Decision Making Flashcards
Is the action of selecting one alternative from a set of several alternatives.
Decision Making
Is the process by which managers respond to opportunities and threats by analyzing options and making decisions about goals and courses of action.
Decision Making
Is a conclusion or resolution reached after consideration of alternatives
Decision
Are principles, Guidelines or requirements that are used to make a decision
Decision Criteria
Importance of Good Decision-Making
•Achievement of objectives
•Optimum use of resources
•Higher efficiency
•Innovation
•Motivation
•Growth and Expansion
•Facing new Challenges
Table showing the expected payoffs for each alternative in every possible state of nature. These tables are helpful in choosing among alternatives because they facilitate comparisons
Payoff Table
Decision Making Environments
- Certainty
- Uncertainty
- Risk
Means that relevant parameters such as costs, capacity and demand have known values
Certainty
Environment in which it is impossible to assess the likelihood of various future events
Uncertainty
Means that certain parameters have probabilistic outcomes
Risk
The Decision-Making Process
- Recognize the need to make a decision
- Determine decision criteria
- Identify alternatives
- Evaluate alternatives
- Select best alternatives
- Implement chosen alternatives
- Follow up and evaluate results
Causes of Poor Decisions
- Mistakes in decision process
- Bounded Rationality
- Sub-Optimization
Limitations in decision making caused by costs, human abilities, time, technology, and availability of information
Bounded Rationality
Result of different departments each attempting to reach a solution that is optimum for that department
Sub-Optimization
Decision Making skills
- Being Intuitive
- Being Rational
- Being Well-informed
- Satisficing
- Conflict Management