Concept Questions Flashcards

1
Q
  1. What is a principal-agent relationship? What is a principal-agent problem? Give an example
A

A principal-agent relationship is when one party (the principal) contracts with another (the agent) to take some action on their behalf. A principal-agent problem is when the agent is motivated to act in their own best interest (via a hidden action) to the detriment of the principal. An example is an employer (principal) and an employee (agent), where the employer can’t monitor all actions taken by the employee, so there is a risk that the employee pursues personal benefits instead of doing what the employer would want.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q
  1. In the context of a principal-agent relationship, what does it mean for the agent’s contract with the principal to be incentive compatible? What is the key idea behind incentive compatibility? Give an example
A

A contract is incentive compatible if it motivates the agent to take actions according to the principal’s best interest. Key idea: Make the agent’s payoffs contingent on events that are related to the agent’s hidden action/principal’s payoffs.

  • Incentive compatibility involves aligning the interest of the agent with that of the principal (skin in the game), so they won’t pursue personal interests at the expense of the principal.

An example is to offer a manager/employee bonuses based on performance instead of awarding them with a fixed salary.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q
  1. Describe a situation in which moral hazard leads to financial constraints. What are some steps (at least 2) that firms can take to mitigate financial constraints induced by moral hazard?
A

A moral hazard is a situation when one party is inclined to take risks since they do not bear the full consequences of that risk. For example, managers may be temped to choose “bad” projects if they offer a private benefit. This can limit how much financing a firm can raise (so that not all NPV positive investments can be made).

  • Can be partially overcome by paying managers based on performance (incentive compatible contracts).
  • Good corporate governance can also relax the financial constraint: credible commitment to reduce private benefits and increase monitoring.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q
  1. What is information asymmetry? Describe the lemon problem.
A

Information asymmetry is a situation in which one party to a transaction has more payoff relevant information than the other. The less informed part faces an adverse selection problem, in which the more informed party rigs the trade against the less informed.

The lemon problem is when firms (sellers) know more about their riskiness (type) than the bank does. Firms may claim to be less risky (higher quality) than they actually are. The bank (buyer) worries that the debt contract will be disadvantageous because of the information asymmetry.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q
  1. Why do less sophisticated (uninformed) investors face a winner’s curse problem when subscribing to IPOs? What the is end-result for firms seeking equity financing?
A

Uninformed investors face a winner’s curse problem when subscribing to IPOs because they receive a larger allocation of “bad” IPOs and a smaller allocation of “good” IPOs (when informed investors opt out of bad investments). The concern over the winner’s curse makes less informed buyers less willing to offer a high price. Severe winner’s curse problems can lead a firm to pass of NPV positive projects. This results in IPO underpricing where good firms get worse terms of equity financing.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q
  1. In the context of a market with sellers of different qualities, describe a pooling equilibrium.
A

The “good-type” firm gets worse terms than it does in the perfect information benchmark, and the “bad-type” firm gets better terms than it does in the perfect information benchmark. In essence, the good types subsidize bad types because of information asymmetry.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q
  1. In the context of a market with an adverse selection problem, what are the key ingredients of a market failure, in which certain types of sellers are missing from the market when they are present in the perfect information benchmark?
A

A market failure (induced by adverse selection) describes a scenario in which certain types of sellers are missing from the market when they are present in the perfect information benchmark. Key ingredients:

  • Sellers have private information about their types.
  • The price dictated by the average quality of all sellers is too low for high quality sellers.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q
  1. In the context of a market with sellers of different qualities, describe a separating equilibrium.
A

A separating equilibrium prevails when both types of sellers are in the market and the buyer can distinguish between them because the sellers offer different terms. In general:

  • Low quality sellers receive the same terms that they would have received in the perfect information benchmark.
  • High quality sellers bear the cost of signaling.
  • High quality sellers receive worse terms than they would have received in the perfect information benchmark (if signaling is costly).
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q
  1. In the context of a market with information asymmetry, what does signaling mean? What are the key ideas behind signaling?
A

Signaling implies actions by the more informed to credibly reveal their private information to the less informed. Key idea:

  • Find an action that is more costly for the imitator than the imitated.
  • If the cost of taking the action exceeds the benefit from imitation, the imitator will stop imitating.
  • The informed chooses to signal if it leads to a better private outcome than in the pooling equilibrium.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q
  1. In the context of a market with information asymmetry, what does screening mean? What are the key ideas behind screening?
A

Screening implies actions by the less informed that allows it to infer the private information of the more informed. Key idea:

  • The less informed offer a menu of choices.
  • Each choice corresponds to the more informed party’s private information.
  • Deduce the informed party’s private information by observing their choice.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q
  1. What is a real option? Why do real options have value? (hint: there are two main ingredients)
A

A real option is the right to make an adjustment/decision to the project after new information is learned, which adds value to an investment opportunity. Two conditions must be satisfied:

