Decision Making (TM) Flashcards
Why do people have biases when decision making?
Biases are in place as SHORT CUTS in decision making because we don’t have the rational capacity to truly consider all alternatives
Name 5 common Biases in Decision making
- Overconfidence Bias
- Anchoring Bias
- Hindsight Bias
- Randomness Error
- Availability Bias
Decision making can be improved by [BLANK] thinking and [BLANK] of common biases
Decision making can be improved by SYSTEMATIC thinking and AWARENESS of common biases
After an event occurs, we feel we already knew what was going to happen (I-knew-it- all-along) is an example of which bias in decision making
Hindsight Bias
Having more confidence than one should in their ability to make decisions given the objective parameters and information is known as what bias - usually when people make fast decisions (based on a quick assessment)
Overconfidence Bias
A cognitive bias that describes the tendency for an individual to rely too heavily on an initial piece of information offered is known as the
Anchoring Bias
A mental shortcut that relies on readily available info or immediate examples that come to a given person’s mind when evaluating a specific topic, concept, method or decision is the
Availability Bias
Describe the 6 Steps in the RATIONAL DECISION MAKING PROCESS
1- DEFINE the Problem
- IDENTIFY the Criteria
- ALLOCATE Weight to Criteria
- DEVELOP Alternatives
- EVALUATE Alternatives
- SELECT Best Alternative
What is an assumption of the Rational Decision Making Model?
This Model assumes that Humans have the cognitive capacity to handle all incoming information and sort it properly (we do not)
What are some hallmarks of Intuitive Decision Making?
Fast, Unconscious, Holistic Associations, Visual Association, Affectively / Emotionally charged, Informed by Past Experiences
Strengths of Group Decision Making are? (3)
- Diversity of Views, Creativity and Higher Decision Quality
GROUP THINK is a Weakness of Group Decision making. Group Think is when…
a group is too cohesive which in turn discourages creativity and individual responsibility
GROUP SHIFT is a Weakness of Group Decision making. Group Shift is when
the initial positions of individual members of a group are exaggerated toward a more extreme position
Randomness Error in Cognitive Biases in Decision Making is
making a random connection of arbitrary factors and basing your decision on that
What are 2 types of Decision Making?
- RATIONAL and INTUITIVE