consequences Flashcards
pour l’Europe
5eme économie+ biggest market + europe affaiblie ,
partie 1
Brexit would deal a heavy blow to Europe, a continent already on the ropes. It would uncouple the world’s fifth-largest economy from its biggest market, and unmoor the fifth-largest defence spender from its allies. Poorer, less secure and disunited, the new EU would be weaker; the West, reliant on the balancing forces of America and Europe, would be enfeebled, too.
d’autres pays pourrait partir
eurooscpetique
the EU would have a strong incentive to impose a harsh settlement to discourage other countries from leaving. The Brexit camp’s claim that Europe needs Britain more than the other way round is fanciful: the EU takes almost half Britain’s exports, whereas Britain takes less than 10% of the EU’s; and the British trade deficit is mostly with the Germans and Spanish, not with the other 25 countries that would have to agree on a new trade deal.
Bilan depuis GRECE crise
Long-standing issues with the euro, from the Greek sovereign debt crisis to the creaking Italian banking system also make the eurozone vulnerable to a major external economic shock like the credit crunch of 2008.the eurozone could survive another such shock intact.
pour l’Angleterre
partie 1 croissance, prix et city
A weakened Europe would be unambiguously bad for Britain, whose geography, unlike its politics, is fixed.
The main disadvantage is that Brexit will slow growth. The UK’s Treasury chief Philip Hammond reported that his country’s growth will slow to 2.4 percent in 2018, 1.9 percent in 2019, and 1.6 percent in 2020.
He forecast that exit fees will cost an extra £3 million over the next two years.
Another disadvantage is the potential loss of Britain’s tariff-free trade status with the other EU members. Tariffs raise the cost of exports, making British companies higher-priced and less competitive. It also raises import prices. That creates inflation and lowers the standard of living for UK residents.
pour l’Europe partie 2
spéculation sur le futur de l’Europe avec allemagne, amerique,
European leaders know Brexit would weaken a club already in deep trouble over such issues as migration and the euro crisis. And Europe would be poorer without Britain’s voice: more dominated by Germany; and, surely, less liberal, more protectionist and more inward-looking. Europe’s links to America would become more tenuous. Above all, the loss of its biggest military power and most significant foreign-policy actor would seriously weaken the EU in the world.
pour l’anglettere : city
Brexit would be disastrous for The City, the UK’s financial center. It would no longer be the base for companies that use it as an English-speaking entry into the EU economy. That could lead to a real estate collapse in The City. Many new office buildings are under construction. They may sit empty if The City’s financial services industry moves elsewhere.
conséquence angleterre sur energy, devellopement; les entreprises
The UK will lose the advantages of EU state-of-the-art technologies.
It grants these to its members in environmental protection, research and development, and energy. On the other hand, the UK will be able to tax without following EU guidelines. It won’t have to pay EU membership fees, either.
In addition, UK companies risk losing the ability to bid on public contracts in any EU country. These are open to bidders from any member country. The biggest loss to London is in services, especially banking. Practitioners will lose the ability to operate in all member countries. This could also raise the cost of airfares, the internet and even phone services.
conséquence angletterre sur grande bretagne, scotland, ireland
The longer-term costs would go beyond economics. Brexit might well break up the United Kingdom itself. Scotland, more Europhile than England, is again agitating for a divorce; if Britain decides to leave Europe, then the Scots may at last have a point. Brexit could also dangerously unsettle Northern Ireland, where the peace process over two decades has depended on the fact that both Ireland and Britain are members of the EU. The Irish government is among the most vocal foreign supporters of the campaign for Britain to stay in.
