D.1 Risk Based Capital Flashcards
Goal of RBC and the RBC Model Act
goal: minimize the risk of insolvency and the cost of insolvency when it does occur
RBC = method of measuring the min amount of capital appropriate for an insurance company to support its overall business operations, based on its size and risk profile
Ways for a company to restore surplus above target surplus
Target surplus = approx 3-4x the min RBC amount
Restoring surplus:
- emphasize products with low RBC requirements
- redesign products to lower RBC requirements
- increase profitability by lowering expenses, exiting unprofitable LOBs, changing prices
- buy assets with low RBC requirements and sell assets with high RBC requirements
- reduce liability risk with reins, or sell LOBs
- reorg the legal structure of the company. ex: move subsidiaries to a holding company
- Raise capital by issuing surplus notes or equity securities
RBC risk Categories C0 - C4
C0 - affiliated assets risk C1 - unaffiliated asset risk C2 - insurance risk C3 - Interest rate risk C4 - Business Risk
C0
-if the affiliate company is an insurance company then C0 = affiliate RBC
C1
- assets are divided into different classes based on quality
- Bonds - lowest RBC requirement
- Mortgages - RBC requirements are based ont he mortgage risk
- Preferred and common stocks - RBC requirements are based on the Beta of the company portfolio and how heavily invested the company is
- Real estate - foreclosed RE requires more RBC
- SA assets
C2
- factors are applied to the NAR
- NAR = Life insurance inforce - Reserves
C3
- risk driven by having to reinvest future CFs in a falling IR environment
- or risk driven by having to sell assets at below-statement values in a rising IR environment (disintermediation)
- also includes health risk and market risk on variable products with Gtds
- factors are applied to reserves, not NAR
RBC action levels
Trend test Corridor [200%, 300%)
-Company performs trend test
Company Action [150%, 200%)
-Company prepares and submits an RBC plan to the commissioner
Regulatory Action [10%, 150%)
-Company Submits RBC plan, commissioner will issue order specifying actions
Authorized Control [70%, 100%) Commissioner authorized to take any actionsnecessary
Mandatory Control <70%
Company is placed under regulatory control
RBC C3 phase 1
- require scenario testing to determine C3 for IR sensitive products
- products = single premium life and fixed deferred annuities
steps:
- start with the same models used for the year end CFT
- NAIC supplies IR scenario test sets
- can run either a set of 50 or 12, the 12 is more adverse - capture the STAT surplus at the year end of each scenario year
- for each scenario the C3 = most negative PV stat surplus of any year in that scenario
- the discount rate = 1.05 * 1yr treasury rates for that scenario
- for each scenario the C3 = most negative PV stat surplus of any year in that scenario
- order the scenarios
- calculate the average of a subset of the ranked C3 measures:
- 50 scenarios: use weighted #5-17
- 12 Scenarios: simple avg of 2 and 3
exemption criteria for C3 phase 1:
- C3 Significance test = C3 / sum C0 -> C4 must be less than 40%
- C3 stress test
- using the covariance adjusted RBC formula, multiply the C3a component by 7.5%
- if the resulting RC ratio > 100%, the company passes
RBC C3 phase 2
- extends C3 CFT to products with equity risk such as VAs
- principles based approach
- determine the total asset requirement
principle 1. objective of TAR is to quantify the stat capital needed to meet contractual obligations in light of risk exposure
principle 2. TAR is based on results from a stochastic analysis of asset and liability CFs
Principle 3. The implementation of a model involves decisions about the experience assumptions and the modeling techniques to be used
Principle 4. the stochastic CF model will naturally still have limitations
Principle 5. cannot completely quantify an insurers exposure to risk
Steps to calculating phase 2:
- perform a stochastic simulation with prudent best estimates
- for each scenario; RC = max PV (accumulated deficiencies)
- sort each scenario RC
- Additional assets requirement = CTE 90 of the required capital assets scenario
- TAR = AAR + beginning assets
- Final C3 requirement = TAR - Stat reserves