  • Uncertainty about key factors in a business decision.
  • The optimal strategy depends of those factors.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q
  1. Sometimes projects have different stages and the firm can exercise discretion in their timing. What are some trade-offs that the firm faces in selecting the optimal project staging?
A

When we can choose how to stage a project, all else equal:

  • Stages that provide more information should be done earlier (increases the value of real options by eliminating more uncertainty).
  • Stages that require more initial capital should be done later (results in capital cost savings by deferring costs into the future).
  • Stage together only if there are significant cost savings, e.g. economies of scale/scope or high time discounting of payoffs (saves time).
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q
  1. What are some common types of real options?
A
  • Option to expand (growth option, invest in the future).
  • Option to abandon (option to reduce the scale of investment in the future).
  • Option to stage/delay. Always better to wait unless there is a cost to doing so.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q
  1. What are some limitations of using real options as part of a valuation technique?
A
  • Unlike with financial options, there are no historical prices with which to estimate volatility.
  • Requires projections about how future decision makers will proceed.
  • The value of a real option is often sensitive to the estimates about the likelihood of scenarios (e.g. probability that the first move is successful).
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q
  1. What are some costs associated with real options? (name at least 3)
A
  • Direct costs. The real option is something that the firm has to pay for since it adds value.
  • Lost profits in the interim. The real option to delay has a cost because it pushes back payoff, which results in a lower NPV due to time value.
  • Competitors get a head start. Often, firms are racing to bring product to market. To the extent that there is a first-mover advantage, waiting to act until more information is known may be costly.
  • Costs may rise. Could save some production costs due to economies of scale. Waiting results in an additional production cost.
  • May exacerbate agency problems.
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q
  1. What are some benefits of sensitivity analysis? (name at least 2)
A
  • Shows whether the investment decision is robust. E.g. Is the result still NPV positive for all changes?
  • Identifies where more information is needed.
  • Identifies the areas that deserve the most managerial attention.
17
Q
  1. What are some limitations of sensitivity analysis (name at least 2)
A
  • Even the best-case and worst-case estimates are wrong.
  • Variables are examined in isolation when they are related.
  • Best- and worst-case estimates are not associated with likelihood.
18
Q
  1. What are some benefits of scenario analysis? (name at least 2)
A
  • Grouped by economic scenarios: base/best/worst case.
  • Attaches probabilities to analyzed scenarios (weighs relative importance)
  • Implied values given by probabilities should match the expectation in the standard analysis. If scenarios and probabilities are estimated independently, this can give internal validation on consistency of estimates.
19
Q
  1. What are some limitations of scenario analysis (name at least 2)
A
  • Selecting likely scenarios is not an exact science (countless options, no rule for deciding which are more relevant, business judgment).
  • Important economic connections between sets of parameters may be overlooked.
  • Analyzing the many combinations of different parameter values is cumbersome.
20
Q
  1. What are some advantages of Monte Carlo Simulations (name at least 2)
A
  • Can explicitly specify the relationship between different parameters (e.g. correlation).
  • Does not require an exact model of how outcome variables depend on the input parameters (if-then statements instead of exact mathematical formula).
  • Simulations can deepen a forecaster’s understanding of complicated economic scenarios (e.g. what it depends on).
21
Q
  1. What are some limitations of Monte Carlo Simulations (name at least 2)
A
  • Not exactly ”model-free”; it requires assumptions about how decisions in the economic interactions are made.
  • Computer outputs are devoid of economic intuition (requires outside judgement from the analyst, human action needed to interpret the results).
  • The distribution of each variable and the interactions between them are difficult to model (not clear which best describes reality).
  • At some point, even the Monte Carlo method requires input of information from experts.
22
Q
  1. Describe an example of the “Wisdom of the Crowd” in finance.
A

The decision based on many pieces of less-precise information may be better than a decision based on one piece of more-precise information.

  • Information that analysts receive are conditionally independent.
  • Putting together all analysts’ diverse signals generates a more precise signal.
23
Q
  1. Describe an information cascade (you can do this in the context of the in-class exercise if it helps). What are the key ingredients of an information cascade?
A

An information cascade occurs when external information overrides one’s own information, regardless of the relative correctness of the former.

  • Moral hazard problems may prevent individual forecasters in a big group from diligently collecting information.
  • But incentivizing the accuracy of individual forecasts may cause the aggregate forecast to be less accurate.
24
Q
  1. What are some indirect costs of financial distress (name at least 3)
A
  • Loss of customers. Because bankruptcy may enable or encourage firms to walk away from commitments to their customers, customers may be reluctant to purchase products whose value depends on future support or service from the firm (future operations).
  • Loss of suppliers. Suppliers may be unwilling to provide a firm with inventory if they fear they will not be paid.
  • Loss of employees/talent. If you can’t offer job security with long-term employment contracts, it might be difficult to hire new employees, and existing employees may quit or not work as hard. Employees are often incentivised by career advancements within the firm
  • Loss of receivables. Firms in financial distress tend to have difficulty collecting money that is owed to them.
  • Fire sales of assets. To avoid bankruptcy and its associated costs, companies in distress may attempt to sell assets quickly to raise cash. Then, they may accept a lower price than would be optimal if it were financially healthy.
  • Inefficient liquidation. Occurs when a firm is shut down and its assets sold for less than the present value of future cash flows from the firm’s continuing operation.
  • Costs to creditors. If the risk of default is a risk of financial distress for the creditor, they will consider these potential costs when initially setting the rate of the loan.
25
Q
  1. In the context of financial distress, what is meant by inefficient liquidation?
A

Occurs when a firm is shut down and its assets sold for less than the present value of future cash flows from the firm’s continuing operations.

