Corporate Finance - Chp. 21: Capital Budgeting Flashcards
- Principles of capital budgeting
- Decisions based on cash flows, not accounting income, specifically incremental cash flows
- Cash flows based on opportunity costs – cash flows a firm will lose by undertaking a project
- Timing of cash flows important
- Cash flows analyzed on an after tax basis
- Financing costs reflected in project’s required rate of return
3 types of cash flows for capital projects
- initial investment outlay
- after tax operating cash flows
- terminal year after tax non-operating cash flows
initial investment outlay equations
- outlay = FCInv + NWCIn
- FCInv = price with shipping and handling
- NWCinv = investment in net working capital
- NWCInv = Δnon-cash current assets – Δnon-debt current liabilities = ΔNWC
- defined as the difference b/t the changes in non-cash current assets and changes in non-cash current liabilities
- if (+), additional financing required and represents cash outflow
- if (-), project frees up cash creating cash inflow
After tax operating cash flows (CF)
- incremental cash inflows over capital asset’s economic life
- CF = (S – C – D)(1 – T) + D = (S – C)(1 – T) + (TD)
- S = sales
C = cash operating costs
D = depreciation expense
T = marginal tax rate
*
Terminal year after-tax non-operating cash flows
- At the end of the asset’s life, there are certain cash inflows that occur. These are the after-tax salvage value and the return of the net working capital.
- TNOCF = SalT + NWCInv – T (SalT – BT)
- SalT = pre-tax cash proceeds from sale of fixed capital
BT = book value of the fixed capital sol
Replacement project analysis
- Reflect the sale of old asset in calculation of initial outlay
* outlay = FCInv + NWCInv – Sal0 + T (Sal0 – B0)
- Reflect the sale of old asset in calculation of initial outlay
- Calculate the incremental operating cash flows as the cash flows from the new asset minus the cash flows from the old
* ΔCF = (ΔS – ΔC)(1 – T) + ΔDT
- Calculate the incremental operating cash flows as the cash flows from the new asset minus the cash flows from the old
- Compute the terminal year non-operating cash flow
* TNOCF = (SalTNew – SalTOld) + NWCInv – T[(SalTNew – BTNew) – (SalTOld – BTOld)]
- Compute the terminal year non-operating cash flow
5 ways inflation affects capital budgeting process
- Analyzing nominal or real cash flows.
- Changes in inflation affect project profitability.
- Inflation reduces the tax savings from depreciation.
- Inflation decreases the value of payments to bondholders
- Inflation may affect revenues and costs differently
2 ways to compare mutually exclusive projects with different lives
- least common multiple of loves approach
- equivalent annual annuity approach
How to do least common multiple of lives approach
Compare as many repetitions of an project it takes to get to the same amount of life as the otehr project option
Ex. compare back to back 3 yr options to a single 6 year option
Equivalent annual annuity approach to comparing mutually exclusive projects
- Find each projects NPV
- find an annuity that equals the PV of the project’s npv at the WACC
- select project with highest EAA
Capital rationing
allocation of fixed amount of capital among best available projects to maximize total value
Sensitivity analysis
changing an input variable (by fixed %) to see how sensitive dependent variable is to the input
Scenario analysis
considers sensitivity of output variables (NPV) to changes in inputs and the probability distribution of those inputs.
- Can change multiple inputs at once
- Run best case, base case, worst case scenarios
Simulation analysis (Monte Carlo)
- – results in probability distribution of project NPV outcomes
- . Assume probability distribution for each input variable
- Simulate random draw from distribution of each input
- Calculate project NPV
- Repeat steps 2&3 10,000 ties
- Calculate mean NPV, SD of NPV, and correlation of NPV with each input
- Graph probability distribution of NPV results
Security market line (SML) for capital asset pricing model (CAPM
- – defines projects required rate of return considering risk
- Rproject = RF + βproject [E(RMKT) - RF]
- RF = risk-free rate
- Rproject = RF + βproject [E(RMKT) - RF]
βproject = project beta
E(RMKT) – RF = market risk premium