counterfactual thinking Flashcards
what are counterfactual thoughts?
= mental simulations of possible outcomes that didn’t happen but can be imagined as having occurred
upward counterfactuals
- thinking about better possible outcomes
- ‘if only’ e.g. silver medalist wanting gold
- outcome improvement
downward counterfactuals
- thinking about worst possible outcomes
- ‘at least’ e.g. bronze medalist relieved they didn’t get 4th
- affect improvement
why do we make counterfactuals?
- think about better realities to work towards
- think about worse situations to not feel as bad
- adaptive function
self-motive model
- generally make counterfactuals when less satisfied
- motivational consequences
- upward: feel worse but enhance intentions
- downward: restores positive sense of self
functional theory
- if primary function is problem solving, counterfactual thinking should be activated by problems and evoke behaviours to fix
- upward: considered functional when highlight how to improve but only applies when likelihood for opportunity to change and seen as under actor’s control
- content-specific: intentions, specific actions and outcomes, easier to implement than general e.g. don’t text before catching train
- content-neutral: motives, mindsets, actions more generally to change future outcomes e.g. always do the shopping earlier
assimilation
-identifying with the alternative reality, makes it more real and can be more motivating
upward assimilation: hope, inspiration
downward assimilation: fear, worry
contrast
- distance from alternative reality
- upward contrast: disappointment, sadness
- downward contrast: relief, satisfaction - shield self from threatening thoughts, restore mood
- motivation decreases with downward contrast
cognitive dissonance
- 2 or more cognitions are inconsistent and experience unpleasant psychological tension (negative emotion)
- this is really motivating
pangloss effect
downward affective contrast –> pangloss effect (best of all possible worlds) - positive emotion leads to no motivation for improvement
downward counterfactuals and motivation
-when downward counterfactuals evoke negative emotions they can serve as a wake-up call to change behaviour
additive counterfactuals
- stimulate something that could have happened e.g. ‘if only i had my umbrella’
- more easily remembered when something similar occurs
- more frequent when event involves unexpected task failure e.g. not catching train
- can facilitate thinking and discovery mindset
subtractive counterfactuals
- taking something away e.g. ‘if only i hadn’t done that’
- more frequent when event involves unexpected success - if i hadn’t worked so hard i wouldn’t have got a first
- can facilitate analytic thinking and problem solving
- might make it easier to link action to outcome
procrastination and counterfactual thinking
- short term mood repair
- procrastination related to making more downward counterfactuals - self-enhancement via mood repair
- pangloss effect
- lack of motivation to change behaviour
upward counterfactuals and control
- upward are more likely to focus on controllable aspects of events
- may be used for people to restore control e.g. depressed people
- controllable counterfactuals enhances control for less depressed but depletes it for severely depressed