26
Q
  1. What are the key ingredients underlying inefficient liquidation? (there are 2)
A
  • Information asymmetry. Creditors cannot tell if the future payoff of the firms is high or low. If they knew it was high, they would not liquidate. If the know it is low and they liquidate, this would be an efficient outcome.
  • Moral hazard. Owners of the firm who know that the future payoff of the firm is low derives private benefits from delaying the firm’s liquidation (like salary).
27
Q
  1. Why is comparing leasing to buying with equity financing an unfair comparison?
A

Leasing is debt-like, so the correct comparison is to compare leasing to buying with financing provided by debt (a similar increase in leverage). Debt-like since:

  • Involves acquiring the right to use an asset (like receiving financing for an investment)
  • A lease agreement commits the firm to making periodic lease payments in the future (like repayment of debt).
  • The failure of the firm to make a lease payment puts the firm in financial distress (like defaulting on a loan).
  • If the event the firm reneges on the lease payment, the lessor has the right to reclaim the leased asset (much like creditors seizing collateral).
28
Q
  1. Give an example of an increased cost (name this cost) when an asset is leased rather than purchased outright?
A

An additional cost to leasing is a moral hazard cost, which is borne by the lessee. Since leasing involves acquiring the right to use an asset for a specified period of time without a transfer of ownership, the lessee might misuse/overuse the asset because the lack of ownership means the lessee has no interest in the asset’s residual value, and the lessor anticipates this and takes steps to mitigate it.

29
Q
  1. When an asset is only needed for a short period of time, give an example of an increased cost (name this cost) when an asset is purchased outright rather than leased?
A

An additional cost of purchasing is the cost of ownership transfer due to information asymmetry. The transfer of ownership involves significant direct costs (legal, intermediation, etc) and indirect costs (inspection costs, discounting due to adverse selection, etc). For example, the firm knows more about a machine than the bank knows about the value of it as collateral.

30
Q
  1. What does the Pecking Order in finance say?
A

Firms should issue securities in order of information sensitivity, from least to greatest. A financial security’s information sensitivity tells us how much its value changes in response to changes in the distribution of the underlying payoff.

Often (but not always), the ordering is Cash –> Debt –> Equity.

31
Q
  1. What are some agency costs of debt?
A
  • Debtors have an incentive to not pay when they can.
  • Debt overhang: rejecting NPV>0 projects. Existence of debt decreases the value of the firm by undermining the incentive to take on these projects.
  • Risk shifting: accepting NPV<0 projects. To ex-post take on projects that are too risky because much of the down-side risks are absorbed by debt holders.
32
Q
  1. What are some agency benefits of debt?
A

Debt makes the value of equity more sensitive to value-destroying actions; it is more likely that the managers take actions that improve future quality (e.g. probability of higher payoffs). Debt helps concentrate ownership and makes incentive compatibility easier to satisfy.

33
Q
  1. Describe some ways in which FinTech can provide value (name at least 3)
A
  1. Taxes
  • Software and apps help consumers optimize deductions (TurboTax, etc). Even if government lose revenue, it helps the system work in the way it was designed to work.
  1. Transaction costs
  • Payment apps
  • FinTech lenders process applications 20% faster
  1. Moral Hazard
  • Cell phone apps that monitor driving (car insurance)
  1. Information asymmetry
  • Big data (such as real-time transactions and satellite images of traffic in the parking lot of big-box stores) lowers the information asymmetry between managers and investors
  • Robo-advisors that provide information and improve financial literacy
34
Q
  1. Describe a situation in which tokens may serve as a superior financing tool compared to traditional financial securities.
A

A token is a (digital) medium of exchange meant for a specific marketplace/platform. In contrast to equity stakes which are claims on a firm’s future profits, tokens are claims on a firm’s future output (e.g. revenue). Tokens can help prevent the under-provision of effort (pursuing private benefits) because it reduces the fraction of tokens that must be sold (relative to the fraction of equity). Tokens may hence serve as a superior financing tool when traditional finance is not flexible enough, as the value of the token varies with the output.

35
Q
  1. How does crowdfunding mitigate financial frictions?
A

Crowdfunding helps resolve uncertainty about demand during the financing stage.

  • Threshold rule is important (e.g. all-or-nothing).
  • Payments beyond the required investments should be deferred until after the completion of the project to deter moral hazard.