Decision making models decision tree Flashcards
what are the 3 types of strategies businesses use?
Strategic
Tactical
Operational
What is the importance of Decision Making?
Set corporate objectives
Determine corporate strategy
Manage resources including staff
Control day to day operations
Respond to external changes
Assess alternative courses of actions
What is strategic decision making?
Strategic decision making involves the process of selecting and implementing courses of action that align with an organization’s long-term objectives and competitive advantage.
(HIGH MANAGEMENT , LONG TERM)
What is tactical decision making?
Tactical decision making involves the implementation of specific actions and plans to achieve short-term goals within the framework of broader strategic objectives.
(MID LEVEL MANAGEMENT , MID TERM)
What is operational Decision Making ?
Operational decision making pertains to day-to-day activities and processes aimed at efficiently managing resources and achieving immediate organizational goals.
(LOW LEVEL MANAGEMENT, SHORT TERM)
What does scientific decision making mean?
Decisions made using Data or research
What does intuitive decision making mean?
Based on intuition (Gut feeling)
PROS AND CONS of Scientific decision making?
Supported by evidence
Logical thought process
Expensive data
TIme consuming
PrOS AND CONS of intuitive decision making?
Quick decision making
Encourages innovation and creativity
Difficult to justify
Reliant on experience and expertise
What does a decision tree identify?
When a decision has to made
The choices available
Possible outcomes
financial outcome
Probability of an outcome occurring
What shape is a decision node in a decision tree diagram
Square
What shape is a chance node in a decision tree diagram
Circle
How to calculate a decision tree?
Right to left
Multiply Probability x Financial outcome (ADD SUCCESS AND FAILURE)
Put value into circle node
This is expected value
Expected value - cost
gives net gain
bigger net gain
into square node
What are the pros and cons of Decision trees?
Takes into account risk
Encourages local thinking
Alternative actions may be found
Puts monetary value on decisions
Estimates may be biased
May not consider external factors