Concept Check #2 Flashcards
Exchange Rate Regimes:
Free Float
leave it to supply and demand
Can be subject to high volatility
Dirty Float
allow float within a certain bandwidth
How ‘dirty’ depends on the bandwidth
Fixed
set at a rate specified by governments
Pegged: linked to a single strong currency
What is foreign exchange?
A commodity that consists of currencies issued by countries other than one’s own.
Strong vs Weak Dollar
A strong dollar buys more foreign currency.
A weak dollar buys less foreign currency.
Exchange rates
The price of your currency in terms of my own currency
its important because it determines how much I have to export to pay for my imports, so it effects terms of trade.
What would you want in your primary currency?
Stable, convertible, and commonly traded
Hard Currencies
Currencies that are freely tradable, or convertible
They tend to maintain value Ex: Euro, US dollar, Canadian dollar, Japanese yen
Soft Currencies
Currencies that are not freely tradable because of domestic laws or the unwillingness of foreigners to hold them
They Often lose value Ex: ruble, dong, cuban peso
Supply Demand
Exchange rate is a price function: a function of supply and demand
As demand for a given currency goes up (at a given supply) so does the price of that currency in terms of the other currency (i.e., the exchange rate)
As demand goes down (at a given supply), the price of that currency will drop in terms of the other currency
Money Supply
The aggregate value of the money supply should reflect the value of the national economy
Changes in the money supply will put pressure on exchange rates
Trade
Current account balance affects x-rates:
• trade surplus = more money coming into the country than leaving it; this pushes $ up
• trade deficit = more money leaving the country, this
pushes the $ down
• US used to have a current account surplus: it exported more than it imported, which propped up the dollar’s value
Strong $ good or bad
Appreciating currency is both good and bad
A strengthening dollar helps importers (and consumers of imported goods)
U.S firms with offshoring
foreign debt holders
A weakening dollar helps:
Domestic, import-competing industries
•Exporters
•MNEs repatriating income from abroad