. Lower rate. White goods additional.

63
Q

Pitskelly L3 - After determining that the site wasn’t viable, what did you advise the client to do in terms of next steps?

A

I advice that options to reduce the cost and increase the grant subsidy would be appropriate.

This included negotiating with the seller/contractor and seeking additional grant.

64
Q

Edmonstone Park 3 L3 - Did your scenario analysis include changes to the planning permission? If
not, why not?

A

My employer did not seek to change planning permission for this scheme therefore changing planning wasn’t necessary.

65
Q

Edmonstone Park 3

How did you get advice on the different purchasing vehicles?

A

As market-led schemes are uncommon for my employer in Scotland, I sought advice from Development Investment colleagues and an in-house taxation specialist.
VAT and SDLT/LBTT particularly ‘interesting’ for HA’s so need to be mindful of this when considering opportunities and working through deal structures.
The site would be bought into BGH with the affordable section transferred in SSC at golden brick but for the purpose of keeping the appraisal simple, I was instructed to assume that all VAT would be recoverable at 3 months.

66
Q

Edmonstone Park 3 - How did you calculate the likely developer’s contributions? What was
your level of confidence, and how did you communicate that to the client?

A

I used the signed and executed copy of the s75 agreement. This outlined the exact amounts which would fall due. To allow for cost inflation between the execution date and payment date, I spoke with a QS colleague who advised that I allow 3 % year or year as an increase.