Demand side policies Flashcards
Monetary vs fiscal policy
Monetary:
-Use of interest rates, changes in the money supply, and exchange rates to affect AD and therefore economic growth and inflation
-Conducted by BoE - independent from gov
Fiscal:
-Changing government spending and taxation to influence AD - stimulate economic growth and stabilise the economy
-Conducted by gov
How monetary policy uses interest rates
-Monetary Policy Committe (MPC) - 9 members meet every 6 weeks
-Bank alters base rate
Reduction in base rate causes (transmission mechanisms)
-Consumption and investment to increase due to lower costs of borrowing
-Higher consumption leads to increase in asset prices - positive wealth effect
-Saving becomes less attractive - lower return
-Mortgage interest rates are lower - more disposable income
-Reduced incentives for investors to hold money in British banks - demand for the pound will fall - exports cheaper - imports more expensive - depreciation in currency - net trade increases
Asset purchases to influence money supply - QE
-Stimulate economy when standard monetary policy is no longer effective - inflationary effects/ depreciation of currency - been used by European central bank
-Used when inflation is low and it is not possible to lower interest rates further
-CB creates money and buys assets in form of gov bonds from financial institutions
-Price of bonds increase, yield decreases
-Increases cash flowing in financial system
-Encourages more lending to firms and individuals - cost of borrowing lower
-Encourages spending, investment, thus growth
-Causes inflation - BoE can sell assets to reduce spending
Limitations of monetary policy
-Banks might not pass base rate onto consumers
-Banks may be more risk averse - unwilling to lend - e.g. after 2008 financial crisis
-Consumer and firm confidence needs to be high
Fiscal policy - gov spending and taxation
-Gov can influence size of circular flow by changing the budget
-Gov mostly spends on welfare benefits, pensions, health, education
-Income tax is the biggest source of revenue
Expansionary:
-Increase spending/reduce taxes
-increase in disposable income
-Increased consumer spending providing confidence is high
-AD shifts right
-AS expands
-High GDP can close negative output gap
-Can focus on specific sectors
Limitations of fiscal policy
-Time lag, months to years
-If gov borrows from private sector, fewer funds available for private sector- leads to crowding out
-If interest rates are high fiscal policy might not be effective
-Debt needs to be paid off- difficult to borrow in future
Gov budget deficit vs surplus
Budget: expenditure> tax receipts
Surplus: tax receipts> expenditure
Direct vs indirect taxes + examples
Direct:
-Imposed on income
-Paid directly to gov from taxpayer
-e.g. income, corporation, NICs, inheritance
Indirect:
-Imposed on expenditure of goods and services
-Increase COP for producer
-Increase market price, demand contracts
-e.g. VAT
MPC
-Target 2% inflation rate
-Maintain price stability
-9 members meet 8/year
-Determine monetary policy
The Great Depression
-1929
-By 1933 RGDP fell by 30%
-Unemployment increased to 25%
-Lasted over a decade - economic declines hadn’t lasted more than 2 years atp
-Caused by wallstreet crash
-Loss in consumer and business confidence decreased consumption and investment
-Period of unstable boom
-banking system unstable
RESPONSES
UK:
-cut public sector wages/ benefits, and raised income tax to balance budget
-High interest rates to maintain the pound
-Eventually left the gold standard and cut interest rates
USA:
-Used public sector investment, work schemes for the unemployed, fiscal stimulus, to increase AD for recovery
-Some argue there was not enough spending for it to be effective - the war ended the depression
-Tried to increase money supply - unclear the effectiveness
Global Financial Crisis of 2008
-Decline in world GDP
-Asset prices were high and rising
-Boom in economic demand
-Subprime mortgages issued
-House prices crashed in US in 2006
-Several homeowners defaulted on their mortgages
-Banks lost huge funds
-Required assistance from gov in form of bailouts
RESPONSES
UK:
-Nationalised banks
-Expanisonary monetary policy - record low interest rates - QE
-Cut VAT from 17.5% to 15%
-Huge increase in gov borrowing - FP
USA:
-Nationalised banks
-Expanisonary monetary policy - record low interest rates - QE
-More expansionary fiscal policy - recovered faster