Concepts Flashcards
what is a model
simplification of reality with essential features
no model is 100% accurate or else it would not be a model, it would be reality
Advantages of modelling
- test knowledge and answer questions of physical phenomena
- integration of knowledge and disciplines
- quantification of variables
- interpretation of data
- ease of scenario analysis
- creation of projects/policies
- predictive capability
knowledge, questions, integration, quantification, interpretation, scenarios, policies, predictions
disadvantages of modelling
- overparameterized
~~~ - measurability and generalizations
~~~ - may be too inaccurate
- can’t include everything
- uncertainty of predictions
types of models
- empirical
- physical-based
- numerical
- analytical
- deterministic
- stochastic
- fully-distributed
- semi-distributed
empirical based model
- relationships of different variables based on measurements in a specific area
- unique to specific conditions designed for
- correlational and only predict yield
includes extreme events and conditions of one specific area
physical-process based
- real physical relationships based on proven physical laws
- universal and predictive
- not linked with local resources and their relationships
mostly not calibrated or validated
numerical
- approximations
- good for environmental sciences because allows for uncertainties
analytical models
- math that gives exact examples
- bad for earth science because there are no single right answers or solutions
deterministic models
- one single solution given
- bad for es because no room for uncertainty
stochastic
range of solutions given
fully-distributed
- predicts variation across time and regions
- delineate water shed all the way down to grid cells
- lots of computation power required
semi-distributed
- delineates watershed across topographic map into hru’s/subbasins
- delineates watershed across map, not delineates across watershed
model selection based on what?
- objectives
- details and robustness
- cost (incl time)
- literature review to avoid trial and error
importance of modelling
- status (state of water basin)
- trends (historical changes, seasons, etc)
- find relationships between variables
- predictions
- decisions
SWAT
soil water and assessment tool
- watershed scale
- semi-distributed
- physical process based
- hydrologic but cannot simulate groundwater flow and connectivity between watersheds
world water supply distribution
ocean vs fresh water
freshwater distribution
ocean: 96.5%
fresh: 2.5
- glaciers: 69%
- groundwater/aquifers: 30% (mostly permafrost and ice)
- surface/other: 1% (lakes, atmosphere, soil moisture, etc)
renewable water
- 0.4% of freshwater
- snowfall, snowmelt, rainfall